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Georgia Tech vs Eastern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 85-73
Projected total 158.1
Final 85-71
41-42 44-29
Position#75
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game69.0
Georgia Tech 🏆
USA
Vs
84%
16%
■ GEOR 84%■ EAST 16%
Pythia win probability
Eastern Kentucky
USA
Position#127
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Georgia Tech faces Eastern Kentucky in the NCAA on 10 November 2026, with the model designating the Yellow Jackets as the clear favourite, rating them 84% to win largely because of their 2-0 season record, 85.0 points per game and 69.0 allowed per game, while Eastern Kentucky also sits 2-0 but averages 105.5 points and 61.0 allowed. Georgia Tech's home slate shows a 2-0 record, 85.0 points and 69.0 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 95-83 victory over Georgia Southern and a 75-55 win over Hampton; they lost 76-79 to Clemson away on 7 March 2026. Eastern Kentucky's road record is 2-0, 105.5 points and 61.0 allowed, with two wins in their last five, notably 106-68 over Midway and 105-54 over Kentucky Christian, and a 76-92 loss to Stetson at home on 4 March 2026. The model projects a 85-73 score, 158.1 total points, a home line of -16.5 with a 32% chance of covering, a total line of 160.5 with a 44% over probability, and a 3% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Georgia Tech maintain its strong defensive output against Eastern Kentucky's high-scoring offense.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia Tech winWon
83.7%fair 1.19
Best odds1.05
Implied90.6%
Edge-6.9pp
Eastern Kentucky winLost
16.3%fair 6.13
Best odds14.00
Implied9.4%
Edge+6.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H12/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H28/02
NCAA
California
#79
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Hampton
#287
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#276
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-43
33-52
33-37
34-46
33-45
41-44
27-59
41-35
31-42
39-45
36-41
35-39
36-32
29-44
39-33
37-46
42-15
33-40
51-45
44-38
155.4Avg total
73.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.382.1155.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)76.474.6151.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.581.5155.0-8.120%
vs Similar (8)77.276.5153.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A12/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
A15/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#477
W
105-54
105
54
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Midway
#471
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-48
52-40
31-43
30-32
31-32
40-39
34-28
35-41
53-42
42-50
50-45
29-51
41-42
36-38
41-54
35-38
55-22
50-32
48-25
58-43
166.7Avg total
85.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.561.0166.5+44.5100%
Season at home (2)105.561.0166.5+44.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.880.9166.7+4.950%
Last 5 (5)88.678.0166.6+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.781.3154.0-8.717%
vs Similar (10)80.681.3161.9-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.680.9174.4+12.757%
This opponent (Georgia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
55.9%
@ 1.50-5.7pp
Under 155.5
44.1%
@ 2.40+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
43.7%
@ 1.91-6.3pp
Under 160.5
56.3%
@ 1.91+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
32.2%
@ 2.45-5.3pp
Under 165.5
67.8%
@ 1.47+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Georgia Tech total 84.5Actual: Georgia Tech over 84.5
Over 84.5
50.6%
@ 1.40-14.1pp
Under 84.5
49.4%
@ 2.57+14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Georgia Tech total 88.5 · main lineActual: Georgia Tech under 88.5
Over 88.5
34.9%
@ 1.87-15.1pp
Under 88.5
65.1%
@ 1.91+15.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Georgia Tech total 92.5Actual: Georgia Tech under 92.5
Over 92.5
21.5%
@ 2.52-14.5pp
Under 92.5
78.5%
@ 1.42+14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.42
Eastern Kentucky total 67.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky over 67.5
Over 67.5
71.8%
@ 1.38+6.3pp
Under 67.5
28.2%
@ 2.62-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.62
Eastern Kentucky total 71.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Kentucky under 71.5
Over 71.5
57.1%
@ 1.85+6.7pp
Under 71.5
42.9%
@ 1.91-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Eastern Kentucky total 75.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky under 75.5
Over 75.5
41.5%
@ 2.50+5.3pp
Under 75.5
58.5%
@ 1.42-5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Georgia Tech -19.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +19.5
GEOR -19.5
22.9%
@ 2.25-18.2pp
EAST +19.5
77.1%
@ 1.57+18.2pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Betano
2.25
EAST
Betano
1.57
Spread Georgia Tech -16.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Kentucky +16.5
GEOR -16.5
31.6%
@ 1.89-18.8pp
EAST +16.5
68.4%
@ 1.92+18.8pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Bet365
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
EAST
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Spread Georgia Tech -13.5Actual: Georgia Tech -13.5
GEOR -13.5
41.6%
@ 1.53-18.5pp
EAST +13.5
58.4%
@ 2.30+18.5pp
Best 5 market prices
GEOR
Betano
1.53
EAST
Betano
2.30

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -6.3-6.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
Georgia TechEastern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Hampton
#287
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#276
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H07/11
NCAA
75.9Avg total
36.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77
Last 30 (30)35.738.273.9-2.537%37%
Last 30 at home (19)35.937.473.4-1.542%32%
Last 30 away (11)35.339.574.7-4.227%45%
Last 10 (10)36.739.275.9-2.540%40%
Last 5 (5)40.833.274.0+7.680%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.039.674.6-4.730%35%
vs Similar (8)34.936.571.4-1.638%38%
vs Weaker (2)46.530.076.5+16.5100%50%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#304
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H07/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A22/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H04/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#477
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Midway
#471
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H07/11
