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GKS Tychy vs Polonia Warszawa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 86-81
Projected total 167.7
Final 97-66
32-14 25-18 18-17 22-17
Position#10
Record3-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.8
Vs
66%
34%
■ GKS 66%■ POLO 34%
Pythia win probability
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game92.0
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Hala Sportowa Tychy
Other2026-27
Meetings · GKS Tychy v Polonia Warszawa
14 Nov 2026
GKS 97
POLO66
31 Oct 2025
GKS 80
POLO87
19 Oct 2024
GKS 76
POLO87
29 Dec 2023
GKS 84
POLO72
24 Sep 2022
GKS 85
POLO63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

GKS Tychy host Polonia Warszawa in the 1 Liga on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 66% to 34% and projecting an 86-81 win; the predicted total of 167.7 points sits below the 170.0 line, giving a 43% chance of the over, while the home team's -4.0 spread is covered 54% of the time and the game has a 5% overtime probability. GKS Tychy finish the season 3-5, averaging 77.4 points and allowing 80.8, and are 11th in the league; at home they are 2-2, 83.0 points for and 75.8 allowed, with a 3-2 run in their last five. Polonia Warszawa are 5-3 overall, 91.0 points scored and 92.0 allowed, positioned 7th; on the road they are 2-1, 86.7 points for and 92.0 allowed, and have gone 2-3 in their last five. Their recent results include a 94-97 loss to Starogard Gdanski, a 108-94 win over Pelplin, and an 83-79 victory against R. Rzeszow. In the eight previous meetings Polonia lead 5-3, though GKS last beat them 69-55 on 21 February 2026, and the current matchup will test whether the home team can turn its recent 3-2 streak into a decisive advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

GKS Tychy winWon
66.2%fair 1.51
Best odds1.53
Implied63.2%
Edge+2.9pp
Polonia Warszawa winLost
33.8%fair 2.96
Best odds2.53
Implied36.8%
Edge-2.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GKS TychyPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTychy
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
50avg 72
H25/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
66avg 72
H26/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 72
H19/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
52-87
52
87
-35
35avg 72
A27/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 72
H03/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
89avg 72
A10/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
96-77
96
77
+19
104avg 72
H17/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
48avg 72
A25/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
90-65
90
65
+25
88avg 72
H31/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A06/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
20-10
10-27
21-21
11-23
18-22
24-24
21-20
14-19
28-18
21-20
18-26
7-17
6-22
13-26
26-22
14-23
15-20
17-17
19-18
31-19
26-16
18-25
21-23
20-20
21-27
32-13
23-17
15-20
15-23
17-18
12-23
19-17
22-20
27-10
22-18
17-22
28-25
21-21
14-21
157.4Avg total
75.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.480.8158.1-3.438%
Season at home (4)83.075.8158.8+7.250%
Season away (4)71.885.8157.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)75.981.5157.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)84.279.6163.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.982.1153.0-11.225%
vs Similar (14)80.076.6156.6+3.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.081.4168.4+5.675%
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 73
H11/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 73
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 73
H21/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
80avg 73
A26/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
92avg 73
H04/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
71avg 73
A10/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 73
H18/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
86avg 73
A24/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
108-94
108
94
+14
100avg 73
H31/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
no box
H08/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
10-23
24-19
14-26
15-23
22-21
18-12
17-18
34-12
31-28
16-29
14-24
15-22
32-23
18-28
22-14
17-12
23-25
29-25
21-25
18-29
21-19
21-34
17-17
20-15
18-22
22-22
21-30
21-18
20-11
13-26
29-24
29-25
28-27
30-27
21-15
20-24
20-34
31-15
23-24
177.0Avg total
87.1Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.092.0183.0-1.062%
Season at home (5)93.692.0185.6+1.660%
Season away (3)86.792.0178.7-5.367%
Last 10 (10)87.189.9177.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)88.691.6180.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.987.8171.7-3.945%
vs Similar (17)79.482.2161.6-2.835%
vs Weaker (2)81.584.5166.0-3.050%
This opponent (GKS Tychy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
53.2%
Under 166
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171 · main lineActual: Under 171
Over 171
41.0%
@ 1.91-9.3pp
Under 171
59.0%
@ 1.88+9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.76
1xBet
1.72
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
29.7%
Under 176
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

