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N. Carolina Central vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-76
51-30 29-46
Position#258
Record9-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#244
Record10-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game78.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · N. Carolina Central v Morgan State
11 Jan 2027
N. C v MORG
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
N. C80
MORG76
17 Feb 2025
N. C78
MORG92
05 Feb 2024
N. C72
MORG79
11 Feb 2023
N. C83
MORG63
08 Jan 2022
N. C v MORG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

N. Carolina Central winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A29/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H17/01
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
36-38
33-36
34-54
38-31
31-36
31-45
57-32
35-32
54-46
32-35
37-48
26-24
39-39
31-36
37-39
32-33
40-30
33-27
23-31
144.3Avg total
71.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.275.7147.9-3.639%
Season at home (11)78.466.2144.5+12.264%
Season away (12)66.584.5151.0-18.017%
Last 10 (10)71.572.8144.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)66.068.4134.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.283.7149.9-17.513%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.077.2150.2-4.250%
vs Weaker (9)83.665.0148.6+18.678%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
128-53
128
53
+75
H20/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A27/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-32
43-23
30-38
19-28
32-34
40-33
32-35
46-54
44-38
36-41
65-25
63-28
36-42
42-35
36-42
43-36
45-32
44-48
39-38
40-33
153.9Avg total
82.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.878.6153.4-3.743%
Season at home (11)84.572.7157.2+11.755%
Season away (12)66.083.9149.9-17.933%
Last 10 (10)82.471.5153.9+10.980%
Last 5 (5)90.671.8162.4+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.180.7149.8-11.627%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.282.0151.2-12.820%
vs Weaker (9)88.170.9159.0+17.289%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.7+5.7
N. Carolina CentralMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H02/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H14/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.369.0-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.431.569.8+6.969%-
Last 30 away (17)28.439.968.4-11.524%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.566.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.061.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.940.968.9-13.013%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.230.264.3+4.083%-
vs Weaker (9)39.832.672.3+7.267%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H10/01
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
65-25
65
25
+40
H20/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/01
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/02
NCAA
76.4Avg total
40.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.471.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.536.075.5+3.546%-
Last 30 away (17)30.538.569.1-8.024%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.676.4+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.880.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.038.868.8-8.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.840.372.1-8.510%-
vs Weaker (9)42.732.675.2+10.178%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HCoppin State56-58
10/02/26HDelaware State72-63
07/02/26ANorfolk State68-75
02/02/26HMd.-East. Shore65-63
17/01/26HHoward69-83
12/01/26AMorgan State89-78
10/01/26ACoppin State88-77
03/01/26HNorfolk State69-67
29/12/25APenn State67-90
20/12/25HLongwood72-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HMd.-East. Shore79-71
31/01/26ACoppin State89-80
27/01/26ANorfolk State79-78
24/01/26AHoward78-77
20/01/26HVirginia-Lynchburg128-53
17/01/26ADelaware State80-79
12/01/26HN. Carolina Central78-89
10/01/26HSouth Carolina St72-67
03/01/26AMd.-East. Shore49-66
30/12/25HPenn State Brandywine92-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLLWWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%64%17%
Points / game72.278.466.5
Allowed / game75.766.284.5
Point differential-3.6+12.2-18.0
Avg total147.9144.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW43%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayLWWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%55%33%
Points / game74.884.566.0
Allowed / game78.672.783.9
Point differential-3.7+11.7-17.9
Avg total153.4157.2149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Howard26161062%75.368.5+6.8
2 Norfolk State26121446%75.772.8+2.8
3 Morgan State23101343%74.878.6-3.7
4 N. Carolina Central2391439%72.275.7-3.6
5 Md.-East. Shore2681831%63.771.2-7.5
6 Coppin State2772026%65.480.9-15.4
7 Delaware State2461825%61.070.5-9.5
8 South Carolina St2461825%65.079.9-14.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
N. Carolina Central512980
Morgan State304676
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