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Georgia State vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 63-78
32-37 31-41
Position#332
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#149
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
58-105
58
105
-47
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
39-44
37-34
38-42
36-28
44-43
39-34
37-45
23-32
26-39
30-39
34-35
35-25
26-38
50-26
40-30
39-34
23-41
19-53
39-52
143.9Avg total
68.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.074.0138.0-10.017%
Season at home (2)75.559.5135.0+16.050%
Season away (4)58.281.2139.5-23.00%
Last 10 (10)68.975.0143.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)67.074.6141.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.384.1152.4-15.914%
vs Similar (13)74.172.7146.8+1.446%
vs Weaker (2)87.072.5159.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-52
0-0
60-56
0-0
36-38
0-0
42-57
0-0
24-45
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-43
0-0
39-42
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
38-43
0-0
35-45
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-41
0-0
38-27
0-0
33-41
0-0
29-36
0-0
32-40
0-0
40-41
163.7Avg total
78.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.180.1157.3-3.043%
Season at home (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season away (5)79.282.4161.6-3.240%
Last 10 (10)78.785.0163.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)77.280.8158.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (15)72.777.7150.5-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.972.5158.5+13.492%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -7.9-7.92nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -7.9-7.92nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +0.6+0.6
Georgia StateSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A22/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.372.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.834.172.9+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)33.138.271.3-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.334.168.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.040.573.5-7.529%-
vs Similar (13)36.233.369.5+2.954%-
vs Weaker (2)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
76.7Avg total
34.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.774.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.471.2+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)36.240.376.5-4.141%-
Last 10 (10)34.442.376.7-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.276.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (15)31.937.969.9-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.836.479.2+6.485%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASouth Dakota St.58-105
18/11/25AArizona State62-75
14/11/25HFort Valley State Wildcats90-56
11/11/25HPresbyterian61-63
08/11/25ACincinnati64-74
03/11/25AEastern Michigan49-71
07/03/25AMarshall76-79
06/03/25HGeorgia Southern80-71
01/03/25AGeorgia Southern75-76
27/02/25ACoastal Carolina74-80
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT
15/11/25AArkansas75-79
13/11/25ATexas Southern93-90 OT
08/11/25HSouth Carolina St82-72
04/11/25ATulane72-85
19/03/25AGeorge Mason69-86
09/03/25HFurman78-95
01/03/25ANC Greensboro100-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game64.075.558.2
Allowed / game74.059.581.2
Point differential-10.0+16.0-23.0
Avg total138.0135.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game77.172.079.2
Allowed / game80.174.582.4
Point differential-3.0-2.5-3.2
Avg total157.3146.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %29%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
5 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
6 James Madison74357%76.775.4+1.3
7 Appalachian State74357%70.069.3+0.7
8 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
9 Troy84450%89.883.9+5.9
10 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
11 Georgia Southern73443%82.084.0-2.0
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%58.775.9-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Mercer53260%83.680.6+3.0
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
7 Samford73443%77.180.1-3.0
8 VMI83538%80.678.1+2.5
9 Citadel62433%76.376.7-0.3
10 NC Greensboro71614%71.985.7-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State323163
Samford374178
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