Georgia Tech faces Georgia Southern on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Georgia Tech as the clear favourite because it leads the season with a 1-0 record, 75.0 points per game, 55.0 allowed, and a league position of 128, while Georgia Southern sits at 156 with 67.0 points per game and 55.0 allowed; the model gives Georgia Tech a 76% chance of winning versus Georgia Southern's 24%, projecting a 82-74 score for a total of 156.4 points. Georgia Tech's single game of the season was a 75-55 victory at home, and its only home game remains a win; its last five games include one win and four losses, with a recent 75-55 win over Hampton at home, a 76-79 loss to Clemson away, and a 65-76 loss to California at home. Georgia Southern's lone game was a 67-55 win at home, and its last five games show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 67-55 win over Ball State at home, a 61-77 loss to Troy away, and an 82-78 win over Marshall away. Historically, Georgia Tech has won all three meetings, most recently 68-66 on 18 November 2025. The spread of -16.5 gives Georgia Tech a 23% chance to cover, while the over/under line of 154.0 carries a 55% probability of exceeding, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Georgia Tech winWon
76.2%fair 1.31
Best odds1.05
Implied91.4%
Edge-15.3pp
Georgia Southern winLost
23.8%fair 4.20
Best odds14.00
Implied8.6%
Edge+15.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Hampton
#337
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H04/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
34.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 75.5
Last 30 (30)
35.0
37.7
72.7
-2.7
33%
37%
Last 30 at home (19)
34.8
36.7
71.5
-1.9
37%
32%
Last 30 away (11)
35.3
39.5
74.7
-4.2
27%
45%
Last 10 (10)
34.5
39.0
73.5
-4.5
30%
40%
Last 5 (5)
36.8
32.6
69.4
+4.2
60%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)
35.0
39.6
74.6
-4.7
30%
40%
vs Similar (9)
34.2
35.9
70.1
-1.7
33%
33%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)
42.0
15.0
57.0
+27.0
100%
0%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Georgia Southern +16
76.7%
2.27
Pinnacle
2.34
Bet365
2.20
-
-
-
+35.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern +14
70.9%
2.62
Bet365
2.62
-
-
-
-
+35.4pp
Won
Georgia Southern +15
73.9%
2.40
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
-
+35.2pp
Won
Georgia Southern +16.5
77.4%
2.14
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.07
-
-
+34.7pp
Won
Georgia Southern +17
79.4%
2.09
Pinnacle
2.14
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
+34.5pp
Won
Georgia Southern +14.5
71.8%
2.45
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
-
-
-
+33.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern +15.5
74.7%
2.24
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.22
-
-
-
+33.4pp
Won
Georgia Southern +17.5
79.9%
2.02
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.01
Betano
2.00
-
-
+32.9pp
Won
Georgia Southern +18
81.8%
1.92
Bet365
1.96
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
-
+32.2pp
Won
Georgia Southern +18.5
82.2%
1.86
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
+30.2pp
Won
Georgia Southern +20.5
86.2%
1.65
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+30.0pp
Won
Georgia Southern +19
84.0%
1.78
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.76
-
-
+29.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern +21
87.7%
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
-
+29.3pp
Won
Georgia Southern +21.5
88.0%
1.55
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+28.5pp
Won
Georgia Southern +22
89.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+28.1pp
Won
Georgia Southern +19.5
84.3%
1.73
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
-
+28.0pp
Won
Georgia Southern +20
85.9%
1.67
Bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
1.65
-
-
-
+27.9pp
Won
Georgia Southern +22.5
89.5%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
Georgia Southern +23
90.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+25.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern +23.5
90.9%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Georgia Southern +24
92.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+24.0pp
Won
Georgia Southern +24.5
92.1%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 88.5
73.5%
1.86
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
+23.5pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 87.5
70.1%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.85
+23.0pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 88
72.5%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+22.5pp
Lost
Georgia Southern +25
93.1%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 89.5
76.6%
1.62
Betano
1.62
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 90.5
79.6%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 91.5
82.3%
1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 92.5
84.7%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+18.6pp
Lost
Georgia Tech under 93.5
86.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+17.5pp
Lost
Georgia Southern over 67.5
73.9%
1.60
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 68.5
70.6%
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 65.5
79.9%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 66.5
77.0%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 95.5
90.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 64.5
82.5%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 97.5
93.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 98.5
94.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 99.5
95.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 63.5
85.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 62.5
87.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 101.5
97.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 61.5
89.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 103.5
98.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 60.5
90.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 59.5
92.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 58.5
93.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 56.5
95.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 57.5
94.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 55.5
96.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 54.5
97.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 53.5
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Georgia Southern over 52.5
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 165
70.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
Under 166
73.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Lost
Under 165.5
71.5%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Under 166.5
73.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Lost
Under 182.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Under 177.5
89.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Lost
Over 132.5
92.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Under 167.5
75.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Under 172.5
83.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Lost
Over 137.5
87.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Over 142.5
79.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Over 147.5
70.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Georgia Tech (regulation)
73.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.03
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 75.5
74.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech +1.5
78.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.3pp
Won
Georgia Southern under 80.5
73.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-13.7pp
Lost
Georgia Tech win
76.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.03
WilliamHill
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-15.3pp
Won
Georgia Southern under 79.5
70.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-15.3pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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