PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Uruguaya· Goes
On 10 November 2026 the Liga Uruguaya will host a clash between Goes and Atenas, with the model designating Goes as the favourite because of a 79% win probability and a season record of 4-1, 92.4 points per game and 86.2 allowed, placing them third in the league. Atenas, meanwhile, sits 12th with a 1-4 record, 71.0 points per game and 86.6 allowed. Goes has been flawless at home, 2-0 with 93.5 points per game and 77.0 allowed, and has won four of its last five games, including a 97-83 victory over Union Atletica at home on 29 October and a 124-110 win away against Nacional on 26 October. Atenas has struggled on the road, 1-2, and has only two wins in its last five, notably a 95-94 home win over Racing de Chivilcoy on 1 November. In their ten previous meetings Atenas has won six times, the most recent being a 20-0 triumph over Goes on 24 January 2020. The Pythia model projects a 89-80 score, 169.8 total points, and a 4% chance of overtime, with Goes covering the spread and the over probability at 4%. The game will hinge on whether Goes can maintain its offensive edge against a defensively challenged Atenas.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 92.4 | 86.2 | 178.6 | +6.2 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.5 | 77.0 | 170.5 | +16.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 91.7 | 92.3 | 184.0 | -0.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 92.4 | 87.7 | 180.1 | +4.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.4 | 86.2 | 178.6 | +6.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 82.8 | 92.7 | 175.5 | -9.9 | 24% |
| vs Similar (2) | 81.5 | 85.0 | 166.5 | -3.5 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 88.9 | 81.8 | 170.7 | +7.1 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 71.0 | 86.6 | 157.6 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 67.0 | 87.0 | 154.0 | -20.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 86.3 | 160.0 | -12.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 84.8 | 163.6 | -6.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.6 | 87.8 | 164.4 | -11.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 78.4 | 87.1 | 165.5 | -8.6 | 24% |
| vs Similar (6) | 79.5 | 76.5 | 156.0 | +3.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 81.4 | 82.1 | 163.6 | -0.7 | 57% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 45.0 | 87.4 | -2.6 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.3 | 44.6 | 87.9 | -1.3 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 41.8 | 45.3 | 87.1 | -3.5 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.5 | 47.2 | 94.7 | +0.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.2 | 45.2 | 95.4 | +5.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 39.5 | 47.5 | 86.9 | -8.0 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 46.5 | 36.0 | 82.5 | +10.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 46.3 | 42.8 | 89.1 | +3.5 | 64% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 41.6 | 81.9 | -1.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.5 | 41.1 | 80.7 | -1.6 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 42.1 | 83.2 | -0.9 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.3 | 44.7 | 82.0 | -7.4 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 45.2 | 84.0 | -6.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 40.4 | 43.9 | 84.3 | -3.5 | 35% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.3 | 34.5 | 74.8 | +5.8 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 40.1 | 42.1 | 82.3 | -2.0 | 43% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.2 | 22.9 | 50.3% | 45.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.6 | 11.3 | 32.1% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.0 | 12.8 | 70.5% | 12.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.2 | 20.6 | 50.3% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.7 | 32.1% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 10.4 | 70.5% | 10.4 |
Goes
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25/01/20 | Atenas v Goes | 0-20 |
| 11/11/19 | Goes v Atenas | 99-89 |
| 07/01/19 | Goes v Atenas | 105-78 |
| 18/10/18 | Atenas v Goes | 90-83 |
| 28/10/15 | Goes v Atenas | 91-84 |
| 14/01/15 | Atenas v Goes | 79-75 |
| 09/12/14 | Goes v Atenas | 62-75 |
| 04/11/14 | Goes v Atenas | 52-67 |
| 11/02/14 | Atenas v Goes | 78-74 |
| 07/01/14 | Goes v Atenas | 77-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Aguada | 87-84 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Union Atletica | 97-83 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Nacional | 124-110 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Malvin | 90-71 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Defensor | 64-83 |
| 23/03/26 | A | Urunday | 84-88 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Welcome | 103-83 |
| 17/03/26 | A | Bigua | 97-94 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Union Atletica | 84-94 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Cordon | 94-87 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 80% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 92.4 | 93.5 | 91.7 |
| Allowed / game | 86.2 | 77.0 | 92.3 |
| Point differential | +6.2 | +16.5 | -0.7 |
| Avg total | 178.6 | 170.5 | 184.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 20% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 71.0 | 67.0 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 86.6 | 87.0 | 86.3 |
| Point differential | -15.6 | -20.0 | -12.7 |
| Avg total | 157.6 | 154.0 | 160.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 73.5 | +17.5 |
| 2 |  Bigua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 92.8 | 84.8 | +8.0 |
| 3 | Goes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 92.4 | 86.2 | +6.2 |
| 4 |  Hebraica y Macabi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 84.6 | 81.4 | +3.2 |
| 5 |  Aguada | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.4 | 75.8 | +2.6 |
| 6 |  Defensor | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.2 | 77.0 | +0.2 |
| 7 |  Malvin | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.5 | 79.7 | -3.2 |
| 8 | Larranaga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.6 | 85.2 | -0.6 |
| 9 |  Urunday | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.7 | 80.7 | -1.0 |
| 10 |  Nacional | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 89.6 | 95.4 | -5.8 |
| 11 | Atenas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.0 | 86.6 | -15.6 |
| 12 |  Union Atletica | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 77.2 | 84.5 | -7.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goes | 33 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 99 |
| Atenas | 7 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 71 |
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