Gold Coast vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 94-71

31-23 24-11 15-22 24-15

Position#3

Record16-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game80.8

Gold Coast 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#1

Record21-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game77.1

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers

NEW 102

NEW 123

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gold Coast winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

91-50

+41

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

84-72

+12

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

66-80

-14

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-86

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-72

+13

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

94-77

+17

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

90-83

H04/03

NBL

Townsville

76-88

-12

A10/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

93-109

109

-16

A15/03

NBL

Adelaide

84-83

A17/03

NBL

26-17

21-12

16-11

28-10

19-21

28-15

18-15

12-23

18-18

20-22

16-17

21-22

30-21

16-22

27-21

18-23

28-17

14-14

25-18

23-14

24-31

27-17

20-15

20-24

17-19

29-10

24-30

32-24

9-17

23-23

12-24

18-23

28-35

22-32

25-19

25-18

23-23

12-25

24-17

165.7Avg total

85.7Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.9	80.8	165.7	+4.1	59%
Season at home (13)	85.2	77.1	162.3	+8.2	69%
Season away (14)	84.6	84.3	168.9	+0.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	80.0	165.7	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	88.0	175.4	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	88.0	86.0	174.0	+2.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	84.3	90.0	174.3	-5.7	30%
vs Weaker (17)	86.2	75.6	161.8	+10.5	76%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

91-77

+14

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

93-64

+29

H27/01

NBL

Perth

83-77

H02/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

64-80

-16

A11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-74

H16/02

NBL

Townsville

81-70

+11

H23/02

NBL

Perth

101-99 OT

101

A04/03

NBL

Adelaide

91-76

+15

A10/03

NBL

Gold Coast

109-93

109

+16

H15/03

NBL

Townsville

76-69

A23/03

NBL

21-21

22-12

29-20

19-24

18-14

27-20

20-18

28-12

31-24

11-20

24-10

17-23

14-20

18-22

24-22

8-16

16-18

22-22

18-14

26-20

29-15

17-23

17-18

18-14

24-24

22-31

21-21

22-13

33-24

14-21

23-16

21-15

23-18

35-28

32-22

19-25

26-14

17-26

9-13

24-16

165.0Avg total

87.1Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	85.6	77.1	162.7	+8.4	78%
Season at home (14)	88.9	76.4	165.3	+12.4	93%
Season away (13)	82.1	77.9	160.0	+4.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	77.9	165.0	+9.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	81.4	173.0	+10.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	88.9	81.3	170.2	+7.6	78%
vs Weaker (21)	83.2	74.1	157.3	+9.1	76%

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Gold CoastNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.2	42.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	23.7	45.4	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.0	45.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.9	24.8	46.7	-2.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	25.8	46.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	38%	-

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

47-29

+18

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

38-42

-4

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

30-41

-11

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-43

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-40

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

47-45

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

37-43

-6

H04/03

NBL

Townsville

41-41

A10/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-58

-12

A15/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-41

A17/03

NBL

85.4Avg total

43.1Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.7	87.7	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	41.4	86.2	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.1	43.9	88.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	42.3	85.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	49.0	90.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.4	47.2	91.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.9	38.9	84.9	+7.0	76%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

43-33

+10

H19/01

NBL

Sydney

45-34

+11

H27/01

NBL

Perth

42-44

-2

H02/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

32-42

-10

A11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-40

-2

H16/02

NBL

Townsville

46-38

H23/02

NBL

Perth

46-55

-9

A04/03

NBL

Adelaide

47-45

A10/03

NBL

Gold Coast

58-46

+12

H15/03

NBL

Townsville

43-40

A23/03

NBL

85.7Avg total

44.0Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	37.9	82.1	+6.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.1	80.6	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	41.7	85.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	44.8	92.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.0	42.8	85.8	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.5	38.0	79.5	+3.5	52%	-

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.3	21.0	47.3	+5.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.2	17.1	36.4	+2.1	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	17.6	39.2	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.8	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	16.0	36.3	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	17.1	38.4	+4.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	16.3	35.8	+3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	37.1	78.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	39.9	80.0	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	37.7	80.3	+4.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.4	86.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	46.7	37.0	83.7	+9.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.5	42.3	81.8	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (17)	40.2	36.7	76.9	+3.5	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.3	76.5	+5.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	35.8	77.8	+6.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	34.9	75.1	+5.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	35.2	77.1	+6.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.6	75.8	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.3	34.8	77.1	+7.6	100%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gold Coast wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
15/03/12	New Zealand Breakers v Gold Coast	109-93
08/12/11	New Zealand Breakers v Gold Coast	106-85
07/10/11	Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers	87-102
23/02/11	New Zealand Breakers v Gold Coast	91-94
20/02/11	Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers	115-123 OT
25/11/10	New Zealand Breakers v Gold Coast	100-79
06/11/10	Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers	81-96
11/02/10	New Zealand Breakers v Gold Coast	109-94
23/01/10	Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers	81-95
31/12/09	Gold Coast v New Zealand Breakers	90-83

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/12	A	Adelaide	84-83
15/03/12	A	New Zealand Breakers	93-109
10/03/12	A	Townsville	76-88
04/03/12	H	Sydney	90-83
03/03/12	A	Cairns	94-77
26/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	85-72
24/02/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	94-86
19/02/12	H	Townsville	66-80
10/02/12	A	Sydney	84-72
04/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-50

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/12	A	Townsville	76-69
15/03/12	H	Gold Coast	109-93
10/03/12	A	Adelaide	91-76
04/03/12	A	Perth	101-99 OT
23/02/12	H	Townsville	81-70
16/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-74
11/02/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	64-80
02/02/12	H	Perth	83-77
27/01/12	H	Sydney	93-64
19/01/12	H	Melbourne United	91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gold Coast

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	59%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	WWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	59%	69%	50%
Points / game	84.9	85.2	84.6
Allowed / game	80.8	77.1	84.3
Point differential	+4.1	+8.2	+0.4
Avg total	165.7	162.3	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	54%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WLWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	78%	93%	62%
Points / game	85.6	88.9	82.1
Allowed / game	77.1	76.4	77.9
Point differential	+8.4	+12.4	+4.2
Avg total	162.7	165.3	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	71%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	27	21	6	78%	85.6	77.1	+8.4
2	Perth	28	19	9	68%	86.9	77.5	+9.4
3	Gold Coast	27	16	11	59%	84.9	80.8	+4.1
4	Townsville	28	15	13	54%	79.0	78.9	+0.1
5	Cairns	28	15	13	54%	72.3	75.2	-2.9
6	Melbourne United	28	11	17	39%	77.0	80.0	-3.0
7	Sydney	28	11	17	39%	81.4	86.5	-5.1
8	Illawarra Hawks	28	9	19	32%	74.8	79.7	-5.0
9	Adelaide	28	8	20	29%	82.0	87.6	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gold Coast	31	24	15	24	94
New Zealand Breakers	23	11	22	15	71

← all games of the day

Gold Coast vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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