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Galitos Aveiro vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 81-72
Projected total 152.8
Final 98-80
22-20 26-15 23-20 27-25
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.4
Galitos Aveiro 🏆
Portugal
Vs
79%
21%
■ GALI 79%■ ACAD 21%
Pythia win probability
Academica
Portugal
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.0
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhao do Clube dos Galitos
Other2026-27
Meetings · Galitos Aveiro v Academica
07 Nov 2026
GALI98
ACAD80
13 Jan 2024
GALI89
ACAD64
14 Jan 2023
GALI73
ACAD94
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Galitos Aveiro host Academica in the Proliga on 7 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 79% to win, reflecting Galitos' 4-1 record, 75.4 points per game and only 70.4 points allowed, while Academica struggles at 0-5, 79.2 points scored and 86.0 points allowed. Galitos have dominated at home, 2-0 with 91.0 points per game and 76.0 allowed, and have won four of their last five games, including a 90-68 victory over Benfica Lisboa B at home and a 68-63 win over Illiabum away, though they suffered a 56-74 loss to Sangalhos away. Academica's road form is winless, 0-3, with 84.7 points per game and 92.7 allowed, and they have lost all five recent matches, most recently 69-74 at home to CB Queluz. Historically, Galitos have led the four meetings 3-1, with their last encounter ending 89-64 in favour of Galitos on 13 January 2024. The Pythia model projects an 81-72 scoreline, 152.8 total points, and a 4% chance of overtime, giving Galitos a strong edge to cover the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galitos Aveiro winWon
79.4%fair 1.26
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
20.6%fair 4.86
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
no box
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
42avg 66
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 66
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
56-74
56
74
-18
50avg 66
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
90-68
90
68
+22
88avg 66
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
68-63
68
63
+5
62avg 66
A31/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
13-18
26-24
18-13
20-26
21-9
22-19
20-25
21-21
13-12
16-17
18-18
24-13
20-22
9-19
17-22
19-31
17-10
18-22
16-25
22-21
22-10
12-12
15-20
29-14
27-16
22-26
14-28
14-17
13-14
11-15
18-28
16-26
24-9
30-20
20-13
12-14
18-8
14-18
24-23
150.1Avg total
75.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.470.4145.8+5.080%
Season at home (2)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)65.066.7131.7-1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.274.9150.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)75.470.4145.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)69.279.6148.9-10.417%
vs Similar (2)68.582.5151.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.269.5149.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
56avg 57
H28/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
58-76
58
76
-18
58avg 57
H04/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 57
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 57
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 57
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 57
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 57
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 57
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 57
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#4
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 57
A30/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-15
15-23
13-17
22-16
10-23
8-21
18-16
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
155.6Avg total
74.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.286.0165.2-6.80%
Season at home (2)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Season away (3)84.792.7177.3-8.00%
Last 10 (10)74.181.5155.6-7.40%
Last 5 (5)79.286.0165.2-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.480.4148.8-12.012%
vs Similar (4)64.570.8135.2-6.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Over 148.5
Over 148.5
59.9%
Under 148.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5
Over 153.5
47.8%
Under 153.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
35.9%
Under 158.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Galitos Aveiro total 74.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro over 74.5
Over 74.5
74.4%
Under 74.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 78.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro over 78.5
Over 78.5
60.2%
Under 78.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galitos Aveiro total 82.5Actual: Galitos Aveiro over 82.5
Over 82.5
44.3%
Under 82.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academica total 71Actual: Academica over 71
Over 71
52.4%
Under 71
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academica total 75Actual: Academica over 75
Over 75
36.5%
Under 75
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academica total 79Actual: Academica over 79
Over 79
23.0%
Under 79
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Galitos Aveiro -3Actual: Galitos Aveiro -3
GALI -3
73.1%
ACAD +3
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
GALI
No market prices yet.
ACAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Galitos Aveiro 0Actual: Galitos Aveiro 0
GALI 0
79.4%
ACAD 0
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
GALI
No market prices yet.
ACAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Galitos Aveiro +3Actual: Galitos Aveiro +3
GALI +3
85.4%
ACAD -3
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
GALI
No market prices yet.
ACAD
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
Galitos AveiroAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H29/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/05
Proliga
Barreirense
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A03/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A17/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A31/10
Proliga
71.2Avg total
37.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.973.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.474.9+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.036.471.4-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.371.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.869.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.138.173.2-3.042%-
vs Similar (2)35.536.572.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.529.572.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#5
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#4
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
79.0Avg total
38.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.440.274.6-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.738.872.5-5.127%-
Last 30 away (15)35.141.776.7-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.679.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.640.875.4-6.227%-
vs Similar (4)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
52.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
30.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.212.6
62.4%
67.0%12.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.4%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.0%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galitos Aveiro
WWLWWLLWWL
Academica
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
-8.3
88.3
Offensive rating
83.4
91.2
Defensive rating
91.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
22.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.3%
3-point %
26.0%
65.6%
Assist %
50.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 83.4Defence91.2 · 91.7Shooting49.8% · 48.2%3-point %32.3% · 26.0%Ball care22.7% · 18.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Galitos Aveiro   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Galitos Aveiro wins
1
Academica wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Galitos Aveiro v Academica89-64
04/11/23Academica v Galitos Aveiro48-59
14/01/23Galitos Aveiro v Academica73-94
05/11/22Academica v Galitos Aveiro63-69
Galitos Aveirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AIlliabum68-63
24/10/26HBenfica Lisboa B90-68
17/10/26ASangalhos56-74
10/10/26HVasco Da Gama92-84
03/10/26ABarreirense71-63
04/05/25ABenfica Lisboa B70-88
27/04/25ABarreirense70-76
25/04/25HSampaense81-77 OT
05/04/25HSanto Andre83-79
29/03/25HMaia71-77
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63
04/04/26HCB Queluz58-76
28/03/26HSangalhos68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game75.491.065.0
Allowed / game70.476.066.7
Point differential+5.0+15.0-1.7
Avg total145.8167.0131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.271.084.7
Allowed / game86.076.092.7
Point differential-6.8-5.0-8.0
Avg total165.2147.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos65183%75.060.5+14.5
2 Galitos Aveiro54180%75.470.4+5.0
3 Santo Andre64267%78.776.2+2.5
4 Galitos Barreiro64267%74.373.0+1.3
5 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
6 Sampaense53260%87.681.6+6.0
7 Lusitania53260%79.073.2+5.8
8 CB Queluz53260%71.071.0+0.0
9 Maia42250%82.885.0-2.2
10 Vasco Da Gama52340%82.886.0-3.2
11 Illiabum52340%70.074.6-4.6
12 Barcelos52340%69.674.6-5.0
13 Barreirense52340%78.683.8-5.2
14 Ginasio Olhanense62433%84.788.7-4.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica5050%79.286.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Galitos Aveiro2226232798
Academica2015202580
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