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Georgia vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 86-69
Projected total 154.7
Final 78-62
41-28 37-34
Position#97
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Georgia 🏆
USA
Vs
93%
■ GEOR 93%■ N. C 7%
Pythia win probability
N. Carolina Central
USA
Position#342
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgia v N. Carolina Central
02 Nov 2026
GEOR78
N. C62
12 Nov 2023
GEOR64
N. C54
04 Dec 2019
GEOR95
N. C59
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Georgia hosts N. Carolina Central on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model naming Georgia the clear favourite at 93% to win versus 7% for the opposition, a reflection of Georgia's dominant record and scoring margin. Georgia has won 5 of its last 5 games, including a 98-90 victory over Portugal away, a 101-74 win at home against Montenegro, and a 91-89 triumph over Spain at home, while N. Carolina Central has also won 3 of its last 5 with a 63-70 loss to Howard away, a 59-53 win at home over Delaware State, and an 83-76 home win over Md.-East. Shore. In their two previous meetings Georgia has won both, most recently 64-54 on 12 November 2023. The Pythia projection puts the final score at 86-69 for Georgia, with a total of 154.7 points and an over-line probability of 36% on the 160.5 total; Georgia's chance to cover the home line is 93%, and the game has a 2% chance of overtime. Georgia's recent form and historical advantage suggest they will keep the margin wide, while N. Carolina Central's recent road loss hints at a tough challenge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia winWon
93.4%fair 1.07
Best odds1.01
Implied94.2%
Edge-0.8pp
N. Carolina Central winLost
6.6%fair 15.18
Best odds51.00
Implied5.8%
Edge+0.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeorgiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Denmark
#79
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H02/03
World Cup
Alabama
#48
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
77-102
77
102
-25
H20/03
NCAA
Ukraine
#22
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A02/07
World Cup
Spain
#27
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H05/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H28/08
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-35
0-0
39-33
21-17
22-14
30-18
16-11
0-0
50-43
0-0
48-45
0-0
42-47
0-0
60-49
0-0
20-34
0-0
52-42
0-0
32-49
0-0
45-53
27-30
14-19
19-26
16-20
14-32
24-20
19-19
26-12
27-17
21-25
29-25
24-7
16-24
25-18
29-24
28-24
172.9Avg total
89.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.183.8172.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)88.690.0178.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.492.8170.2-15.420%
vs Similar (10)85.085.9170.9-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.676.7167.3+13.987%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H14/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A19/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H05/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
83-76 OT
83
76
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
23-31
51-30
29-46
30-36
42-49
26-42
41-58
27-33
47-27
23-30
54-43
26-37
38-43
34-40
40-34
32-21
27-32
23-26
40-44
142.6Avg total
69.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.573.1142.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)69.270.4139.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.880.7144.5-16.88%
vs Similar (7)73.675.0148.6-1.471%
vs Weaker (11)80.966.1147.0+14.873%
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
47.9%
@ 1.70-12.9pp
Under 155.5
52.1%
@ 2.55+12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.03
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
35.8%
@ 1.95-14.2pp
Under 160.5
64.2%
@ 1.90+14.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
25.1%
@ 2.55-11.2pp
Under 165.5
74.9%
@ 1.47+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Georgia total 92.5Actual: Georgia under 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 2.77
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.77
Georgia total 96.5 · main lineActual: Georgia under 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Georgia total 100.5Actual: Georgia under 100.5
Over 100.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under 100.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.60
N. Carolina Central total 57.5Actual: N. Carolina Central over 57.5
Over 57.5
86.5%
@ 1.44+23.5pp
Under 57.5
13.5%
@ 2.45-23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
N. Carolina Central total 61.5 · main lineActual: N. Carolina Central over 61.5
Over 61.5
75.9%
@ 1.94+27.2pp
Under 61.5
24.1%
@ 1.85-27.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.77
N. Carolina Central total 65.5Actual: N. Carolina Central under 65.5
Over 65.5
61.8%
@ 2.57+26.5pp
Under 65.5
38.2%
@ 1.40-26.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Georgia -40.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +40.5
GEOR -40.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
N. C +40.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
N. C
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread Georgia -37.5 · main lineActual: N. Carolina Central +37.5
GEOR -37.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
N. C +37.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
N. C
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Georgia -34.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +34.5
GEOR -34.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
N. C +34.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
N. C
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.00
BetVictor
1.85

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: -2.6-2.6
GeorgiaN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
GeorgiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Denmark
#79
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
World Cup
Alabama
#48
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H03/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H20/03
NCAA
Ukraine
#22
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A02/07
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H05/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H28/08
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/08
World Cup
82.7Avg total
40.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.957%57%
