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George Washington vs Navy Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-39
44-24 47-15
Position#21
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
George Washington 🏆
USA
Vs
56%
44%
■ GEOR 56%■ NAVY 44%
Pythia win probability
Projected 73-71
Projected total 144.4
Navy
USA
Position#403
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · George Washington v Navy
02 Nov 2026
GEOR91
NAVY39
05 Dec 2023
GEOR79
NAVY77
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

George Washington hosts Navy on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Hoyas as the stronger side; the Pythia model gives George Washington a 56% chance to win versus Navy's 44%, projecting a 73-71 score for a total of 144.4 points. The Hoyas' last five outings include two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to St. Louis Billikens 81-88, Loyola Chicago 62-68, and a victory over Fordham 66-62, all away games. Navy, meanwhile, has won four of its last five, dropping a 72-73 loss to Boston University at home but securing wins over Bucknell 74-69 and Colgate 85-69, both at home. Their head-to-head history is even, with each team winning one of the two meetings and the most recent contest ending 79-77 in favour of George Washington on 5 December 2023. The Pythia spread of -16.5 gives the Hoyas a 10% probability of covering, while the over line of 149.0 carries a 38% chance of exceeding, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. The final projected score of 73-71 reflects the model's assessment that George Washington will edge Navy by two points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

George Washington winWon
55.7%fair 1.80
Best odds1.07
Implied89.4%
Edge-33.8pp
Navy winLost
44.3%fair 2.26
Best odds11.00
Implied10.6%
Edge+33.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

George WashingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H11/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H14/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
46-48
34-18
41-52
32-30
40-23
46-48
29-41
45-35
59-42
31-34
35-34
36-35
37-38
27-31
35-37
38-17
28-45
48-34
33-54
152.3Avg total
77.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.874.5152.3+3.350%
Last 5 (5)73.273.6146.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.284.8163.0-6.50%
vs Similar (9)74.270.8145.0+3.444%
vs Weaker (17)85.573.4158.9+12.165%
NavyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A05/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A09/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A26/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
39-26
39-35
43-38
35-24
41-36
40-28
37-49
32-20
40-29
43-27
38-36
43-25
35-26
47-40
38-29
36-39
38-30
35-36
37-37
140.6Avg total
76.9Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.963.7140.6+13.290%
Last 5 (5)78.065.0143.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)59.080.0139.0-21.00%
vs Weaker (27)76.462.6139.0+13.889%
Over/Under 144Actual: Under 144
Over 144
50.4%
@ 1.45-13.8pp
Under 144
49.6%
@ 2.60+13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 149 · main lineActual: Under 149
Over 149
38.2%
@ 1.90-11.3pp
Under 149
61.8%
@ 1.86+11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Over/Under 154Actual: Under 154
Over 154
27.3%
@ 2.55-9.3pp
Under 154
72.7%
@ 1.47+9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

George Washington total 79Actual: George Washington over 79
Over 79
27.2%
Under 79
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
George Washington total 83 · main lineActual: George Washington over 83
Over 83
15.7%
@ 1.86-34.2pp
Under 83
84.3%
@ 1.85+34.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
George Washington total 87Actual: George Washington over 87
Over 87
8.1%
Under 87
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Navy total 62Actual: Navy under 62
Over 62
82.7%
Under 62
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Navy total 66 · main lineActual: Navy under 66
Over 66
70.5%
@ 1.85+20.5pp
Under 66
29.5%
@ 1.85-20.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Navy total 70Actual: Navy under 70
Over 70
55.4%
Under 70
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread George Washington -19.5Actual: George Washington -19.5
GEOR -19.5
6.4%
@ 2.30-34.4pp
NAVY +19.5
93.6%
@ 1.57+34.4pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.22
NAVY
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Spread George Washington -16.5 · main lineActual: George Washington -16.5
GEOR -16.5
10.0%
@ 1.90-40.4pp
NAVY +16.5
90.0%
@ 1.91+40.4pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
BetVictor
1.80
NAVY
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Spread George Washington -13.5Actual: George Washington -13.5
GEOR -13.5
15.0%
@ 1.55-44.5pp
NAVY +13.5
85.0%
@ 2.30+44.5pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
NAVY
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +5.0+5.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +5.0+5.0
George WashingtonNavy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
George WashingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#166
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H11/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H14/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H28/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
38-17
38
17
+21
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)40.234.174.4+6.160%53%
Last 30 at home (15)40.832.873.6+8.067%47%
Last 30 away (15)39.735.575.1+4.253%60%
Last 10 (10)37.732.269.9+5.560%50%
Last 5 (5)36.030.266.2+5.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.236.075.2+3.250%75%
vs Similar (9)38.133.371.4+4.856%22%
vs Weaker (17)41.634.175.7+7.565%65%
NavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
37.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)35.229.865.0+5.473%30%
Last 30 at home (17)38.230.969.1+7.376%53%
Last 30 away (13)31.328.359.6+3.069%0%
Last 10 (10)37.629.867.4+7.880%40%
Last 5 (5)40.833.474.2+7.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)25.041.566.5-16.50%0%
vs Weaker (27)36.029.665.5+6.478%33%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: George Washington win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.14
NAVY win
no forecast
@ 5.70
1st half Spread George Washington -8.5 · main lineActual: George Washington -8.5
GEOR -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
NAVY +8.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 70.5 · main lineActual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
George Washington 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: George Washington over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Navy 1st half total 31.5 · main lineActual: Navy under 31.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread George Washington -9.5Actual: George Washington -9.5
GEOR -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
NAVY +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread George Washington -7.5Actual: George Washington -7.5
GEOR -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
NAVY +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread George Washington -10.5Actual: George Washington -10.5
GEOR -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
NAVY +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread George Washington -6.5Actual: George Washington -6.5
GEOR -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
NAVY +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread George Washington -11.5Actual: George Washington -11.5
GEOR -11.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
NAVY +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread George Washington -5.5Actual: George Washington -5.5
GEOR -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
NAVY +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: George Washington (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.18
Draw
no forecast
@ 29.00
NAVY
no forecast
@ 5.60

