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Sampaense vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-81
22-24 16-18 29-15 18-24
Position#10
Record11-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#16
Record3-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game78.1
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sampaense v Academica
30 Oct 2026
SAMP105
ACAD99
02 May 2026
SAMP85
ACAD81
10 Jan 2026
SAMP81
ACAD60
21 Oct 2023
SAMP84
ACAD100
03 Dec 2022
SAMP82
ACAD92
09 Nov 2013
SAMP70
ACAD57
28 Apr 2013
SAMP83
ACAD90
27 Apr 2013
SAMP65
ACAD86
29 Mar 2013
SAMP60
ACAD68
17 Dec 2011
SAMP73
ACAD70
10 Apr 2011
SAMP73
ACAD74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-78
51
78
-27
34avg 60
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
54-67
54
67
-13
40avg 60
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 60
A14/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
62avg 60
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 60
H21/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
60-87
60
87
-27
44avg 60
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 60
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 60
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 60
A25/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
9-16
7-25
16-13
13-22
14-21
7-22
18-13
16-10
18-14
4-18
16-25
14-22
17-12
6-21
22-21
20-30
25-17
8-27
18-25
23-21
22-17
9-17
13-22
10-25
16-20
18-23
16-19
20-13
15-14
19-4
23-41
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
145.8Avg total
65.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.877.7147.4-7.941%
Season at home (13)75.479.5154.8-4.154%
Season away (14)64.676.0140.6-11.429%
Last 10 (10)65.680.2145.8-14.620%
Last 5 (5)73.880.8154.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.482.3151.7-12.925%
vs Similar (2)68.576.5145.0-8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.269.9145.1+5.475%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 52
H21/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 52
A28/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
67-54
67
54
+13
63avg 52
H07/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
68-63
68
63
+5
59avg 52
H14/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
49-52
49
52
-3
38avg 52
A15/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 52
A21/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
56avg 52
H28/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
58-76
58
76
-18
58avg 52
H04/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 52
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 52
H26/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-11
14-16
16-21
16-26
25-9
10-27
34-29
10-16
14-18
18-4
25-16
12-13
19-12
13-15
24-23
11-13
14-11
9-14
15-14
19-24
16-16
18-18
22-27
20-21
20-15
15-23
13-17
22-16
10-23
8-21
18-16
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
138.7Avg total
67.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.178.1142.2-13.911%
Season at home (14)65.376.1141.4-10.921%
Season away (13)62.980.2143.1-17.20%
Last 10 (10)67.271.5138.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)67.877.0144.8-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)63.576.9140.4-13.415%
vs Similar (4)64.570.8135.2-6.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
SampaenseAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/02
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A07/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A29/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A04/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
72.4Avg total
34.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.073.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.277.9-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.336.968.2-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.572.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.440.573.8-7.125%-
vs Similar (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.932.171.0+6.875%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H07/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H14/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A15/03
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/03
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
68.3Avg total
34.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.439.371.7-6.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.937.870.8-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)31.841.072.8-9.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.433.968.3+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.675.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.339.772.0-7.427%-
vs Similar (4)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.5
47.9%
50.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.4
26.2%
30.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws23.115.6
67.5%
67.4%15.6
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.6
46.0%
50.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.7
24.9%
30.3%14.1
🏀 Free throws20.613.9
67.5%
67.4%13.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWLLLLLLL
Academica
LLLLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#16
-12.2
Net rating
-4.8
80.2
Offensive rating
75.8
92.4
Defensive rating
80.6
44.8%
Effective FG%
43.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.2%
3-point %
24.9%
45.0%
Assist %
57.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence80.2 · 75.8Defence92.4 · 80.6Shooting44.8% · 43.3%3-point %26.2% · 24.9%Ball care16.7% · 18.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Sampaense   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sampaense wins
6
Academica wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Academica v Sampaense67-54
10/01/26Sampaense v Academica81-60
15/11/25Academica v Sampaense58-75
16/12/23Academica v Sampaense61-87
21/10/23Sampaense v Academica84-100
05/02/23Academica v Sampaense82-53
03/12/22Sampaense v Academica82-92
09/11/13Sampaense v Academica70-57
28/04/13Sampaense v Academica83-90
27/04/13Sampaense v Academica65-86
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
04/04/26ASangalhos77-72
29/03/26ALusitania60-87
21/03/26HBenfica Lisboa B67-77
15/03/26HLusitania71-99
14/03/26ACB Queluz59-76
07/03/26AAcademica54-67
28/02/26HGalomar52-78
22/02/26ASanto Andre51-78
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63
04/04/26HCB Queluz58-76
28/03/26HSangalhos68-76
21/03/26AGalomar75-85
15/03/26ACB Queluz49-52
14/03/26HSanto Andre68-63
07/03/26HSampaense67-54
28/02/26ALusitania85-91
21/02/26HBenfica Lisboa B64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%54%29%
Points / game69.875.464.6
Allowed / game77.779.576.0
Point differential-7.9-4.1-11.4
Avg total147.4154.8140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWWLLL21%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %11%21%0%
Points / game64.165.362.9
Allowed / game78.176.180.2
Point differential-13.9-10.9-17.2
Avg total142.2141.4143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2825389%84.267.5+16.7
2 CAB Madeira2822679%83.975.7+8.2
3 Lusitania2719870%83.675.5+8.1
4 Maia28181064%83.274.2+9.0
5 Illiabum28181064%75.969.2+6.6
6 Portimonense28181064%79.074.9+4.1
7 Galomar27171063%84.179.3+4.9
8 Ginasio28131546%77.881.0-3.2
9 Imortal B28131546%76.280.9-4.6
10 Sampaense27111641%69.877.7-7.9
11 Ginasio Olhanense28111739%78.079.0-1.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B28101836%72.072.8-0.8
13 Santo Andre2791833%74.176.9-2.8
14 CB Queluz2791833%71.078.9-7.9
15 Sangalhos2852318%69.986.2-16.2
16 Academica2732411%64.178.1-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2216291885
Academica2418152481
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