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Gemlik vs Samsunspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 94-84
19-22 26-27 21-15 28-20
Position#15
Record3-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game81.6
Gemlik 🏆
Turkey
vs
Samsunspor
Turkey
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game71.8
TurkeyTBLRound 17
Other2022-23
Meetings · Gemlik v Samsunspor
29 Jan 2023
GEML94
SAM84
08 May 2022
GEML64
SAM71
09 Dec 2020
GEML75
SAM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gemlik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samsunspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GemlikTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H19/11
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
L
79-104
79
104
-25
A26/11
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H11/12
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A17/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H24/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A02/01
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H08/01
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A15/01
TBL
Final Spor
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A23/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
10-20
13-20
17-13
17-19
14-21
22-43
26-21
16-18
17-21
18-16
13-21
24-12
18-17
19-24
24-17
26-24
12-22
22-22
21-29
24-27
8-24
20-20
17-20
12-19
19-21
11-26
23-19
14-23
20-20
35-18
21-20
14-22
18-23
12-21
26-17
17-20
13-21
23-21
18-20
156.2Avg total
72.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.281.6152.9-10.419%
Season at home (7)74.978.3153.1-3.443%
Season away (9)68.484.2152.7-15.80%
Last 10 (10)72.583.7156.2-11.220%
Last 5 (5)73.084.4157.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.082.9150.9-14.95%
vs Similar (8)83.279.1162.4+4.162%
vs Weaker (2)78.567.5146.0+11.050%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/11
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H27/11
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A07/01
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H15/01
TBL
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H22/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-16
15-27
23-13
26-20
30-15
27-17
22-20
19-26
21-17
13-16
20-19
22-21
24-14
24-19
22-20
23-12
26-21
22-16
15-13
25-15
23-24
28-31
17-14
25-26
27-18
14-21
15-21
11-26
34-11
33-13
18-14
16-16
27-18
17-23
25-16
18-18
30-13
11-26
20-18
160.7Avg total
86.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.771.8157.4+13.981%
Season at home (9)84.967.2152.1+17.789%
Season away (7)86.777.6164.3+9.171%
Last 10 (10)86.674.1160.7+12.580%
Last 5 (5)86.876.4163.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)87.484.5171.9+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.470.2155.6+15.288%
This opponent (Gemlik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
GemlikSamsunspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GemlikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H19/11
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A26/11
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/12
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/12
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H24/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A02/01
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/01
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A15/01
TBL
Final Spor
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A23/01
TBL
73.3Avg total
32.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.176.0-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.240.475.5-5.231%-
Last 30 away (17)34.841.676.4-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)32.440.973.3-8.510%-
Last 5 (5)31.844.075.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.842.174.9-9.45%-
vs Similar (8)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A20/11
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/11
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A07/01
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/01
TBL
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/01
TBL
82.9Avg total
46.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.281.3+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.133.578.7+11.6100%-
Last 30 away (15)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.536.482.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.084.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)45.040.685.6+4.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.234.277.4+9.188%-
This opponent (Gemlik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gemliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gemlik: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.3
51.5%
51.4%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.3
42.0%
34.2%34.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.7%
72.1%11.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
72.1%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/5 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gemlik
LLWLLLWLLL
Samsunspor
WWWLWWWLWW
#15
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+11.3
117.8
Offensive rating
116.1
112.3
Defensive rating
104.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
42.0%
3-point %
39.2%
45.3%
Assist %
74.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 116.1Defence112.3 · 104.8Shooting56.6% · 53.8%3-point %42.0% · 39.2%Ball care13.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds23.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Gemlik   ■ Samsunspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gemlik wins
5
Samsunspor wins
DateGameScore
16/10/22Samsunspor v Gemlik77-52
08/05/22Gemlik v Samsunspor64-71
09/01/22Samsunspor v Gemlik86-74
27/03/21Samsunspor v Gemlik69-63
09/12/20Gemlik v Samsunspor75-92
Gemliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/23AFinal Spor71-82
15/01/23AMersin BŞB70-83
08/01/23HHarem Spor90-81
02/01/23AYalovaspor65-85
24/12/22HAnkara Kolejliler69-91
17/12/22AFenerbahce 281-97
11/12/22HBornova85-70
02/12/22AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor64-76
26/11/22AAnkaragucu Mamak79-104
19/11/22HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor51-68
Samsunsporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor79-75
15/01/23HOGM Ormanspor85-73
07/01/23AAntalya Güneşi96-64
30/12/22HiLab Basketbol81-86
24/12/22ABalıkesir BŞB93-84
18/12/22HAnkaragucu Mamak86-62
10/12/22HFinal Spor92-74
05/12/22AMersin BŞB73-78
27/11/22HHarem Spor105-72
20/11/22AYalovaspor76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gemlik
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%43%0%
Points / game71.274.968.4
Allowed / game81.678.384.2
Point differential-10.4-3.4-15.8
Avg total152.9153.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samsunspor
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %81%89%71%
Points / game85.784.986.7
Allowed / game71.867.277.6
Point differential+13.9+17.7+9.1
Avg total157.4152.1164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%78%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin BŞB1715288%81.770.9+10.8
2 Samsunspor1613381%85.771.8+13.9
3 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1613381%79.171.4+7.7
4 Final Spor1611569%81.775.9+5.8
5 iLab Basketbol1711665%76.973.8+3.1
6 Yalovaspor1610662%75.669.7+5.9
7 Ankara Kolejliler1610662%85.881.6+4.1
8 Balıkesir BŞB168850%80.282.4-2.2
9 Ankaragucu Mamak178947%80.678.4+2.3
10 Fenerbahce 21771041%75.878.9-3.1
11 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor1661038%74.178.7-4.6
12 OGM Ormanspor1761135%73.874.9-1.2
13 Harem Spor1761135%75.282.8-7.6
14 Gemlik1631319%71.281.6-10.4
15 Bornova1731418%71.480.8-9.4
16 Antalya Güneşi1721512%70.884.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gemlik1926212894
Samsunspor2227152084
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