NCAA
81.3Avg total
43.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.4+0.550%40%
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.878.0+2.544%50%
Last 30 away (14)36.438.174.6-1.757%29%
Last 10 (10)43.238.181.3+5.150%50%
Last 5 (5)47.037.684.6+9.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.040.374.3-6.333%33%
vs Similar (10)38.535.974.4+2.670%30%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.739.082.7+4.743%71%
This opponent (Georgia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Eastern Kentucky win
GEOR win
no forecast
@ 1.13
EAST win
no forecast
@ 6.20
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -9.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Kentucky +9.5
GEOR -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
EAST +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 77 · main lineActual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Georgia Tech 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Georgia Tech under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Eastern Kentucky 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Eastern Kentucky over 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -10.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +10.5
GEOR -10.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
EAST +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -8.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +8.5
GEOR -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
EAST +8.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -11.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +11.5
GEOR -11.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
EAST +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -7.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +7.5
GEOR -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
EAST +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -12.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +12.5
GEOR -12.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
EAST +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Georgia Tech -6.5Actual: Eastern Kentucky +6.5
GEOR -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
EAST +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Georgia Tech (regulation)
GEOR
no forecast
@ 1.15
Draw
no forecast
@ 29.00
EAST
no forecast
@ 7.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GEOR win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
EAST win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GEOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Eastern Kentucky +1770.6%1.82
Marathon Bet
1.82		----+19.6ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +17.571.5%1.77
Betano
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76		---+18.6ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +18.574.4%1.65
Betano
1.65		----+18.4ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +19.577.1%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+18.2ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +20.579.6%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+17.1ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +21.581.9%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+17.1ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +22.584.1%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+16.4ppWon
Eastern Kentucky +23.586.0%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+15.2ppWon
Georgia Tech under 91.575.5%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+14.9ppWon
Georgia Tech under 90.572.2%1.57
Betano
1.57		----+14.7ppWon
Georgia Tech under 92.578.5%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+14.5ppWon
Georgia Tech under 93.581.3%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+13.7ppWon
Eastern Kentucky over 67.571.8%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+6.3ppWon
Eastern Kentucky over 66.575.0%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+6.0ppWon
Under 167.572.0%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+5.3ppWon
Georgia Tech (regulation)81.7%1.05
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.04		----4.1ppWon
Georgia Tech win83.7%1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.03
WilliamHill
1.03
Bet365
1.03		-6.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia Tech wins
0
Eastern Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
Georgia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HGeorgia Southern95-83
04/11/26HHampton75-55
07/03/26AClemson76-79
05/03/26HCalifornia65-76
28/02/26HFlorida State71-80
21/02/26ALouisville70-87
19/02/26HVirginia68-94
14/02/26ANotre Dame74-89
12/02/26HWake Forest67-83
08/02/26AStanford72-95
Eastern Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HMidway106-68
03/11/26HKentucky Christian105-54
04/03/26HStetson76-92
28/02/26HLipscomb77-80
26/02/26HQueens Royals79-96
22/02/26ABellarmine95-92
19/02/26HWest Georgia81-80 OT
15/02/26ANorth Alabama78-84 OT
12/02/26ALipscomb61-75
07/02/26HStetson100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over 160.550%50%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.5105.5-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+44.5+44.5-
Avg total166.5166.5-
Over 160.550%50%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Virginia330100%92.368.0+24.3
5 North Carolina220100%94.571.0+23.5
6 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
7 Pittsburgh330100%85.764.7+21.0
8 California330100%95.074.7+20.3
9 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
10 Notre Dame330100%83.766.0+17.7
11 NC State220100%80.063.5+16.5
12 Georgia Tech220100%85.069.0+16.0
13 Stanford330100%82.067.0+15.0
14 Clemson330100%86.374.0+12.3
15 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
16 Miami (FL)32167%79.761.7+18.0
17 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
18 Florida State31233%77.387.0-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky220100%105.561.0+44.5
2 North Alabama32167%75.774.0+1.7
3 Queens Royals32167%89.0103.7-14.7
4 Austin Peay21150%89.068.0+21.0
5 Central Arkansas21150%72.573.5-1.0
6 Florida Gulf Coast31233%85.381.0+4.3
7 Lipscomb31233%70.379.7-9.3
8 North Florida31233%61.788.7-27.0
9 West Georgia2020%55.575.5-20.0
10 Bellarmine3030%63.088.3-25.3
11 Stetson3030%60.085.7-25.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia Tech414485
Eastern Kentucky422971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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