GKS Tychy total 83.5Actual: GKS Tychy over 83.5
Over 83.5
60.3%
@ 1.40-2.0pp
Under 83.5
39.7%
@ 2.31+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.31
GKS Tychy total 87.5 · main lineActual: GKS Tychy over 87.5
Over 87.5
44.8%
@ 1.86-4.4pp
Under 87.5
55.2%
@ 1.80+4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.69
GKS Tychy total 91.5Actual: GKS Tychy over 91.5
Over 91.5
30.0%
@ 2.43-6.0pp
Under 91.5
70.0%
@ 1.37+6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.43
Under
1xBet
1.37
Polonia Warszawa total 78.5Actual: Polonia Warszawa under 78.5
Over 78.5
60.8%
@ 1.34-5.0pp
Under 78.5
39.2%
@ 2.58+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
Under
1xBet
2.58
Polonia Warszawa total 82.5 · main lineActual: Polonia Warszawa under 82.5
Over 82.5
45.5%
@ 1.83-6.0pp
Under 82.5
54.5%
@ 1.83+6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.63
Under
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Polonia Warszawa total 86.5Actual: Polonia Warszawa under 86.5
Over 86.5
31.0%
@ 2.19-8.7pp
Under 86.5
69.0%
@ 1.44+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread GKS Tychy -7Actual: GKS Tychy -7
GKS -7
42.2%
@ 2.34+2.7pp
POLO +7
57.8%
@ 1.53-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
GKS
Pinnacle
2.34
POLO
Pinnacle
1.53
Spread GKS Tychy -4 · main lineActual: GKS Tychy -4
GKS -4
54.1%
@ 1.84+3.4pp
POLO +4
45.9%
@ 1.89-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
GKS
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.83
POLO
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.83
Spread GKS Tychy -1Actual: GKS Tychy -1
GKS -1
65.3%
POLO +1
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
GKS
No market prices yet.
POLO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
GKS TychyPolonia Warszawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GKS TychyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H25/04
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/04
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
13-39
13
39
-26
A27/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H03/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A10/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H17/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A25/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H31/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/11
1 Liga
76.7Avg total
36.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)37.839.677.4-1.850%20%
Last 30 at home (13)40.240.981.2-0.762%31%
Last 30 away (17)35.938.674.6-2.741%12%
Last 10 (10)36.240.576.7-4.340%30%
Last 5 (5)42.841.884.6+1.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.040.873.8-7.838%0%
vs Similar (14)38.037.475.4+0.650%14%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.242.584.8-0.262%50%
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polonia WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H21/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#13
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A24/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H31/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#15
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H08/11
1 Liga
87.1Avg total
43.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)41.042.883.8-1.843%40%
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.683.1+0.050%38%
Last 30 away (14)40.344.284.5-3.936%43%
Last 10 (10)43.743.487.1+0.360%50%
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.743.083.7-2.355%36%
vs Similar (17)41.343.484.7-2.135%47%
vs Weaker (2)39.536.576.0+3.050%0%
This opponent (GKS Tychy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: GKS Tychy win
GKS win
no forecast
@ 1.58
POLO win
no forecast
@ 2.38
1st half Spread GKS Tychy -2.5 · main lineActual: GKS Tychy -2.5
GKS -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
POLO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Over 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
GKS Tychy 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: GKS Tychy over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Polonia Warszawa 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Polonia Warszawa under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half: GKS + total 83.5
GKS & over
no forecast
@ 3.10
GKS & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: GKS Tychy (regulation)
GKS
no forecast
@ 1.65
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
POLO
no forecast
@ 2.42

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GKS win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
POLO win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GKS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: POLO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Polonia Warszawa under 88.575.3%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+9.0ppWon
Polonia Warszawa under 87.572.2%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+8.8ppWon
Polonia Warszawa under 89.578.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+8.8ppWon
GKS Tychy under 93.576.4%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+6.3ppLost
GKS Tychy under 92.573.3%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+6.3ppLost
Overtime: no95.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.5ppWon
GKS Tychy +2.572.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+2.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
GKS Tychytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

GKS Tychy: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.3
51.2%
53.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.4
28.8%
33.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
70.8%15.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polonia Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polonia Warszawa: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.8
55.2%
53.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.414.1
62.9%
70.8%14.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
GKS Tychy
LWLWWLLLLL
Polonia Warszawa
LWWLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#8
-5.7
Net rating
-3.7
89.8
Offensive rating
91.7
95.4
Defensive rating
95.4
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.8%
3-point %
30.0%
64.0%
Assist %
60.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 91.7Defence95.4 · 95.4Shooting47.9% · 51.3%3-point %28.8% · 30.0%Ball care14.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ GKS Tychy   ■ Polonia Warszawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
GKS Tychy wins
5
Polonia Warszawa wins
GKS Tychylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AR. Rzeszow80-89
31/10/26HWKK Wroclaw90-65
25/10/26ALeszno59-84
17/10/26HInowroclaw96-77
10/10/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg96-83
03/10/26HLancut65-78
27/09/26ALKS Lodz52-87
19/09/26HSpojnia Stargard81-83
26/04/26HLKS Lodz74-89
25/04/26HLKS Lodz66-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HStarogard Gdanski94-97
31/10/26HPelplin108-94
24/10/26AR. Rzeszow83-79
18/10/26HWKK Wroclaw81-89
10/10/26ALeszno77-99
04/10/26HInowroclaw90-87
26/09/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg100-98 OT
21/09/26HLancut95-93
15/04/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg72-74
11/04/26HSpojnia Stargard71-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

GKS Tychy
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.483.071.8
Allowed / game80.875.885.8
Point differential-3.4+7.2-14.0
Avg total158.1158.8157.5
Over 17125%25%25%
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polonia Warszawa
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game91.093.686.7
Allowed / game92.092.092.0
Point differential-1.0+1.6-5.3
Avg total183.0185.6178.7
Over 17175%80%67%
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 LKS Lodz86275%89.279.9+9.4
3 Spojnia Stargard86275%91.486.8+4.6
4 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
5 Poznan85362%91.087.1+3.9
6 WKK Wroclaw85362%83.881.5+2.2
7 Polonia Warszawa85362%91.092.0-1.0
8 Lancut84450%87.084.4+2.6
9 Kotwica Kolobrzeg84450%90.589.6+0.9
10 Pelplin84450%90.992.5-1.6
11 GKS Tychy83538%77.480.8-3.4
12 Bytom82625%81.686.4-4.8
13 Starogard Gdanski82625%86.092.0-6.0
14 R. Rzeszow82625%78.287.9-9.6
15 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
16 Poli. Opolska81712%80.992.4-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
GKS Tychy3225182297
Polonia Warszawa1418171766
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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