GKS Tychy host Polonia Warszawa in the 1 Liga on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 66% to 34% and projecting an 86-81 win; the predicted total of 167.7 points sits below the 170.0 line, giving a 43% chance of the over, while the home team's -4.0 spread is covered 54% of the time and the game has a 5% overtime probability. GKS Tychy finish the season 3-5, averaging 77.4 points and allowing 80.8, and are 11th in the league; at home they are 2-2, 83.0 points for and 75.8 allowed, with a 3-2 run in their last five. Polonia Warszawa are 5-3 overall, 91.0 points scored and 92.0 allowed, positioned 7th; on the road they are 2-1, 86.7 points for and 92.0 allowed, and have gone 2-3 in their last five. Their recent results include a 94-97 loss to Starogard Gdanski, a 108-94 win over Pelplin, and an 83-79 victory against R. Rzeszow. In the eight previous meetings Polonia lead 5-3, though GKS last beat them 69-55 on 21 February 2026, and the current matchup will test whether the home team can turn its recent 3-2 streak into a decisive advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.4 | 80.8 | 158.1 | -3.4 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.0 | 75.8 | 158.8 | +7.2 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 71.8 | 85.8 | 157.5 | -14.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.9 | 81.5 | 157.4 | -5.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 79.6 | 163.8 | +4.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 70.9 | 82.1 | 153.0 | -11.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 80.0 | 76.6 | 156.6 | +3.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 87.0 | 81.4 | 168.4 | +5.6 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 91.0 | 92.0 | 183.0 | -1.0 | 62% |
| Season at home (5) | 93.6 | 92.0 | 185.6 | +1.6 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 86.7 | 92.0 | 178.7 | -5.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.1 | 89.9 | 177.0 | -2.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 91.6 | 180.2 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 83.9 | 87.8 | 171.7 | -3.9 | 45% |
| vs Similar (17) | 79.4 | 82.2 | 161.6 | -2.8 | 35% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 81.5 | 84.5 | 166.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.8 | 39.6 | 77.4 | -1.8 | 50% | 20% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.2 | 40.9 | 81.2 | -0.7 | 62% | 31% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 35.9 | 38.6 | 74.6 | -2.7 | 41% | 12% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 40.5 | 76.7 | -4.3 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 41.8 | 84.6 | +1.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 33.0 | 40.8 | 73.8 | -7.8 | 38% | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 38.0 | 37.4 | 75.4 | +0.6 | 50% | 14% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 42.2 | 42.5 | 84.8 | -0.2 | 62% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 42.8 | 83.8 | -1.8 | 43% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.6 | 41.6 | 83.1 | +0.0 | 50% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.3 | 44.2 | 84.5 | -3.9 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 43.4 | 87.1 | +0.3 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 44.8 | 87.8 | -1.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 40.7 | 43.0 | 83.7 | -2.3 | 55% | 36% |
| vs Similar (17) | 41.3 | 43.4 | 84.7 | -2.1 | 35% | 47% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.5 | 36.5 | 76.0 | +3.0 | 50% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Warszawa under 88.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Polonia Warszawa under 87.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Polonia Warszawa under 89.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| GKS Tychy under 93.5 | 76.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| GKS Tychy under 92.5 | 73.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| GKS Tychy +2.5 | 72.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.7 | 19.3 | 53.9% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 7.4 | 33.5% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.6 | 15.0 | 70.8% | 15.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.1 | 23.8 | 53.9% | 47.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 8.0 | 33.5% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.4 | 14.1 | 70.8% | 14.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 | Polonia Warszawa v GKS Tychy | 55-69 |
| 31/10/25 | GKS Tychy v Polonia Warszawa | 80-87 |
| 25/01/25 | Polonia Warszawa v GKS Tychy | 76-69 |
| 19/10/24 | GKS Tychy v Polonia Warszawa | 76-87 |
| 14/04/24 | Polonia Warszawa v GKS Tychy | 84-64 |
| 29/12/23 | GKS Tychy v Polonia Warszawa | 84-72 |
| 08/01/23 | Polonia Warszawa v GKS Tychy | 64-58 |
| 24/09/22 | GKS Tychy v Polonia Warszawa | 85-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | R. Rzeszow | 80-89 |
| 31/10/26 | H | WKK Wroclaw | 90-65 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Leszno | 59-84 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Inowroclaw | 96-77 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 96-83 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Lancut | 65-78 |
| 27/09/26 | A | LKS Lodz | 52-87 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Spojnia Stargard | 81-83 |
| 26/04/26 | H | LKS Lodz | 74-89 |
| 25/04/26 | H | LKS Lodz | 66-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Starogard Gdanski | 94-97 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Pelplin | 108-94 |
| 24/10/26 | A | R. Rzeszow | 83-79 |
| 18/10/26 | H | WKK Wroclaw | 81-89 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Leszno | 77-99 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Inowroclaw | 90-87 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 100-98 OT |
| 21/09/26 | H | Lancut | 95-93 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 72-74 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Spojnia Stargard | 71-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 38% |
| Home | LLWW | 50% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Points / game | 77.4 | 83.0 | 71.8 |
| Allowed / game | 80.8 | 75.8 | 85.8 |
| Point differential | -3.4 | +7.2 | -14.0 |
| Avg total | 158.1 | 158.8 | 157.5 |
| Over 171 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 62% |
| Home | WWLWL | 60% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 62% | 60% | 67% |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 93.6 | 86.7 |
| Allowed / game | 92.0 | 92.0 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -1.0 | +1.6 | -5.3 |
| Avg total | 183.0 | 185.6 | 178.7 |
| Over 171 | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 80% (5) | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 75.4 | +16.6 | |
| 2 | LKS Lodz | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 89.2 | 79.9 | +9.4 |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 91.4 | 86.8 | +4.6 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 80.2 | 78.3 | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 91.0 | 87.1 | +3.9 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.8 | 81.5 | +2.2 | |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 91.0 | 92.0 | -1.0 |
| 8 | Lancut | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.0 | 84.4 | +2.6 |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.5 | 89.6 | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 90.9 | 92.5 | -1.6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 77.4 | 80.8 | -3.4 | |
| 12 | Bytom | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.6 | 86.4 | -4.8 |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 86.0 | 92.0 | -6.0 | |
| 14 | R. Rzeszow | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 78.2 | 87.9 | -9.6 |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 83.7 | 87.7 | -4.0 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 80.9 | 92.4 | -11.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 25 | 18 | 22 | 97 | |
| Polonia Warszawa | 14 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 66 |
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