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Geraldton Buccaneers vs Perry Lakes Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 96-68
14-18 19-11 38-17 25-22
Position#1
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Geraldton Buccaneers v Perry Lakes Hawks
17 May 2025
GERA96
PERR68
18 May 2024
GERA92
PERR89
15 Jul 2023
GERA99
PERR89
24 Jul 2022
GERA66
PERR77
29 May 2021
GERA63
PERR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perry Lakes Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
107-76
107
76
+31
A20/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
W
106-100
106
100
+6
H27/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H03/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
107-111 OT
107
111
-4
A05/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A06/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A26/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
104-71
104
71
+33
A27/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H10/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
28-19
23-12
26-25
33-25
22-33
22-17
29-25
21-23
13-31
24-27
31-17
33-32
22-24
25-20
18-22
21-27
12-18
20-12
25-10
34-16
27-12
25-16
21-25
22-25
29-25
17-36
17-13
25-20
27-18
28-13
24-20
35-27
23-21
25-22
28-12
17-23
21-13
28-25
23-31
184.8Avg total
98.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.384.4181.7+12.957%
Season at home (3)102.381.0183.3+21.367%
Season away (4)93.587.0180.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)98.386.5184.8+11.860%
Last 5 (5)99.282.6181.8+16.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)94.580.5175.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)97.586.5184.0+11.079%
This opponent (Perry Lakes Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perry Lakes HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H06/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
102-92
102
92
+10
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
118-92
118
92
+26
A19/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
H04/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H17/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A26/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
H27/04
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A02/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H09/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
23-24
17-17
32-38
28-29
25-18
24-22
25-23
31-24
36-26
21-23
30-19
17-11
25-18
16-18
23-34
20-11
14-31
18-11
16-24
18-19
13-21
15-15
21-24
35-22
13-21
26-18
24-25
20-25
18-27
13-28
20-24
25-20
18-19
26-24
23-24
24-19
23-26
15-18
15-18
176.5Avg total
87.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.185.9166.0-5.743%
Season at home (5)74.285.6159.8-11.420%
Season away (2)95.086.5181.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.489.1176.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)81.087.4168.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.995.5180.4-10.513%
vs Similar (6)80.889.7170.5-8.833%
vs Weaker (9)98.188.8186.9+9.389%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Geraldton BuccaneersPerry Lakes Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A20/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#4
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H27/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H03/08
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A05/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A06/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H12/04
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A26/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A27/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H03/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/05
NBL1 West
94.7Avg total
49.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.645.394.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.144.893.9+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)50.145.795.8+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)49.545.294.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.540.590.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)49.645.695.2+4.068%-
This opponent (Perry Lakes Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perry Lakes HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Perth Eagles
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#14
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#13
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A19/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/04
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H17/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A26/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H27/04
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A02/05
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H09/05
NBL1 West
88.5Avg total
44.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.946.592.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.946.891.6-1.935%-
Last 30 away (13)47.246.293.3+1.069%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.888.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)45.847.693.4-1.847%-
vs Similar (6)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (9)50.846.897.6+4.067%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HEast Perth Eagles89-92
03/05/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns111-82
27/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks104-71
26/04/25ARockingham Flames85-99
12/04/25HPerth Redbacks107-69
06/04/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns78-67
05/04/25AJoondalup Wolves107-111 OT
03/08/24HWilletton Tigers89-98
27/07/24HMandurah Magic106-100
20/07/24APerth Redbacks107-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HWarwick Senators77-81
02/05/25AWilletton Tigers92-87
27/04/25HGeraldton Buccaneers71-104
26/04/25ASouth West Slammers98-86
17/04/25HPerth Redbacks67-79
11/04/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns68-77
04/04/25HLakeside Lightning88-87 OT
19/07/24ABeeliar Boodjar118-92
13/07/24APerth Redbacks102-92
06/07/24HEast Perth Eagles93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game97.3102.393.5
Allowed / game84.481.087.0
Point differential+12.9+21.3+6.5
Avg total181.7183.3180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Perry Lakes Hawks
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%20%100%
Points / game80.174.295.0
Allowed / game85.985.686.5
Point differential-5.7-11.4+8.5
Avg total166.0159.8181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators880100%109.186.4+22.8
2 Rockingham Flames98189%107.493.3+14.1
3 Willetton Tigers75271%97.388.3+9.0
4 Goldfields Giants64267%100.590.3+10.2
5 Joondalup Wolves96367%100.193.8+6.3
6 Mandurah Magic85362%98.998.0+0.9
7 Geraldton Buccaneers74357%97.384.4+12.9
8 Perry Lakes Hawks73443%80.185.9-5.7
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns83538%78.082.1-4.1
10 Perth Redbacks83538%81.591.8-10.2
11 East Perth Eagles62433%91.7102.0-10.3
12 Lakeside Lightning92722%85.296.0-10.8
13 Beeliar Boodjar81712%80.998.4-17.5
14 South West Slammers8080%85.5102.1-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geraldton Buccaneers1419382596
Perry Lakes Hawks1811172268
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