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 149.5
🔒 Pro
NAVY win + total 149.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Navy +974.7%3.65
Bet365
3.65		----+49.2ppLost
Navy +1077.5%3.25
Bet365
3.25		----+49.0ppLost
Navy +1180.1%2.90
Bet365
2.90		----+48.2ppLost
Navy +1282.5%2.65
Bet365
2.65		----+47.4ppLost
Navy +1384.6%2.50
Bet365
2.50		----+47.1ppLost
Navy +10.578.1%2.96
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.87		---+46.8ppLost
Navy +9.575.4%3.20
Bet365
3.30
Betano
3.10		---+46.5ppLost
Navy +11.580.6%2.69
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.65		---+46.2ppLost
Navy +12.582.9%2.50
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45		---+45.9ppLost
Navy +8.572.5%3.45
Bet365
3.70
Betano
3.20		---+45.4ppLost
Navy +1486.6%2.22
Bet365
2.22		----+45.0ppLost
Navy +13.585.0%2.29
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27		---+44.5ppLost
Navy +1588.3%2.05
Bet365
2.05		----+43.3ppLost
Navy +14.586.8%2.10
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
2.07		--+43.2ppLost
Navy +1689.9%1.95
Marathon Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95		---+42.1ppLost
Navy +15.588.5%1.96
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
BetVictor
1.85		-+41.7ppLost
Navy +16.590.0%1.88
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.89
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83		+40.4ppLost
Navy +1791.2%1.81
Marathon Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.80		---+39.9ppLost
Navy +17.591.3%1.77
Betano
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.74		-+38.5ppLost
Navy +1892.4%1.68
Bet365
1.68		----+37.5ppLost
Navy +18.592.5%1.66
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.64		--+37.2ppLost
George Washington under 78.570.4%2.65
Betano
2.65		----+36.4ppLost
George Washington under 79.573.7%2.40
Betano
2.40		----+36.0ppLost
George Washington under 80.576.8%2.22
Betano
2.22		----+36.0ppLost
Navy +1993.5%1.58
Bet365
1.58		----+35.1ppLost
George Washington under 81.579.6%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+35.0ppLost
Navy +19.593.6%1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55		---+34.4ppLost
George Washington under 8384.3%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84		---+34.2ppLost
George Washington under 82.582.3%1.90
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.85		-+33.7ppLost
George Washington under 83.584.7%1.79
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78		---+33.0ppLost
Navy +20.594.5%1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		---+32.1ppLost
Navy +2094.4%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+31.9ppLost
George Washington under 84.586.8%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+31.0ppLost
Navy +21.595.3%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40		---+30.2ppLost
George Washington under 85.588.8%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+29.6ppLost
Navy +2195.2%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+29.5ppLost
Navy +22.596.0%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.34		---+27.8ppLost
George Washington under 86.590.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+27.8ppLost
Navy +2295.9%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+27.0ppLost
George Washington under 87.592.0%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+25.9ppLost
Navy +23.596.6%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.28		---+25.7ppLost
George Washington under 88.593.4%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+24.9ppLost
Navy +2396.5%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+24.6ppLost
Navy +2497.1%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+22.3ppLost
Navy +24.597.1%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+21.8ppLost
Navy over 6670.5%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		----+20.5ppLost
Navy over 65.571.5%1.77
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.75		---+19.5ppLost
Navy over 64.574.8%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+18.4ppLost
Navy over 63.577.8%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+17.6ppLost
Navy over 62.580.6%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+16.8ppLost
Navy over 61.583.2%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+16.1ppLost
Under 153.571.3%1.51
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50		---+9.7ppWon
Under 15370.7%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+9.5ppWon
Under 15472.7%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+9.3ppWon
Under 154.573.3%1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43		---+9.2ppWon
Under 15574.7%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+9.0ppWon
Under 155.575.2%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38		---+8.9ppWon
Under 15778.4%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+8.4ppWon
Under 156.577.0%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33		---+8.2ppWon
Under 157.578.8%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+7.8ppWon
Under 15676.6%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+7.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
George Washington wins
1
Navy wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23George Washington v Navy79-77 OT
25/11/20Navy v George Washington78-71
George Washingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens81-88
12/03/26AFordham66-62
07/03/26ALoyola Chicago62-68
05/03/26HSt. Bonaventure91-82 OT
28/02/26HDayton66-68
24/02/26ALa Salle104-77
18/02/26AVCU Rams75-89
14/02/26HGeorge Mason72-53
11/02/26HRhode Island75-70
07/02/26ADuquesne86-88
Navylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HBoston University72-73
06/03/26HBucknell74-69
28/02/26HColgate85-69
26/02/26ALoyola Maryland78-51
21/02/26AArmy81-63
19/02/26HLehigh72-49
14/02/26AColgate84-80 OT
09/02/26ABucknell76-60
07/02/26HAmerican University82-73
05/02/26ALafayette65-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

George Washington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 149---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Navy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 149---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
2 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
3 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
4 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
5 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University110100%93.085.0+8.0
2 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
3 American University1010%53.079.0-26.0
4 Bucknell1010%67.096.0-29.0
5 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
6 Lafayette1010%60.096.0-36.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
George Washington444791
Navy241539
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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