PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Geneva Lions vs BC Prievidza Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 87-83
Projected total 169.8
Final 97-96
27-25 17-24 27-27 26-20
Position#18
Record2-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.8
Geneva Lions 🏆
Vs
61%
39%
■ GLI 61%■ PRI 39%
Pythia win probability
BC Prievidza
Position#29
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Pavilion des Sports
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Geneva Lions host BC Prievidza in the FIBA Europe Cup on 4 November 2026, with the Lions the clear favourite as the model gives them a 61% chance of victory over Prievidza's 39%. The Lions are 2-2 in the competition, scoring 86.8 points per game while conceding 82.8, and sit 24th in the league; at home they are 1-2, averaging 80.7 points and allowing 82.7. Their last five games show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 117-55 away win over Regio Basel, a 93-90 home win over Benfica and a 92-74 home win over Lugano Tigers. Prievidza are 3-3 overall, with 89.8 points scored and 82.7 allowed, positioned 19th; on the road they are 1-2, averaging 85.0 points and conceding 88.0. Their recent five games include three wins and two losses, including a 101-90 away win over Spisski Rytieri, a 78-83 home loss to Bakken Bears and an 83-81 away win over MBK Handlova. Pythia projects a 87-83 score for the Lions, a total of 169.8 points, and a 5% chance of overtime, with the Lions covering the spread at 61%. The Lions' 87 points would be enough to win and cover the line.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geneva Lions winWon
61.0%fair 1.64
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Prievidza winLost
39.0%fair 2.56
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geneva LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Zurich
#10
W
109-46
109
46
+63
104avg 82
A29/09
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
W
71-64
71
64
+7
53avg 82
H03/10
SB League
Absheron Lions
#43
W
105-83
105
83
+22
104avg 82
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#4
W
94-65
94
65
+29
86avg 82
A10/10
SB League
Bakken Bears
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neuchatel
#6
W
91-41
91
41
+50
79avg 82
A17/10
SB League
Denizli Basket
#30
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 82
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
83avg 82
H24/10
SB League
Benfica
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
85avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Regio Basel
#9
W
117-55
117
55
+62
no box
A01/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
34-12
23-15
34-7
10-25
24-15
14-13
23-11
25-16
24-20
30-23
26-24
19-15
24-16
21-18
30-16
20-27
22-10
12-26
19-15
19-11
27-10
22-6
23-14
24-19
15-23
17-15
20-23
24-23
24-21
22-8
22-22
28-33
22-22
19-14
24-21
30-18
27-18
30-8
30-11
159.7Avg total
92.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.882.8169.5+4.050%
Season at home (3)80.782.7163.3-2.033%
Season away (1)105.083.0188.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.167.6159.7+24.580%
Last 5 (5)93.868.0161.8+25.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.086.3166.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.579.0153.5-4.50%
vs Weaker (21)94.369.5163.8+24.990%
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrievidza
Date
Competition
Samobor
#49
W
98-65
98
65
+33
100avg 77
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#4
W
104-77
104
77
+27
99avg 77
A03/10
Extraliga
Denizli Basket
#30
L
69-83
69
83
-14
51avg 77
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Inter Basket
#7
W
100-50
100
50
+50
97avg 77
H10/10
Extraliga
Absheron Lions
#43
W
108-84
108
84
+24
106avg 77
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nitra Blue Wings
#8
W
122-79
122
79
+43
119avg 77
H17/10
Extraliga
Benfica
#7
L
83-98
83
98
-15
76avg 77
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MBK Handlova
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
68avg 77
A24/10
Extraliga
Bakken Bears
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 77
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spisski Rytieri
#5
W
101-90
101
90
+11
86avg 77
A31/10
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-19
29-11
31-19
24-29
27-15
33-20
20-13
21-30
20-19
16-16
12-18
20-13
27-9
28-15
25-13
25-20
23-14
34-25
26-25
30-17
31-18
33-28
28-16
20-28
26-19
14-22
23-29
25-24
16-24
24-14
18-19
20-20
16-19
22-19
20-25
26-35
27-20
26-24
22-11
173.6Avg total
94.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.882.7172.5+7.250%
Season at home (3)94.777.3172.0+17.367%
Season away (3)85.088.0173.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)94.679.0173.6+15.670%
Last 5 (5)93.486.2179.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.291.4168.6-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.088.7165.7-11.70%
vs Weaker (22)92.978.0170.9+14.982%
This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1302%1353%1404%1457%1509%15511%16012%16512%17011%1759%1807%1855%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%215
0%1252%1354%1459%15512%16511%1757%1853%1951%2050%215
Pythia expects about 170 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
71.0%
Under 160.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
59.6%
Under 165.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
47.4%
Under 170.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Geneva Lions total 80.5Actual: Geneva Lions over 80.5
Over 80.5
71.6%
Under 80.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Geneva Lions total 84.5Actual: Geneva Lions over 84.5
Over 84.5
58.0%
Under 84.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Geneva Lions total 88.5Actual: Geneva Lions over 88.5
Over 88.5
43.4%
Under 88.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Prievidza total 77Actual: BC Prievidza over 77
Over 77
72.2%
Under 77
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Prievidza total 81Actual: BC Prievidza over 81
Over 81
57.7%
Under 81
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Prievidza total 85Actual: BC Prievidza over 85
Over 85
42.1%
Under 85
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-155%-127%-99%-69%-36%+010%+39%+69%+97%+126%+154%+183%+212%+242%+271%+301%+330%+36
1%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+39%+96%+153%+212%+271%+33
Margin from Geneva Lions's side (positive = Geneva Lions win). Pythia's expected margin is +3.6; Geneva Lions win by 1+ in 54% of simulations.
