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New Mexico State vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-72
40-32 41-40
Position#178
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#149
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-23
26-29
22-21
38-28
28-27
38-44
34-20
31-27
33-19
34-36
38-45
31-31
34-34
43-46
43-36
40-36
29-24
45-34
27-27
49-41
132.6Avg total
69.8Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.766.0143.7+11.7100%
Season at home (3)77.766.0143.7+11.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.862.8132.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)75.870.8146.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.870.8140.5-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.965.7132.7+1.247%
vs Weaker (9)71.363.0134.3+8.367%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#250
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-38
0-0
50-45
0-0
40-52
0-0
60-56
0-0
36-38
0-0
42-57
0-0
24-45
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-43
0-0
39-42
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
38-43
0-0
35-45
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-41
0-0
38-27
0-0
33-41
0-0
29-36
166.2Avg total
81.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
Season at home (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season away (4)81.082.8163.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.085.2166.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.877.7151.5-3.940%
vs Weaker (13)85.972.5158.5+13.492%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
New Mexico StateSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/11
NCAA
59.9Avg total
32.3Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.328.862.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.125.859.8+8.375%-
Last 30 away (14)32.432.464.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)32.327.659.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.267.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.530.864.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.127.759.8+4.367%-
vs Weaker (9)33.030.063.0+3.056%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#250
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
77.8Avg total
35.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.975.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.471.2+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.678.1-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.742.177.8-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.076.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.438.371.7-4.927%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.479.2+6.485%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HNew Mexico76-68
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58
05/11/25HAdams State83-72
13/03/25AKennesaw State77-80
08/03/25ASam Houston St.69-76
07/03/25ALouisiana Tech67-55
01/03/25HWestern Kentucky65-47
28/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.66-71
22/02/25AKennesaw State60-49
21/02/25AJacksonville State61-52
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT
15/11/25AArkansas75-79
13/11/25ATexas Southern93-90 OT
08/11/25HSouth Carolina St82-72
04/11/25ATulane72-85
19/03/25AGeorge Mason69-86
09/03/25HFurman78-95
01/03/25ANC Greensboro100-108
27/02/25AVMI95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.777.7-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+11.7+11.7-
Avg total143.7143.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.072.081.0
Allowed / game80.074.582.8
Point differential-2.0-2.5-1.8
Avg total158.0146.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty440100%93.561.5+32.0
2 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 New Mexico State330100%77.766.0+11.7
4 Jacksonville State43175%92.560.0+32.5
5 Kennesaw State43175%99.267.5+31.8
6 Middle Tenn. St.43175%86.866.2+20.5
7 UTEP53260%79.671.0+8.6
8 Missouri State42250%82.070.0+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
10 Florida International42250%88.080.8+7.2
11 Sam Houston St.42250%82.278.0+4.2
12 Delaware41325%70.276.0-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St54180%79.263.4+15.8
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Western Carolina53260%73.674.2-0.6
4 VMI63350%82.574.7+7.8
5 Mercer42250%80.880.0+0.8
6 Samford63350%78.080.0-2.0
7 Furman52340%70.866.8+4.0
8 Citadel52340%80.078.0+2.0
9 Chattanooga Mocs52340%75.676.8-1.2
10 NC Greensboro5050%75.093.0-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State404181
Samford324072
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