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Germany vs Brazil Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-64
14-17 22-17 16-12 23-18
Position#12
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.0
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeOlympic GamesOlympic Games - Final
Other2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brazil winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H27/11
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A29/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#16
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H18/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H19/06
Friendly International
Italy
#13
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H20/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A01/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H03/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
15-20
16-21
19-21
22-25
19-17
18-19
15-25
21-28
24-19
23-19
13-17
22-24
10-21
22-17
21-20
27-17
24-16
28-13
16-16
29-19
26-14
26-19
21-23
22-18
20-28
29-12
20-21
19-22
21-20
22-25
20-9
15-17
17-18
18-18
19-14
19-23
24-22
13-18
30-13
159.5Avg total
82.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Season at home (2)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.976.6159.5+6.360%
Last 5 (5)86.074.6160.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.382.3156.7-8.033%
vs Similar (10)76.878.0154.8-1.240%
vs Weaker (17)87.271.8159.0+15.476%
This opponent (Brazil) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#20
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H07/09
World Cup
Uruguay
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H21/02
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#9
W
83-76 OT
83
76
+7
A25/02
AmeriCup
Panama
#8
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H27/11
AmeriCup
Paraguay
#15
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H28/11
AmeriCup
Poland
#22
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A22/06
Friendly International
Poland
#22
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A23/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#25
W
83-57
83
57
+26
A29/06
Olympic Games
Croatia
#17
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H30/06
Olympic Games
Mexico
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H03/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
16-25
14-20
25-28
22-23
16-14
28-18
17-17
17-22
23-15
20-10
8-21
19-15
21-20
17-10
20-26
30-5
16-22
13-15
14-8
18-5
20-21
17-19
13-20
17-27
25-17
15-22
28-13
21-21
22-10
21-15
19-11
25-20
20-14
26-21
23-12
24-18
29-24
27-15
22-17
152.3Avg total
81.9Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.066.0159.0+27.0100%
Season at home (2)98.070.5168.5+27.5100%
Season away (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.970.4152.3+11.590%
Last 5 (5)86.468.4154.8+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.492.2172.6-11.820%
vs Similar (5)83.081.4164.4+1.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.565.5146.0+15.090%
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
GermanyBrazil
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/11
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A22/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H19/06
Friendly International
Italy
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H20/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Olympic Games
Croatia
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/07
Olympic Games
82.6Avg total
42.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.077.9+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.838.980.7+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)37.036.673.6+0.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.682.6+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.040.077.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (10)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
vs Weaker (17)42.636.879.4+5.859%-
This opponent (Brazil) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrazilLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#20
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H07/09
World Cup
Uruguay
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/02
AmeriCup
Uruguay
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A25/02
AmeriCup
Panama
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H27/11
AmeriCup
Paraguay
#15
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H28/11
AmeriCup
Poland
#22
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A22/06
Friendly International
Poland
#22
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#25
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A29/06
Olympic Games
Croatia
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/06
Olympic Games
Mexico
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H03/07
Olympic Games
77.5Avg total
41.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.136.176.1+4.069%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.575.1+4.173%-
Last 30 away (14)40.636.777.3+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.877.5+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.479.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.242.478.6-6.20%-
vs Similar (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.234.175.3+7.289%-
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Brazil wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/21HCroatia86-76
01/07/21ARussia69-67
29/06/21HMexico82-76
20/06/21HItaly91-79
19/06/21HTunisia102-75
18/06/21HCzech Republic95-62
22/02/21AMontenegro75-82
20/02/21HGreat Britain81-83
29/11/20AFrance74-86
27/11/20HMontenegro74-80
Brazillast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/21HMexico102-74
30/06/21HCroatia94-67
29/06/21ATunisia83-57
23/06/21APoland85-79
22/06/21APoland68-65
28/11/20HParaguay73-50
27/11/20HPanama77-71
25/02/20AUruguay83-76 OT
21/02/20HUruguay83-72
07/09/19HCzech Republic71-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.084.069.0
Allowed / game73.076.067.0
Point differential+6.0+8.0+2.0
Avg total152.0160.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brazil
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.098.083.0
Allowed / game66.070.557.0
Point differential+27.0+27.5+26.0
Avg total159.0168.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia440100%106.075.0+31.0
2 Brazil330100%93.066.0+27.0
3 Serbia330100%93.078.7+14.3
4 Italy220100%84.571.0+13.5
5 Germany330100%79.073.0+6.0
6 Lithuania43175%86.271.8+14.5
7 Greece32167%92.380.0+12.3
8 Canada32167%102.391.0+11.3
9 Turkey32167%81.779.0+2.7
10 Czech Republic32167%84.389.0-4.7
11 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
12 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
13 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
14 Croatia31233%72.783.3-10.7
15 Poland31233%76.388.0-11.7
16 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
17 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
18 Puerto Rico2020%83.596.0-12.5
19 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
20 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
21 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
22 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
23 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany1422162375
Brazil1717121864
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