Spread Geneva Lions -3Actual: BC Prievidza +3
GLI -3
53.3%
PRI +3
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
GLI
No market prices yet.
PRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Geneva Lions 0Actual: Geneva Lions 0
GLI 0
61.0%
PRI 0
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
GLI
No market prices yet.
PRI
No market prices yet.
Spread Geneva Lions +3Actual: Geneva Lions +3
GLI +3
68.6%
PRI -3
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
GLI
No market prices yet.
PRI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +8.7+8.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +8.7+8.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Geneva LionsBC Prievidza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geneva LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zurich
#10
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A29/09
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H03/10
SB League
Absheron Lions
#43
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A10/10
SB League
Bakken Bears
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neuchatel
#6
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A17/10
SB League
Denizli Basket
#30
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/10
SB League
Benfica
#7
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Regio Basel
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A01/11
SB League
82.6Avg total
46.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.738.784.4+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.085.1+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)46.337.483.7+8.980%-
Last 10 (10)46.036.682.6+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.687.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.745.289.8-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)46.936.583.4+10.481%-
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#49
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/10
Extraliga
Denizli Basket
#30
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Inter Basket
#7
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H10/10
Extraliga
Absheron Lions
#43
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nitra Blue Wings
#8
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H17/10
Extraliga
Benfica
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MBK Handlova
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/10
Extraliga
Bakken Bears
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spisski Rytieri
#5
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A31/10
Extraliga
87.0Avg total
46.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.485.8+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.636.482.1+9.264%-
Last 30 away (16)43.245.889.0-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.887.0+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.892.2+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.246.281.4-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.741.080.7-1.30%-
vs Weaker (22)47.040.487.5+6.664%-
This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Geneva Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geneva Lions: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.1%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.421.8
79.6%
72.8%21.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Prievidzatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Prievidza: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.3
54.9%
53.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.4
38.0%
32.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.517.5
74.5%
72.8%17.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Geneva Lions
WWWLWLWWWW
BC Prievidza
WLWLWWWLWW
#18
League position
#29
+22.7
Net rating
+16.5
100.8
Offensive rating
101.6
78.2
Defensive rating
85.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
38.0%
55.4%
Assist %
55.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 101.6Defence78.2 · 85.1Shooting52.3% · 55.8%3-point %36.2% · 38.0%Ball care13.6% · 14.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Geneva Lions   ■ BC Prievidza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geneva Lions wins
0
BC Prievidza wins
No previous meetings.
Geneva Lionslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ARegio Basel117-55
28/10/26HBenfica93-90
24/10/26HLugano Tigers92-74
21/10/26HDenizli Basket76-80
17/10/26ANeuchatel91-41
14/10/26HBakken Bears73-78
10/10/26ALausanne Basket94-65
07/10/26AAbsheron Lions105-83
03/10/26HFribourg Olympic71-64
29/09/26AZurich109-46
BC Prievidzalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASpisski Rytieri101-90
27/10/26HBakken Bears78-83
24/10/26AMBK Handlova83-81
21/10/26ABenfica83-98
17/10/26HNitra Blue Wings122-79
13/10/26HAbsheron Lions108-84
10/10/26HInter Basket100-50
06/10/26ADenizli Basket69-83
03/10/26AKosice Wolves104-77
30/09/26HSamobor98-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geneva Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game86.880.7105.0
Allowed / game82.882.783.0
Point differential+4.0-2.0+22.0
Avg total169.5163.3188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Prievidza
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game89.894.785.0
Allowed / game82.777.388.0
Point differential+7.2+17.3-3.0
Avg total172.5172.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
2 Trier550100%95.672.2+23.4
3 Mykonos550100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
5 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
6 Korfez Basket54180%84.673.4+11.2
7 Benfica54180%94.484.8+9.6
8 Dziki Warszawa54180%86.879.6+7.2
9 Szczecin54180%86.279.6+6.6
10 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
11 VEF Riga53260%97.085.0+12.0
12 Chalon/Saone53260%83.072.6+10.4
13 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
14 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
15 Promitheas53260%91.884.0+7.8
16 Iraklis53260%84.076.6+7.4
17 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
18 BC Kalev/Cramo53260%81.080.2+0.8
19 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
20 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
21 Lok. Plovdiv53260%83.483.2+0.2
22 AEK Larnaca53260%80.280.4-0.2
23 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
24 Trepca53260%78.881.2-2.4
25 Zielona Gora53260%80.886.6-5.8
26 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
27 Geneva Lions42250%86.882.8+4.0
28 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
29 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
30 Dinamo Bucharest73443%88.380.1+8.1
31 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
32 Vienna Basket52340%79.482.0-2.6
33 Valmiera Glass Via52340%80.284.6-4.4
34 SCM Craiova52340%89.294.8-5.6
35 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
36 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
37 Parnu72529%72.378.0-5.7
38 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
39 Manchester Basketball41325%76.589.0-12.5
40 Gence41325%72.586.0-13.5
41 Opava51420%84.488.0-3.6
42 Nitra Blue Wings51420%76.287.8-11.6
43 Absheron Lions51420%85.097.4-12.4
44 Fribourg Olympic51420%71.687.6-16.0
45 Neftchi IK71614%74.483.0-8.6
46 MZT Skopje5050%71.884.0-12.2
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Batumi5050%68.894.6-25.8
49 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geneva Lions2717272697
BC Prievidza2524272096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.