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Gemlik vs Bornova Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-68
15-16 28-20 21-16 23-16
Position#16
Record2-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game71.7
TurkeyTB2LRound 4· Gemlik Spor Salonu
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gemlik v Bornova
26 Dec 2024
GEML87
BORN68
11 Dec 2022
GEML85
BORN70
30 Jan 2022
GEML86
BORN79
06 Mar 2021
GEML85
BORN81
30 Nov 2019
GEML79
BORN64
19 Jan 2019
GEML44
BORN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gemlik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bornova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GemlikTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beylikduzu
#17
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H16/03
TB2L
Konya BBSK
#2
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A21/03
TB2L
Konya BBSK
#2
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H25/03
TB2L
Etimesgut
#12
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A26/10
TB2L
Sakarya BB
#10
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A09/11
TB2L
Konyaspor
#20
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A23/11
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H02/12
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H06/12
TB2L
Tesvikiye
#18
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A15/12
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#11
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H20/12
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
19-27
17-19
29-6
12-14
12-17
14-23
11-22
15-17
17-12
18-15
3-18
19-25
22-22
19-27
25-24
15-14
20-18
13-19
27-25
26-14
10-17
18-19
25-20
25-20
22-19
25-20
18-20
27-15
15-27
23-24
12-15
14-20
17-20
11-19
25-14
17-20
24-23
14-21
18-19
150.0Avg total
72.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.080.0158.0-2.029%
Season at home (3)80.081.0161.0-1.033%
Season away (4)76.579.2155.8-2.825%
Last 10 (10)72.677.4150.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)77.277.2154.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.887.9168.7-7.129%
vs Similar (14)73.976.6150.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (2)82.061.0143.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Bornova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BornovaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A05/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H13/04
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#15
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A21/04
TBL
Istanbul BB
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H25/10
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A02/11
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A22/11
TB2L
Tesvikiye
#18
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H29/11
TB2L
Etimesgut
#12
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A07/12
TB2L
Sakarya BB
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H13/12
TB2L
Konyaspor
#20
W
89-57
89
57
+32
A21/12
TB2L
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
13-22
19-30
17-23
24-25
8-20
25-26
23-24
20-26
19-26
19-26
26-21
25-24
16-23
9-17
22-17
15-12
23-15
9-18
18-26
23-14
22-16
13-18
21-9
22-14
7-21
17-17
15-25
15-26
17-19
22-22
15-23
21-21
6-18
15-18
15-12
34-14
20-14
14-14
21-15
152.2Avg total
72.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.371.7142.0-1.429%
Season at home (3)63.375.7139.0-12.30%
Season away (4)75.568.8144.2+6.850%
Last 10 (10)72.879.4152.2-6.620%
Last 5 (5)71.070.0141.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.282.0165.2+1.240%
vs Similar (23)78.782.9161.6-4.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)75.067.0142.0+8.050%
This opponent (Gemlik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
GemlikBornova
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GemlikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beylikduzu
#17
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H16/03
TB2L
Konya BBSK
#2
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A21/03
TB2L
Konya BBSK
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/03
TB2L
Etimesgut
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/10
TB2L
Sakarya BB
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A09/11
TB2L
Konyaspor
#20
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A23/11
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/12
TB2L
Istanbul BB
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
TB2L
Tesvikiye
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A15/12
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H20/12
TB2L
74.6Avg total
36.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.479.1-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.142.781.8-3.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.340.176.4-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.574.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.645.787.4-4.129%-
vs Similar (14)34.237.972.1-3.736%-
