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Georgia State vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 74-68
29-30 45-38
Position#320
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#28
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H18/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
46-35
24-35
41-23
38-29
33-37
42-33
38-38
33-35
39-58
31-23
45-36
26-25
31-34
43-40
34-37
43-28
18-34
30-23
27-30
138.0Avg total
70.6Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.263.2130.4+4.060%
Season at home (5)67.263.2130.4+4.060%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.667.4138.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)67.263.2130.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.779.3152.0-6.733%
vs Similar (12)61.565.5127.0-4.042%
vs Weaker (15)74.462.1136.5+12.387%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#53
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#138
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H19/03
CBI
Northern Colorado
#4
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
CBI
UCF Knights
#148
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H12/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-37
0-0
44-47
0-0
26-31
0-0
33-29
0-0
39-37
0-0
33-35
0-0
42-36
0-0
36-43
0-0
34-28
0-0
46-40
0-0
41-38
0-0
43-49
0-0
36-33
0-0
40-43
0-0
57-22
0-0
37-24
0-0
34-21
0-0
38-43
0-0
30-43
0-0
45-34
157.3Avg total
81.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.870.5155.2+14.275%
Season at home (3)80.362.3142.7+18.067%
Season away (1)98.095.0193.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.775.6157.3+6.150%
Last 5 (5)84.673.8158.4+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)69.772.3142.0-2.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.069.0148.9+11.070%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.8+0.8
Georgia StateUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/03
NCAA
Coastal Georgia
#490
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/11
NCAA
65.2Avg total
34.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.464.6+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.629.464.0+5.281%-
Last 30 away (14)33.631.665.2+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.665.2+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.862.4+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.734.374.0+5.367%-
vs Similar (12)30.828.859.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker (15)35.730.966.6+4.780%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#53
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#138
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#13
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/03
CBI
Northern Colorado
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
CBI
UCF Knights
#148
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
57-22
57
22
+35
H12/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H19/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
37.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.067.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.031.667.6+4.468%-
Last 30 away (11)34.732.767.5+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.670.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.471.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)28.935.964.8-7.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.630.469.0+8.285%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HTX A&M Commerce57-53
18/11/22HEastern Kentucky61-62
16/11/22HMercer85-83 OT
13/11/22HGeorgia Tech57-59
08/11/22HCoastal Georgia76-59
17/03/22AGonzaga72-93
08/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette80-71
07/03/22AAppalachian State71-66
26/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette65-58
24/02/22HLouisiana Monroe82-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-77
19/11/22HTX A&M Commerce72-64
12/11/22HBrevard College94-46
08/11/22AUCF Knights98-95 OT
21/03/22HNorthern Colorado84-87
19/03/22HStephen F. Austin80-68
02/03/22HCharleston Southern78-79
26/02/22HPresbyterian98-96 OT
24/02/22AGardner Webb59-60
19/02/22HWinthrop79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWLW60%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %60%60%-
Points / game67.267.2-
Allowed / game63.263.2-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total130.4130.4-
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %20%20%-
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game84.880.398.0
Allowed / game70.562.395.0
Point differential+14.2+18.0+3.0
Avg total155.2142.7193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Lafayette440100%89.070.2+18.8
2 Southern Miss440100%74.256.0+18.2
3 Troy65183%80.762.5+18.2
4 James Madison54180%97.061.4+35.6
5 Marshall43175%88.571.0+17.5
6 Coastal Carolina32167%95.056.3+38.7
7 Appalachian State64267%81.769.3+12.3
8 Georgia State53260%67.263.2+4.0
9 Louisiana Monroe42250%82.574.2+8.2
10 Arkansas State42250%70.062.2+7.8
11 Old Dominion63350%71.568.7+2.8
12 Texas State42250%64.565.8-1.2
13 Georgia Southern63350%63.565.8-2.3
14 South Alabama41325%71.567.0+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UNC Asheville43175%84.870.5+14.2
2 High Point43175%92.078.0+14.0
3 Radford53260%82.262.6+19.6
4 Longwood63350%78.071.3+6.7
5 USC Upstate42250%69.271.2-2.0
6 Winthrop52340%71.076.6-5.6
7 Charleston Southern31233%72.777.7-5.0
8 Presbyterian41325%63.070.2-7.2
9 Gardner Webb51420%64.869.4-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State294574
UNC Asheville303868
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