Geneva Lions host BBC Monthey on 14 November 2026 in the SB League, and the Pythia model names the Lions the clear favourite, assigning them a 99% chance to win because they are undefeated 8-0, averaging 95.4 points per game while allowing only 61.2, and sit first in the league. BBC Monthey, 2-6 overall, have struggled offensively at 79.9 points per game and defensively at 88.4, and are 0-4 on the road, scoring just 74.2 and conceding 100.8; their last five games included two wins and three losses. The Lions have gone 5-0 in their last five home outings, with recent victories over Absheron Lions, SAM Massagno, and BC Prievidza, while Monthey's recent results include a win over Neuchatel and losses to Regio Basel and SAM Massagno. Historically, the Lions have won 7 of 10 meetings, most recently beating Monthey 106-75 on 21 February 2026. Pythia projects a 101-71 score, 171.5 total points, and a 61% probability that the total will exceed the 167.0 line, with a 0% chance of overtime. The Lions' dominant record and recent form suggest they will comfortably cover the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 95.4 | 61.2 | 156.6 | +34.1 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.0 | 70.8 | 158.8 | +17.2 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 102.8 | 51.8 | 154.5 | +51.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 92.1 | 73.2 | 165.3 | +18.9 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 99.0 | 78.8 | 177.8 | +20.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 80.0 | 86.3 | 166.3 | -6.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (1) | 97.0 | 96.0 | 193.0 | +1.0 | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 90.0 | 70.8 | 160.8 | +19.3 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 79.9 | 88.4 | 168.2 | -8.5 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 85.5 | 76.0 | 161.5 | +9.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 74.2 | 100.8 | 175.0 | -26.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.2 | 92.6 | 167.8 | -17.4 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 88.2 | 171.0 | -5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 75.6 | 96.6 | 172.3 | -21.0 | 5% |
| vs Similar (6) | 84.2 | 87.8 | 172.0 | -3.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.5 | 77.0 | 167.5 | +13.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.5 | 39.3 | 83.8 | +5.1 | 67% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.5 | 41.2 | 84.8 | +2.2 | 56% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.6 | 37.1 | 82.7 | +8.4 | 79% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.1 | 39.3 | 85.4 | +6.8 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.6 | 43.6 | 92.2 | +5.0 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 44.7 | 45.2 | 89.8 | -0.5 | 50% | 83% |
| vs Similar (1) | 44.0 | 49.0 | 93.0 | -5.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 44.7 | 37.0 | 81.8 | +7.7 | 77% | 41% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.5 | 48.0 | 86.4 | -9.5 | 23% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.9 | 45.1 | 84.0 | -6.3 | 27% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.1 | 50.8 | 88.9 | -12.7 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.7 | 46.2 | 80.9 | -11.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 43.4 | 85.0 | -1.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 37.5 | 50.5 | 88.0 | -13.0 | 14% | 59% |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.8 | 42.7 | 82.5 | -2.8 | 50% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 44.5 | 36.0 | 80.5 | +8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 159.5 | 77.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| Over 161.5 | 73.4% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 88.5 | 89.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Lost |
| Over 160.5 | 75.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 89.5 | 87.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Over 162.5 | 71.3% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 92.5 | 80.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 90.5 | 85.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Lost |
| Over 157.5 | 80.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 86.5 | 92.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 94.5 | 74.3% | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.31 | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 84.5 | 95.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 82.5 | 96.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Over 152.5 | 88.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 80.5 | 98.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 79.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 78.5 | 98.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions over 95.5 | 70.9% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| Over 142.5 | 96.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Over 147.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions -11.5 | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Geneva Lions -21.5 | 78.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| Geneva Lions -16.5 | 88.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 87.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 86.5 | 94.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 84.5 | 91.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 90.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 82.5 | 88.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 80.5 | 84.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 84.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 77.5 | 75.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 78.5 | 78.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 75.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| BBC Monthey under 76.5 | 72.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -6.3pp | Won |
| Over 163 | 70.7% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.6 | 21.2 | 52.7% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.4 | 9.2 | 31.5% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.8 | 20.8 | 70.3% | 20.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.4 | 17.2 | 52.7% | 34.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.9 | 7.7 | 31.5% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.9 | 15.3 | 70.3% | 15.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 | BBC Monthey v Geneva Lions | 75-106 |
| 10/01/26 | BBC Monthey v Geneva Lions | 80-107 |
| 01/11/25 | Geneva Lions v BBC Monthey | 91-96 |
| 29/03/25 | Geneva Lions v BBC Monthey | 106-91 |
| 21/12/24 | BBC Monthey v Geneva Lions | 75-95 |
| 13/10/24 | Geneva Lions v BBC Monthey | 93-58 |
| 11/04/24 | Geneva Lions v BBC Monthey | 97-68 |
| 09/04/24 | BBC Monthey v Geneva Lions | 77-62 |
| 01/04/24 | BBC Monthey v Geneva Lions | 77-69 |
| 30/03/24 | Geneva Lions v BBC Monthey | 90-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Absheron Lions | 85-77 |
| 07/11/26 | H | SAM Massagno | 103-76 |
| 04/11/26 | H | BC Prievidza | 97-96 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Regio Basel | 117-55 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Benfica | 93-90 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Lugano Tigers | 92-74 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Denizli Basket | 76-80 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Neuchatel | 91-41 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Bakken Bears | 73-78 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Lausanne Basket | 94-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Regio Basel | 82-92 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Neuchatel | 88-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | SAM Massagno | 83-97 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Sdent BBC Nyon | 62-118 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Zurich | 99-62 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Lausanne Basket | 80-94 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Fribourg Olympic | 73-78 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Lugano Tigers | 72-94 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Fribourg Olympic | 47-92 |
| 21/04/26 | A | Fribourg Olympic | 66-127 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 95.4 | 88.0 | 102.8 |
| Allowed / game | 61.2 | 70.8 | 51.8 |
| Point differential | +34.1 | +17.2 | +51.0 |
| Avg total | 156.6 | 158.8 | 154.5 |
| Over 167.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 25% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.9 | 85.5 | 74.2 |
| Allowed / game | 88.4 | 76.0 | 100.8 |
| Point differential | -8.5 | +9.5 | -26.5 |
| Avg total | 168.2 | 161.5 | 175.0 |
| Over 167.5 | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 95.4 | 61.2 | +34.1 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 84.3 | 68.3 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 88.8 | 79.8 | +9.0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 85.2 | 77.0 | +8.2 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.6 | 78.5 | +5.1 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 68.1 | 76.9 | -8.8 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.9 | 88.4 | -8.5 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 74.0 | 84.9 | -10.9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 70.5 | 87.8 | -17.2 | |
| 10 | Zurich | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 61.4 | 89.2 | -27.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | 20 | 24 | 76 | |
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 57 |
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