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Georgia State vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-83 (OT)
43-40 34-37 8-6
Position#320
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game59.0
vs
Position#261
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Georgia State v Mercer
01 Dec 2026
GEOR v MERC
upcoming
28 Dec 2024
GEOR68
MERC71
15 Nov 2022
GEOR85
MERC83
16 Dec 2020
GEOR88
MERC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-16
30-33
32-29
47-34
21-28
37-21
36-35
46-35
24-35
41-23
38-29
33-37
42-33
38-38
33-35
39-58
31-23
45-36
26-25
31-34
133.5Avg total
69.8Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.559.0125.5+7.550%
Season at home (2)66.559.0125.5+7.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.863.7133.5+6.180%
Last 5 (5)71.269.6140.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)72.093.0165.0-21.00%
vs Similar (12)63.268.9132.2-5.733%
vs Weaker (16)74.962.2137.1+12.888%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
H08/02
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#128
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
118-64
118
64
+54
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
31-38
34-40
45-45
38-25
35-39
33-42
32-14
33-29
32-40
30-37
37-34
34-25
33-49
43-25
38-28
39-30
36-47
66-38
52-26
144.9Avg total
76.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.570.5167.0+26.050%
Season at home (1)118.064.0182.0+54.0100%
Season away (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)76.268.7144.9+7.540%
Last 5 (5)81.667.8149.4+13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.077.5148.5-6.536%
vs Similar (13)68.267.9136.2+0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.761.2144.8+22.583%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
Georgia StateMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H13/11
NCAA
59.9Avg total
31.1Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.865.1+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.928.763.7+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)33.732.866.5+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)31.128.859.9+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.063.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)31.331.062.3+0.358%-
vs Weaker (16)36.131.667.7+4.475%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/02
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A27/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A09/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H11/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
38.1Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.066.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.569.6+2.747%-
Last 30 away (13)33.230.263.4+3.177%-
Last 10 (10)38.131.569.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.431.073.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.535.368.7-1.845%-
vs Similar (13)33.030.863.8+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.728.870.5+12.883%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia State wins
3
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21Mercer v Georgia State83-77
16/12/20Georgia State v Mercer88-81
01/12/20Mercer v Georgia State86-69
07/12/19Mercer v Georgia State61-73
17/03/12Mercer v Georgia State64-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HGeorgia Tech57-59
08/11/22HCoastal Georgia76-59
17/03/22AGonzaga72-93
08/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette80-71
07/03/22AAppalachian State71-66
26/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette65-58
24/02/22HLouisiana Monroe82-70
19/02/22AGeorgia Southern58-49
18/02/22HGeorgia Southern79-63
12/02/22AAppalachian State58-49
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22HMilligan118-64
09/11/22AEast Carolina75-77
05/03/22HWestern Carolina81-53
27/02/22AWofford67-74
24/02/22HCitadel67-71
19/02/22AWestern Carolina65-69
17/02/22HEast Tennessee St65-56
13/02/22ANC Greensboro73-64
11/02/22AVMI79-85
08/02/22HChattanooga Mocs72-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game66.566.5-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+7.5+7.5-
Avg total125.5125.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game96.5118.075.0
Allowed / game70.564.077.0
Point differential+26.0+54.0-2.0
Avg total167.0182.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%103.545.0+58.5
2 James Madison330100%108.752.7+56.0
3 Troy330100%87.360.3+27.0
4 Appalachian State330100%94.069.3+24.7
5 Louisiana Lafayette330100%87.364.3+23.0
6 Southern Miss330100%73.750.7+23.0
7 Louisiana Monroe32167%90.067.3+22.7
8 Arkansas State32167%73.358.0+15.3
9 Old Dominion32167%71.764.7+7.0
10 Texas State32167%67.367.3+0.0
11 South Alabama21150%85.569.5+16.0
12 Marshall21150%86.574.0+12.5
13 Georgia State21150%66.559.0+7.5
14 Georgia Southern31233%54.357.7-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford330100%93.061.3+31.7
2 Furman220100%90.064.5+25.5
3 East Tennessee St32167%80.770.3+10.3
4 Mercer21150%96.570.5+26.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs21150%85.567.0+18.5
6 NC Greensboro21150%79.069.5+9.5
7 Citadel21150%69.569.0+0.5
8 Wofford31233%90.773.0+17.7
9 Western Carolina31233%72.761.3+11.3
10 VMI31233%73.067.3+5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Georgia State4334885
Mercer4037683
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