George Mason vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 64-56

28-30 36-26

Position#31

Record8-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game62.7

George Mason 🏆

Mount St. Mary's

Position#112

Record8-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game75.8

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Mason winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mount St. Mary's winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George Mason USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stony Brook

#339

94-56

+38

H12/11

NCAA

Central Michigan

#242

69-70

-1

H14/11

NCAA

East Carolina

#144

77-78 OT

-1

A16/11

NCAA

Coppin State

#351

93-55

+38

H21/11

NCAA

Ferrum

#583

100-55

100

+45

H23/11

NCAA

James Madison

#110

66-61

A29/11

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#86

74-52

+22

H04/12

NCAA

Tulane

#139

76-64

+12

H07/12

NCAA

Duke

47-68

-21

A18/12

NCAA

Penn

#331

85-53

+32

H22/12

NCAA

46-27

48-29

33-36

36-34

31-35

30-26

48-21

45-34

44-27

56-28

26-24

40-37

34-26

40-26

45-27

31-37

16-25

31-43

35-25

50-28

139.3Avg total

78.1Scored

61.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.6	62.7	139.2	+13.9	67%
Season at home (8)	83.2	57.9	141.1	+25.4	88%
Season away (4)	63.2	72.2	135.5	-9.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	61.2	139.3	+16.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	59.6	129.2	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	68.0	115.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (15)	65.2	65.7	130.9	-0.5	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	77.8	64.3	142.1	+13.5	69%

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mount St. Mary's USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bucknell

#166

93-89 OT

A14/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

66-58

H17/11

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

51-79

-28

A21/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#170

76-66

+10

H23/11

NCAA

Howard

#302

79-75

A30/11

NCAA

Marist

#80

50-53

-3

A07/12

NCAA

Fairfield

#307

101-94

101

H08/12

NCAA

Loyola Maryland

#294

69-77

-8

H15/12

NCAA

LIU Sharks

#194

80-72

A19/12

NCAA

Miami (FL)

#344

78-74 OT

A21/12

NCAA

33-39

38-32

31-28

35-30

22-35

29-44

38-31

38-35

36-34

43-41

29-31

21-22

49-39

52-55

24-35

45-42

34-29

46-43

28-38

38-28

148.0Avg total

74.3Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	72.4	75.8	148.2	-3.5	62%
Season at home (5)	82.0	71.4	153.4	+10.6	80%
Season away (8)	66.4	78.6	145.0	-12.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	73.7	148.0	+0.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	74.0	149.6	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.0	81.4	155.4	-7.4	38%
vs Similar (18)	69.6	71.9	141.4	-2.3	44%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	68.8	150.2	+12.8	100%

This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

George MasonMount St. Mary's

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stony Brook

#339

46-27

+19

H12/11

NCAA

Central Michigan

#242

33-36

-3

H14/11

NCAA

East Carolina

#144

31-35

-4

A16/11

NCAA

Coppin State

#351

48-21

+27

H21/11

NCAA

Ferrum

#583

44-27

+17

H23/11

NCAA

James Madison

#110

26-24

A29/11

NCAA

UNC Asheville

#86

34-26

H04/12

NCAA

Tulane

#139

45-27

+18

H07/12

NCAA

Duke

16-25

-9

A18/12

NCAA

Penn

#331

35-25

+10

H22/12

NCAA

63.1Avg total

35.8Scored

27.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	29.4	62.4	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	36.6	28.6	65.1	+8.0	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	27.7	30.6	58.2	-2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	27.3	63.1	+8.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	25.4	56.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	25.0	41.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	31.4	30.8	62.2	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	35.3	28.2	63.5	+7.1	69%	-

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bucknell

#166

33-39

-6

A14/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

31-28

H17/11

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

22-35

-13

A21/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#170

38-31

H23/11

NCAA

Howard

#302

36-34

A30/11

NCAA

Marist

#80

29-31

-2

A07/12

NCAA

Fairfield

#307

49-39

+10

H08/12

NCAA

Loyola Maryland

#294

24-35

-11

H15/12

NCAA

LIU Sharks

#194

34-29

A19/12

NCAA

Miami (FL)