vs Weaker (2)34.535.570.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Bornova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BornovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/04
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A21/04
TBL
Istanbul BB
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H25/10
TB2L
Beylikduzu
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A02/11
TB2L
Eskisehir BK
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A22/11
TB2L
Tesvikiye
#18
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H29/11
TB2L
Etimesgut
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/12
TB2L
Sakarya BB
#10
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/12
TB2L
Konyaspor
#20
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A21/12
TB2L
76.6Avg total
37.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.981.0-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.641.179.7-2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)41.440.782.1+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.376.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.472.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
vs Similar (23)39.341.480.7-2.039%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.531.573.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Gemlik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gemliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gemlik: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.3
51.5%
48.3%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.3
42.0%
30.7%34.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.7%
65.5%11.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bornovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bornova: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.8
53.0%
48.3%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.3%
30.7%27.8
🏀 Free throws14.08.8
62.5%
65.5%8.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gemlik
LLLWWLLLLW
Bornova
WLLLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#13
+5.4
Net rating
-16.2
117.8
Offensive rating
96.9
112.3
Defensive rating
113.1
56.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
42.0%
3-point %
33.3%
45.3%
Assist %
63.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 96.9Defence112.3 · 113.1Shooting56.6% · 51.6%3-point %42.0% · 33.3%Ball care13.9% · 20.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 23.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Gemlik   ■ Bornova
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gemlik wins
6
Bornova wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Bornova v Gemlik84-68
11/12/22Gemlik v Bornova85-70
30/01/22Gemlik v Bornova86-79
10/10/21Bornova v Gemlik87-70
06/03/21Gemlik v Bornova85-81
13/01/21Bornova v Gemlik82-79
13/03/20Bornova v Gemlik85-71
30/11/19Gemlik v Bornova79-64
19/01/19Gemlik v Bornova44-53
03/11/18Bornova v Gemlik80-68
Gemliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HBeylikduzu73-83
15/12/24ATesvikiye67-73
06/12/24HIstanbul BB77-81
02/12/24HEskisehir BK90-79
23/11/24AKonyaspor79-70
09/11/24ASakarya BB75-76
26/10/24AEtimesgut85-98
25/03/24HKonya BBSK53-62
21/03/24AKonya BBSK49-76
16/03/24HBeylikduzu78-76
Bornovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AKonyaspor89-57
13/12/24HSakarya BB57-69
07/12/24AEtimesgut69-90
29/11/24HTesvikiye61-77
22/11/24AEskisehir BK79-57
02/11/24ABeylikduzu65-71
25/10/24HIstanbul BB72-81
21/04/24AOGM Ormanspor84-99
13/04/24HMKE Ankaragucu80-95
05/04/24AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gemlik
TB2L 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.080.076.5
Allowed / game80.081.079.2
Point differential-2.0-1.0-2.8
Avg total158.0161.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bornova
TB2L 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game70.363.375.5
Allowed / game71.775.768.8
Point differential-1.4-12.3+6.8
Avg total142.0139.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Etimesgut880100%93.479.4+14.0
2 Kahramanmaras770100%73.062.6+10.4
3 Istanbul BB87188%83.273.1+10.1
4 Ilkler Sehri Usak76186%80.065.6+14.4
5 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor76186%68.961.4+7.4
6 Egospor76186%82.379.0+3.3
7 Beylikduzu86275%80.178.1+2.0
8 Goztepe75271%72.460.6+11.9
9 Haznedar Doruk74357%78.173.1+5.0
10 Ege Universitesi74357%77.975.3+2.6
11 Akhisar Belediye74357%73.671.6+2.0
12 High Touch74357%74.774.0+0.7
13 Tesvikiye84450%70.972.6-1.8
14 Vefa73443%70.671.4-0.9
15 Corlu73443%71.774.4-2.7
16 Bornova72529%70.371.7-1.4
17 Gemlik72529%78.080.0-2.0
18 Istanbul Basket72529%68.178.9-10.7
19 Konyaspor82625%74.981.1-6.2
20 Eskisehir BK82625%70.176.8-6.6
21 Sakarya BB82625%71.079.5-8.5
22 Gocek Spor71614%73.181.9-8.7
23 Karamursel71614%64.377.7-13.4
24 Cozum Ankara7070%61.771.3-9.6
25 Sertas Spor7070%72.984.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gemlik1528212387
Bornova1620161668
← all games of the day
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