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Georgia State vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 57-53
30-23 27-30
Position#320
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#277
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-28
37-21
36-35
46-35
24-35
41-23
38-29
33-37
42-33
38-38
33-35
39-58
31-23
45-36
26-25
31-34
43-40
34-37
43-28
18-34
137.7Avg total
70.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.865.8135.5+4.050%
Season at home (4)69.865.8135.5+4.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.767.0137.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)70.271.2141.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.779.3152.0-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)63.268.9132.2-5.733%
vs Weaker (15)74.462.1136.5+12.387%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
73-69 OT
73
69
+4
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
36-31
27-31
33-46
28-46
49-34
31-28
30-33
21-34
43-38
139.8Avg total
67.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.574.5143.0-6.025%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)68.574.5143.0-6.025%
Last 10 (5)67.872.0139.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)67.872.0139.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.075.3145.3-5.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
Georgia StateTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.365.6+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.929.864.7+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.732.866.5+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)33.731.164.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.265.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.734.374.0+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.331.062.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (15)35.730.966.6+4.780%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#312
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A16/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A12/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/11
NCAA
61.2Avg total
27.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)27.234.061.2-6.820%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (5)27.234.061.2-6.820%-
Last 10 (5)27.234.061.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)27.234.061.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.034.055.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)28.735.063.7-6.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22HEastern Kentucky61-62
16/11/22HMercer85-83 OT
13/11/22HGeorgia Tech57-59
08/11/22HCoastal Georgia76-59
17/03/22AGonzaga72-93
08/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette80-71
07/03/22AAppalachian State71-66
26/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette65-58
24/02/22HLouisiana Monroe82-70
19/02/22AGeorgia Southern58-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AUNC Asheville64-72
15/11/22AAir Force73-69 OT
12/11/22ANorthern Colorado77-80
08/11/22ASMU Mustangs60-77
16/11/21AUTSA Roadrunners65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWLWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game69.869.8-
Allowed / game65.865.8-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total135.5135.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %25%25%-
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
Home--
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game68.5-68.5
Allowed / game74.5-74.5
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%-25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%105.256.8+48.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
3 Southern Miss440100%74.256.0+18.2
4 Troy54180%82.262.6+19.6
5 Appalachian State43175%85.067.8+17.2
6 Coastal Carolina32167%95.056.3+38.7
7 Marshall32167%89.372.3+17.0
8 Old Dominion53260%73.669.2+4.4
9 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
10 Arkansas State42250%70.062.2+7.8
11 Georgia State42250%69.865.8+4.0
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 South Alabama41325%71.567.0+4.5
14 Georgia Southern41325%58.565.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC43175%76.866.5+10.2
2 Stephen F. Austin32167%79.760.0+19.7
3 Lamar53260%78.275.2+3.0
4 Northwestern St.53260%65.868.0-2.2
5 UTRGV42250%81.568.5+13.0
6 SE Louisiana42250%75.874.0+1.8
7 Incarnate Word31233%68.066.7+1.3
8 New Orleans31233%60.081.0-21.0
9 McNeese State41325%74.273.8+0.5
10 TX A&M Commerce41325%68.574.5-6.0
11 Houston Christian41325%75.086.5-11.5
12 Nicholls State2020%71.598.0-26.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State302757
TX A&M Commerce233053
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