Last 30 at home (18)40.939.580.4+1.461%61%
Last 30 away (12)38.538.476.9+0.150%50%
Last 10 (10)40.342.482.7-2.140%80%
Last 5 (5)40.046.886.8-6.820%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.646.882.4-11.20%80%
vs Similar (10)41.037.878.8+3.270%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.737.378.0+3.367%53%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H17/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A14/03
NCAA
62.7Avg total
30.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)32.334.366.6-2.037%10%
Last 30 at home (15)38.031.169.1+6.967%13%
Last 30 away (15)26.737.564.2-10.97%7%
Last 10 (10)30.532.262.7-1.730%10%
Last 5 (5)27.630.858.4-3.220%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.237.865.0-10.58%8%
vs Similar (7)33.931.165.0+2.757%14%
vs Weaker (11)36.932.569.5+4.455%9%
This opponent (Georgia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Georgia win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.02
N. C win
no forecast
@ 15.00
1st half Spread Georgia -19 · main lineActual: N. Carolina Central +19
GEOR -19
no forecast
@ 1.87
N. C +19
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Georgia 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Georgia under 47.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
N. Carolina Central 1st half total 29 · main lineActual: N. Carolina Central under 29
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Georgia -20.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +20.5
GEOR -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
N. C +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Georgia -17.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +17.5
GEOR -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
N. C +17.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Georgia -21.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +21.5
GEOR -21.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
N. C +21.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Georgia -16.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +16.5
GEOR -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
N. C +16.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Georgia -22.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +22.5
GEOR -22.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
N. C +22.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Georgia -15.5Actual: N. Carolina Central +15.5
GEOR -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
N. C +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Georgia (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.02
Draw
no forecast
@ 51.00
N. C
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
N. C win + total 159.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Georgia under 91.570.7%2.75
Betano
2.75		----+37.4ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 6178.2%1.85
BetVictor
1.85		----+28.2ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 62.572.6%2.05
Betano
2.05		----+27.3ppLost
N. Carolina Central over 61.575.9%1.89
1xBet
1.94
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		+27.2ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 60.578.9%1.79
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78		---+27.2ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 59.581.7%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+25.6ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 58.584.2%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+24.5ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 57.586.5%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+23.5ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 56.588.5%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+22.0ppWon
N. Carolina Central over 55.590.4%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+21.8ppWon
Under 16370.2%1.65
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.62		---+13.1ppWon
Under 16472.3%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+12.6ppWon
Under 163.570.8%1.59
Marathon Bet
1.63
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.57		--+12.1ppWon
Under 16574.4%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+11.9ppWon
Under 16676.3%1.44
Bet365
1.44		----+11.8ppWon
Under 164.572.9%1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50		---+11.5ppWon
Under 16778.2%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+11.2ppWon
Under 165.574.9%1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44		---+11.2ppWon
Under 166.576.8%1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39		---+10.7ppWon
Under 16880.0%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+10.5ppWon
Under 167.578.6%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+9.7ppWon
Under 168.580.4%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+9.4ppWon
Georgia (regulation)92.4%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+0.5ppWon
Georgia win93.4%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----0.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia wins
0
N. Carolina Central wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Georgia v N. Carolina Central64-54
05/12/19Georgia v N. Carolina Central95-59
Georgialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26APortugal98-90
28/08/26HMontenegro101-74
05/07/26HSpain91-89 OT
02/07/26AUkraine76-95
20/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-102
12/03/26HOle Miss72-76
07/03/26AMississippi St.102-96
03/03/26HAlabama98-88
02/03/26HDenmark89-60
28/02/26HSouth Carolina87-68
N. Carolina Centrallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AHoward63-70
14/03/26HDelaware State59-53
13/03/26HMd.-East. Shore83-76 OT
05/03/26HSouth Carolina St64-80
03/03/26AMd.-East. Shore77-73
28/02/26ADelaware State74-60
21/02/26AHoward67-100
19/02/26ASouth Carolina St72-85
17/02/26HMorgan State80-76
14/02/26HCoppin State56-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 160.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 160.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt110100%93.047.0+46.0
2 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State110100%103.052.0+51.0
2 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
3 Delaware State110100%86.052.0+34.0
4 Howard1010%62.072.0-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia413778
N. Carolina Central283462
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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