#344

28-38

-10

A21/12

NCAA

66.3Avg total

32.4Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	34.4	68.0	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	33.0	68.7	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.9	35.6	67.4	-3.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.4	33.9	66.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	34.4	67.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.5	39.6	75.1	-4.1	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	31.7	32.3	64.0	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.8	33.2	72.0	+5.5	75%	-

This opponent (George Mason) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	34.9	72.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.4	33.4	72.9	+6.0	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.0	37.1	72.1	-2.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	32.2	72.9	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.2	72.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	43.0	74.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	33.8	34.9	68.7	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.2	34.8	76.0	+6.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.8	76.3	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	39.7	80.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	37.9	72.3	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.0	78.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.5	41.8	80.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	33.5	73.2	+6.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

George Mason wins

Mount St. Mary's wins

No previous meetings.

George Masonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/24	H	Penn	85-53
18/12/24	A	Duke	47-68
07/12/24	H	Tulane	76-64
04/12/24	H	UNC Asheville	74-52
29/11/24	A	James Madison	66-61
23/11/24	H	Ferrum	100-55
21/11/24	H	Coppin State	93-55
16/11/24	A	East Carolina	77-78 OT
14/11/24	H	Central Michigan	69-70
12/11/24	H	Stony Brook	94-56

Mount St. Mary'slast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/24	A	Miami (FL)	78-74 OT
19/12/24	A	LIU Sharks	80-72
15/12/24	H	Loyola Maryland	69-77
08/12/24	H	Fairfield	101-94
07/12/24	A	Marist	50-53
30/11/24	A	Howard	79-75
23/11/24	H	Delaware State	76-66
21/11/24	A	Georgetown	51-79
17/11/24	H	St. Francis (PA)	66-58
14/11/24	A	Bucknell	93-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Mason

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	8	4
Win %	67%	88%	25%
Points / game	76.6	83.2	63.2
Allowed / game	62.7	57.9	72.2
Point differential	+13.9	+25.4	-9.0
Avg total	139.2	141.1	135.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	88%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	0%	25%

Mount St. Mary's

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	LWLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	62%	80%	50%
Points / game	72.4	82.0	66.4
Allowed / game	75.8	71.4	78.6
Point differential	-3.5	+10.6	-12.2
Avg total	148.2	153.4	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	15%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	St. Bonaventure	13	12	1	92%	72.1	59.6	+12.5
2	Rhode Island	12	11	1	92%	85.7	71.6	+14.1
3	George Washington	13	11	2	85%	79.8	67.5	+12.4
4	VCU Rams	13	10	3	77%	77.6	61.3	+16.3
5	Dayton	13	10	3	77%	77.2	67.2	+10.0
6	Davidson	12	9	3	75%	77.0	69.9	+7.1
7	Loyola Chicago	13	9	4	69%	77.2	66.5	+10.7
8	Saint Josephs Hawks	13	9	4	69%	76.4	67.6	+8.8
9	George Mason	12	8	4	67%	76.6	62.7	+13.9
10	La Salle	13	8	5	62%	78.7	73.4	+5.3
11	Fordham	13	8	5	62%	76.9	74.5	+2.5
12	St. Louis Billikens	12	6	6	50%	77.2	73.2	+4.0
13	Richmond Spiders	12	5	7	42%	72.8	74.6	-1.8
14	Duquesne	13	5	8	38%	67.8	64.6	+3.2

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Marist	10	8	2	80%	71.3	68.8	+2.5
2	Mount St. Mary's	13	8	5	62%	72.4	75.8	-3.5
3	Manhattan	11	6	5	55%	75.5	76.5	-1.0
4	St. Peters	10	5	5	50%	71.9	66.6	+5.3
5	Quinnipiac	12	5	7	42%	71.1	74.3	-3.2
6	Fairfield	12	5	7	42%	70.9	74.2	-3.3
7	Siena	12	5	7	42%	66.3	70.2	-3.9
8	Niagara	12	5	7	42%	66.9	71.2	-4.3
9	Merrimack Warriors	13	5	8	38%	63.5	67.8	-4.2
10	Sacred Heart	12	4	8	33%	72.1	76.4	-4.3
11	Iona	12	4	8	33%	67.1	73.9	-6.8
12	Rider	13	4	9	31%	63.6	73.4	-9.8
13	Canisius	13	0	13	0%	61.6	80.5	-18.9