PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Goztepe vs Final Spor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 87-82
24-23 27-12 20-21 16-26
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game76.6
Goztepe 🏆
Turkey
Vs
75%
25%
■ GOZT 75%■ FINA 25%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-75
Projected total 158.3
Final Spor
Turkey
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.4
TurkeyTBLRound 9· Alt
Other2026-27
Meetings · Goztepe v Final Spor
01 Nov 2026
GOZT87
FINA82
12 Dec 2025
GOZT67
FINA63
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Goztepe host Final Spor in the TBL. Pythia makes Goztepe the favourite at 75% and projects 83-75, about 158 points in all (over 160.5: 44%). On the market's main spread (Goztepe -8) Pythia gives Goztepe 49% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Goztepe are 6-1 this season (85.7 scored, 76.6 allowed a game), form WWLWW; Final Spor are 5-3 this season (79.9 scored, 78.4 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goztepe winWon
75.1%fair 1.33
Best odds1.26
Implied76.0%
Edge-0.8pp
Final Spor winLost
24.9%fair 4.02
Best odds4.00
Implied24.0%
Edge+0.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 15:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoztepeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoztepe
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
80avg 76
A09/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
65avg 76
H12/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 76
A15/05
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 76
H12/09
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 76
A19/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
86avg 76
H26/09
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
78-67
78
67
+11
76avg 76
H07/10
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
L
86-88
86
88
-2
65avg 76
A10/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
102avg 76
H17/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
W
90-88
90
88
+2
92avg 76
A25/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
19-26
24-21
10-21
12-21
24-14
13-17
24-19
10-24
27-17
13-23
15-18
20-20
18-12
13-19
22-21
14-14
22-19
27-17
22-23
19-16
25-12
15-14
26-22
16-22
25-11
20-17
17-17
25-17
20-29
24-25
17-17
19-18
34-18
27-25
23-23
22-31
24-18
24-19
20-20
158.7Avg total
81.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.776.6162.3+9.186%
Season at home (4)84.871.8156.5+13.0100%
Season away (3)87.083.0170.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)81.477.3158.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)88.478.2166.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.782.0155.7-8.329%
vs Similar (10)88.786.8175.5+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.467.0144.4+10.485%
This opponent (Final Spor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Final SporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpor
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 71
A12/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
85avg 71
H18/04
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 71
A12/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
79avg 71
A19/09
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#11
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 71
H27/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
75avg 71
A04/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
64avg 71
H07/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
75avg 71
A10/10
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
68-52
68
52
+16
65avg 71
H18/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 71
A24/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
21-21
18-16
22-16
23-24
18-22
18-19
29-24
19-17
15-22
30-27
16-18
19-15
15-23
21-14
19-22
9-21
22-18
29-14
15-21
13-14
26-21
19-23
25-17
12-33
23-22
21-15
22-21
24-22
17-17
19-21
17-15
20-16
12-11
16-10
20-15
14-26
32-17
14-23
29-19
159.0Avg total
79.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.978.4158.2+1.562%
Season at home (3)73.772.3146.0+1.367%
Season away (5)83.682.0165.6+1.660%
Last 10 (10)79.779.3159.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)79.075.6154.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.685.2160.8-9.610%
vs Similar (14)75.477.9153.2-2.536%
vs Weaker (6)68.760.2128.8+8.5100%
This opponent (Goztepe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
56.0%
@ 1.73+3.0pp
Under 155.5
44.0%
@ 1.95-3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
SBO
1.73
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.85
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
43.9%
@ 1.83-6.1pp
Under 160.5
56.1%
@ 1.83+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
32.5%
Under 165.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Goztepe total 78.5Actual: Goztepe over 78.5
Over 78.5
67.1%
@ 1.39+4.2pp
Under 78.5
32.9%
@ 2.36-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Goztepe total 82.5 · main lineActual: Goztepe over 82.5
Over 82.5
51.9%
@ 1.85+1.6pp
Under 82.5
48.1%
@ 1.86-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.74
Under
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.70
Goztepe total 86.5Actual: Goztepe over 86.5
Over 86.5
36.2%
@ 2.43+0.2pp
Under 86.5
63.8%
@ 1.37-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.43
Under
1xBet
1.37
Final Spor total 70.5Actual: Final Spor over 70.5
Over 70.5
67.5%
@ 1.39+4.6pp
Under 70.5
32.5%
@ 2.36-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Final Spor total 74.5 · main lineActual: Final Spor over 74.5
Over 74.5
52.4%
@ 1.91+3.5pp
Under 74.5
47.6%
@ 1.83-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Final Spor total 78.5Actual: Final Spor over 78.5
Over 78.5
37.2%
@ 2.44+1.3pp
Under 78.5
62.8%
@ 1.37-1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.44
Under
1xBet
1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Goztepe -11Actual: Final Spor +11
GOZT -11
37.9%
@ 2.28-2.0pp
FINA +11
62.1%
@ 1.51+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
GOZT
Pinnacle
2.28
FINA
Pinnacle
1.51
Spread Goztepe -8 · main lineActual: Final Spor +8
GOZT -8
49.1%
@ 1.81-2.0pp
FINA +8
50.9%
@ 1.89+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
GOZT
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.79
FINA
SBO
1.89
Pinnacle
1.87
Spread Goztepe -5Push
GOZT -5
60.8%
FINA +5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
GOZT
No market prices yet.
