Georgia Tech hosts UNC Asheville on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Georgia Tech the clear favourite, rating them 87% to win largely because of their 3-0 season record, 85.0 points per game and only 69.7 allowed per game, while UNC Asheville sits at 2-2 with 81.5 points and 81.8 allowed. Georgia Tech has won all three of its games, scoring 85.0 per contest and conceding 69.7, and it has won all three of its home games, also 85.0 to 69.7, with a 3-2 run in the last five and recent victories over Eastern Kentucky 85-71, Georgia Southern 95-83 and Hampton 75-55. UNC Asheville's season shows a 2-2 record, 81.5 points per game and 81.8 allowed, with a 1-1 road record and a 2-3 run in the last five, including a win over West Georgia 73-70 and a loss to Western Carolina 75-83. The model projects a 82-69 score, 150.6 total points, a home line of -16.5 with a 37% chance of covering, an over line of 153.5 with a 43% probability, and a 3% chance of overtime. The last meeting was Georgia Tech's 82-69 win.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Georgia Tech winWon
87.0%fair 1.15
Best odds1.06
Implied90.4%
Edge-3.3pp
UNC Asheville winLost
13.0%fair 7.71
Best odds14.00
Implied9.6%
Edge+3.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Hampton
#313
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#88
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/11
NCAA
76.0Avg total
36.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 73
Last 30 (30)
35.6
38.0
73.6
-2.5
37%
43%
Last 30 at home (20)
36.2
37.6
73.8
-1.4
40%
45%
Last 30 away (10)
34.3
38.8
73.1
-4.5
30%
40%
Last 10 (10)
36.9
39.1
76.0
-2.2
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
41.8
33.4
75.2
+8.4
80%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)
34.8
39.5
74.2
-4.7
30%
45%
vs Similar (8)
34.9
36.5
71.4
-1.6
38%
38%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)
46.5
30.0
76.5
+16.5
100%
50%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#10
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#91
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#188
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#372
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/11
NCAA
72.4Avg total
35.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 73
Last 30 (30)
34.7
36.2
70.9
-1.5
47%
37%
Last 30 at home (17)
36.3
35.0
71.3
+1.3
53%
41%
Last 30 away (13)
32.6
37.7
70.3
-5.1
38%
31%
Last 10 (10)
35.3
37.1
72.4
-1.8
50%
40%
Last 5 (5)
37.8
40.0
77.8
-2.2
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)
31.5
39.2
70.7
-7.7
21%
43%
vs Similar (10)
35.0
34.7
69.7
+0.3
60%
30%
vs Weaker (5)
41.8
33.2
75.0
+8.6
80%
40%
This opponent (Georgia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Georgia Tech under 88
74.3%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+24.3pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 88.5
75.2%
1.54
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.42
-
+21.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 87.5
71.9%
1.87
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
+21.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 87
70.9%
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84
-
-
-
-
+20.6pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 90.5
81.1%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.34
-
-
+18.6pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 93.5
88.2%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Under 159
70.3%
1.72
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.69
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Under 160
72.5%
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
UNC Asheville +20
74.5%
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 92.5
86.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Under 159.5
71.0%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.42
+15.9pp
Won
UNC Asheville +19
71.5%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.68
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Won
UNC Asheville +22
79.8%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
Under 161
74.5%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
UNC Asheville +21
77.2%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 89.5
78.3%
1.44
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville +19.5
72.3%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.50
-
-
+14.2pp
Won
UNC Asheville +23
82.2%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Under 162
76.4%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Under 161.5
75.0%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Under 163
78.3%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Under 162.5
76.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
Under 164
80.1%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 94.5
90.0%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
UNC Asheville +24
84.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
UNC Asheville +20.5
75.2%
1.48
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Under 163.5
78.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 96.5
93.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 91.5
83.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Won
Under 164.5
80.4%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville +24.5
84.6%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 95.5
91.7%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville +21.5
77.8%
1.42
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Under 165
81.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville +22.5
80.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
UNC Asheville +25
86.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
UNC Asheville +23.5
82.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Under 165.5
82.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Under 160.5
73.0%
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.38
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Georgia Tech under 98.5
95.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Under 167.5
85.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Under 172.5
90.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Under 177.5
94.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
UNC Asheville under 75.5
74.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Under 178.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
UNC Asheville under 79.5
85.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Under 173.5
91.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 51.5
95.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Under 168.5
86.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
UNC Asheville under 77.5
80.4%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
UNC Asheville under 78.5
82.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 53.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville under 74.5
71.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 55.5
90.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Georgia Tech +3.5
91.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Georgia Tech (regulation)
85.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.03
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Over 128.5
91.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 57.5
86.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 68.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 62.5
73.3%
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 59.5
82.1%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech win
87.0%
1.04
BetVictor
1.06
Betano
1.06
WilliamHill
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Marathon Bet
1.03
-3.3pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 60.5
79.4%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 70.5
87.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
UNC Asheville over 61.5
76.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Georgia Tech -1.5
85.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Lost
Over 133.5
85.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Over 132.5
86.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 72.5
82.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Over 138.5
77.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
Georgia Tech -6.5
71.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Lost
Over 137.5
78.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-10.5pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 74.5
76.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-10.7pp
Won
Georgia Tech over 76.5
70.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-14.1pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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