Townsville vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 88-76

24-32 17-9 23-23 24-12

Position#5

Record14-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game78.3

Townsville 🏆

Gold Coast

Position#3

Record15-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game79.2

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Townsville v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

79-69

+10

H25/01

NBL

Perth

55-87

-32

A28/01

NBL

Cairns

81-85

-4

A03/02

NBL

Adelaide

89-71

+18

H05/02

NBL

Adelaide

74-79

-5

A12/02

NBL

Cairns

75-43

+32

H17/02

NBL

Gold Coast

80-66

+14

A19/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

70-81

-11

A23/02

NBL

Sydney

69-71

-2

A26/02

NBL

Melbourne United

67-64

H04/03

NBL

19-14

24-21

17-18

19-16

17-24

10-19

18-25

10-19

15-22

23-20

21-18

22-25

21-27

22-21

24-10

22-13

11-17

23-21

23-26

17-15

16-8

22-13

24-13

13-9

23-12

18-18

22-20

17-16

15-29

23-17

18-17

14-18

15-12

17-20

15-28

22-11

20-12

12-22

20-10

15-20

145.5Avg total

73.9Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.6	78.3	157.9	+1.3	56%
Season at home (12)	82.4	75.1	157.5	+7.3	83%
Season away (13)	77.0	81.2	158.2	-4.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	71.6	145.5	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	65.0	137.2	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.0	89.2	161.2	-17.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.3	76.0	153.3	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker (11)	82.7	76.3	159.0	+6.5	82%

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

73-60

+13

A15/01

NBL

Melbourne United

92-78

+14

H21/01

NBL

Cairns

76-49

+27

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-50

+41

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

84-72

+12

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

66-80

-14

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-86

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-72

+13

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

94-77

+17

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

90-83

H04/03

NBL

18-15

23-18

15-14

17-13

26-15

24-17

16-24

26-22

21-14

19-9

23-14

13-12

26-17

21-12

16-11

28-10

19-21

28-15

18-15

12-23

18-18

20-22

16-17

21-22

30-21

16-22

27-21

18-23

28-17

14-14

25-18

23-14

24-31

27-17

20-15

20-24

17-19

29-10

24-30

155.2Avg total

84.5Scored

70.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	85.0	79.2	164.2	+5.8	62%
Season at home (13)	85.2	77.1	162.3	+8.2	69%
Season away (11)	84.7	81.8	166.5	+2.9	55%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	70.7	155.2	+13.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	79.6	165.4	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	87.8	90.2	178.0	-2.4	60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.4	87.0	169.4	-4.6	33%
vs Weaker (16)	86.3	75.2	161.5	+11.1	75%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.7	34.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.6	32.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	25.0	43.4	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	25.0	47.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	19.4	40.8	+2.1	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.5	45.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	23.7	45.4	-1.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.7	69%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

43-35

H25/01

NBL

Perth

27-43

-16

A28/01

NBL

Cairns

38-42

-4

A03/02

NBL

Adelaide

43-48

-5

H05/02

NBL

Adelaide

34-38

-4

A12/02

NBL

Cairns

38-21

+17

H17/02

NBL

Gold Coast

41-30

+11

A19/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-46

-8

A23/02

NBL

Sydney

32-32

A26/02

NBL

Melbourne United

32-34

-2

H04/03

NBL

73.5Avg total

36.6Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	40.0	78.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	40.2	80.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.3	39.9	76.2	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	32.6	68.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	46.2	84.2	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.4	38.5	74.9	-2.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	64%	-

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

41-33

A15/01

NBL

Melbourne United

50-32

+18

H21/01

NBL

Cairns

40-23

+17

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-29

+18

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

38-42

-4

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

30-41

-11

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-43

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-40

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

47-45

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

37-43

-6

H04/03

NBL

79.8Avg total

42.7Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	42.5	87.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	40.9	85.2	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	44.2	89.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.1	79.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.4	84.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	49.6	93.6	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.8	45.2	89.0	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	45.8	38.8	84.6	+7.0	75%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.1	36.4	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	18.3	38.6	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.5	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.5	38.5	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.3	36.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	16.2	33.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	14.8	31.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.4	19.8	34.2	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.9	40.7	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	33.5	71.9	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	34.7	72.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	32.4	68.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.0	43.0	77.0	-9.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.3	36.6	75.9	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.9	34.5	73.4	+4.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.5	78.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.7	78.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	39.3	79.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	33.6	75.4	+8.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.2	80.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.2	41.2	79.4	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/12	Gold Coast v Townsville	66-80
19/11/11	Gold Coast v Townsville	87-75
29/10/11	Townsville v Gold Coast	78-70
28/01/11	Townsville v Gold Coast	71-62
17/12/10	Gold Coast v Townsville	93-81
11/12/10	Townsville v Gold Coast	91-86
24/10/10	Gold Coast v Townsville	94-90 OT
08/01/10	Townsville v Gold Coast	100-89
13/11/09	Gold Coast v Townsville	93-77
16/10/09	Townsville v Gold Coast	101-91

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/12	H	Melbourne United	67-64
26/02/12	A	Sydney	69-71
23/02/12	A	New Zealand Breakers	70-81
19/02/12	A	Gold Coast	80-66
17/02/12	H	Cairns	75-43
12/02/12	A	Adelaide	74-79
05/02/12	H	Adelaide	89-71
03/02/12	A	Cairns	81-85
28/01/12	A	Perth	55-87
25/01/12	H	Adelaide	79-69

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/12	H	Sydney	90-83
03/03/12	A	Cairns	94-77
26/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	85-72
24/02/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	94-86
19/02/12	H	Townsville	66-80
10/02/12	A	Sydney	84-72
04/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-50
29/01/12	H	Cairns	76-49
21/01/12	H	Melbourne United	92-78
15/01/12	A	Melbourne United	73-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	56%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LLWLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	56%	83%	31%
Points / game	79.6	82.4	77.0
Allowed / game	78.3	75.1	81.2
Point differential	+1.3	+7.3	-4.2
Avg total	157.9	157.5	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	42%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Gold Coast

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	LWWWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	62%	69%	55%
Points / game	85.0	85.2	84.7
Allowed / game	79.2	77.1	81.8
Point differential	+5.8	+8.2	+2.9
Avg total	164.2	162.3	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	54%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	25	19	6	76%	85.0	76.8	+8.2
2	Perth	25	16	9	64%	86.7	79.0	+7.7
3	Gold Coast	24	15	9	62%	85.0	79.2	+5.8
4	Townsville	25	14	11	56%	79.6	78.3	+1.3
5	Cairns	25	14	11	56%	72.5	74.3	-1.8
6	Melbourne United	26	11	15	42%	77.8	80.6	-2.8
7	Sydney	26	10	16	38%	82.0	87.4	-5.4
8	Adelaide	25	8	17	32%	82.4	88.0	-5.5
9	Illawarra Hawks	25	6	19	24%	74.1	81.0	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	24	17	23	24	88
Gold Coast	32	9	23	12	76

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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