FINA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
GoztepeFinal Spor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoztepeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Sportif
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/05
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/05
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/09
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/09
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H07/10
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H17/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A25/10
TBL
79.3Avg total
41.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (28)41.640.081.6+1.661%57%
Last 30 at home (14)41.735.477.1+6.379%43%
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.143%71%
Last 10 (10)41.837.579.3+4.360%40%
Last 5 (5)45.838.484.2+7.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.341.980.1-3.629%57%
vs Similar (10)42.441.583.9+0.970%60%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.937.580.4+5.573%55%
This opponent (Final Spor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Final SporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKE Ankaragucu
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/04
TBL
CO Basket
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/04
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/09
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/09
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H27/09
TBL
Darussafaka
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/10
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H07/10
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A10/10
TBL
Balikesir
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H18/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
TBL
76.9Avg total
36.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (29)37.939.177.0-1.241%41%
Last 30 at home (14)37.340.778.0-3.429%50%
Last 30 away (15)38.537.676.1+0.953%33%
Last 10 (10)36.340.676.9-4.340%40%
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.280%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.744.181.8-6.430%70%
vs Similar (14)38.136.474.6+1.736%21%
vs Weaker (5)37.836.674.4+1.280%40%
This opponent (Goztepe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Goztepe win
GOZT win
no forecast
@ 1.41
FINA win
no forecast
@ 2.92
1st half Spread Goztepe -4.5 · main lineActual: Goztepe -4.5
GOZT -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
FINA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Goztepe 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Goztepe over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Final Spor 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Final Spor under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: GOZT + total 78.5
GOZT & over
no forecast
@ 2.85
GOZT & under
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half: Draw + total 78.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Goztepe (regulation)
GOZT
no forecast
@ 1.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
FINA
no forecast
@ 3.08

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GOZT win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
FINA win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GOZT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FINA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Goztepe (regulation)72.7%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+5.1ppWon
Final Spor over 68.574.3%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+4.8ppWon
Final Spor over 69.571.0%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+4.7ppWon
Goztepe over 76.573.9%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+4.6ppWon
Goztepe over 77.570.6%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+4.4ppWon
Overtime: no95.8%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.9pp-
Goztepe under 88.570.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+0.9ppWon
Goztepe win75.1%1.22
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.24
WilliamHill
1.22
Betfair
1.22		-0.8ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goztepetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goztepe: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.5
54.2%
52.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
71.2%16.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Final Sportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Final Spor: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
52.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.1
68.8%
71.2%14.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goztepe
WWLWWWWLWL
Final Spor
WWWLWWLLLL
#2
League position
#6
+5.8
Net rating
-0.1
94.4
Offensive rating
90.1
88.7
Defensive rating
90.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.1%
3-point %
33.8%
72.2%
Assist %
71.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 90.1Defence88.7 · 90.2Shooting52.7% · 50.1%3-point %34.1% · 33.8%Ball care16.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Goztepe   ■ Final Spor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Goztepe wins
0
Final Spor wins
DateGameScore
03/04/26Final Spor v Goztepe89-92
12/12/25Goztepe v Final Spor67-63
Goztepelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AKonya BBSK90-88
17/10/26HKecioren Baglum103-84
10/10/26AMKE Ankaragucu86-88
07/10/26HBalikesir78-67
26/09/26HAnkara Kolejliler85-64
19/09/26AOGM Ormanspor85-73
12/09/26HKahramanmaras73-72
15/05/26ABordo Sportif65-82
12/05/26HBordo Sportif73-71
09/05/26ABordo Sportif76-84
Final Sporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AKecioren Baglum89-85
18/10/26HBalikesir68-52
10/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler77-75
07/10/26HKahramanmaras78-91
04/10/26ADarussafaka83-75
27/09/26HFenerbahce 275-74
19/09/26AGaziantep89-91 OT
12/09/26AiLab Basketbol80-84
18/04/26HCO Basket88-89
12/04/26AMKE Ankaragucu70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goztepe
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game85.784.887.0
Allowed / game76.671.883.0
Point differential+9.1+13.0+4.0
Avg total162.3156.5170.0
Over 160.543%25%67%
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Final Spor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game79.973.783.6
Allowed / game78.472.382.0
Point differential+1.5+1.3+1.6
Avg total158.2146.0165.6
Over 160.550%33%60%
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK880100%90.674.6+16.0
2 Goztepe76186%85.776.6+9.1
3 Harem Spor97278%80.467.2+13.2
4 Kahramanmaras86275%83.975.0+8.9
5 Gaziantep85362%78.676.6+2.0
6 Final Spor85362%79.978.4+1.5
7 Buyukcekmece74357%81.979.0+2.9
8 OGM Ormanspor84450%84.283.0+1.2
9 iLab Basketbol84450%85.086.2-1.2
10 CO Basket94544%74.481.8-7.3
11 Fenerbahce 283538%72.978.8-5.9
12 MKE Ankaragucu83538%79.490.8-11.4
13 Ankara Kolejliler93633%75.881.1-5.3
14 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
15 Konya BBSK82625%81.083.9-2.9
16 Balikesir92722%73.278.3-5.1
17 Kecioren Baglum91811%82.887.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goztepe2427201687
Final Spor2312212682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.