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Gran Canaria vs Alicante Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game74.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33· Gran Canaria Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Alicante
01 May 2027
GKA v ALI
upcoming
11 Feb 2012
GKA61
ALI53
19 Dec 2010
GKA52
ALI53
18 Apr 2010
GKA82
ALI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alicante win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A03/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H14/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A17/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
99-65
99
65
+34
A25/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
14-19
12-17
23-26
26-21
31-20
22-20
23-22
9-16
15-24
22-16
26-19
22-21
13-21
22-27
23-18
18-24
15-28
20-28
28-25
23-27
32-16
30-16
23-10
14-15
19-16
25-20
21-17
20-20
21-21
13-20
20-23
27-25
28-12
15-15
27-23
22-12
25-19
22-20
30-14
166.3Avg total
86.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.472.2163.6+19.280%
Season at home (2)102.572.0174.5+30.5100%
Season away (3)84.072.3156.3+11.767%
Last 10 (10)86.180.2166.3+5.950%
Last 5 (5)91.472.2163.6+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.491.5174.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.286.1167.3-4.918%
vs Weaker (9)87.473.7161.1+13.878%
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A08/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A15/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
72-113
72
113
-41
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
81-64
81
64
+17
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A30/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-19
23-26
21-14
18-27
16-23
23-15
20-28
15-18
19-21
17-18
16-17
27-33
20-30
13-25
12-25
22-26
21-23
25-15
28-18
24-16
14-16
22-11
21-21
20-20
21-21
20-13
23-20
16-16
16-22
24-22
27-19
29-26
32-18
23-5
22-17
23-22
21-23
19-25
26-9
163.8Avg total
83.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.874.0163.8+15.8100%
Season at home (3)95.374.0169.3+21.3100%
Season away (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.180.7163.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)88.672.4161.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.388.6163.9-13.49%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.581.4159.9-2.938%
vs Weaker (11)87.277.2164.4+10.082%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
Gran CanariaAlicante
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A03/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H14/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#8
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A25/10
Primera FEB
82.0Avg total
41.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.483.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.040.177.1-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.682.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.682.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.342.579.8-5.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.342.580.7-4.227%-
vs Weaker (9)43.036.879.8+6.278%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A08/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/10
Primera FEB
85.0Avg total
40.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.281.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.244.587.6-1.331%-
Last 30 away (17)37.538.876.3-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.485.0-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.543.984.4-3.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.941.277.1-5.438%-
vs Weaker (11)42.538.581.0+3.964%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
52.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
74.4%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alicante: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.7
49.6%
52.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.5
34.5%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
74.4%16.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WWLWWLLLWL
Alicante
WWWWWWLLLL
#3
League position
#1
+6.0
Net rating
-0.3
108.1
Offensive rating
113.4
102.1
Defensive rating
113.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
9.4%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
34.5%
50.0%
Assist %
51.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 113.4Defence102.1 · 113.7Shooting56.1% · 50.6%3-point %36.9% · 34.5%Ball care9.4% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Alicante
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gran Canaria wins
4
Alicante wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ACordoba99-65
17/10/26HAlbacete97-75
10/10/26AAlicante74-84
03/10/26AFuenlabrada79-68
26/09/26HOviedo108-69
29/05/26AValencia81-105
23/05/26HManresa80-87
17/05/26AForca Lleida72-75
14/05/26HTenerife102-83
03/05/26ABarcelona69-91
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ATizona Burgos89-79
25/10/26HGipuzkoa106-66
16/10/26AOurense83-79
10/10/26HGran Canaria84-74
03/10/26AHestia Menorca81-64
26/09/26HFuenlabrada96-82
22/05/26HEstudiantes72-113
17/05/26AEstudiantes67-74
15/05/26AEstudiantes77-93
08/05/26AZamora76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.4102.584.0
Allowed / game72.272.072.3
Point differential+19.2+30.5+11.7
Avg total163.6174.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alicante
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.895.384.3
Allowed / game74.074.074.0
Point differential+15.8+21.3+10.3
Avg total163.8169.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante660100%89.874.0+15.8
2 Estudiantes550100%88.873.8+15.0
3 Gran Canaria54180%91.472.2+19.2
4 Palencia54180%83.475.6+7.8
5 Estela54180%84.678.2+6.4
6 Palmer Basket53260%87.885.8+2.0
7 Granada53260%81.881.4+0.4
8 Albacete53260%82.287.2-5.0
9 Oviedo53260%83.489.6-6.2
10 Ourense52340%85.285.0+0.2
11 Caja 8752340%77.078.2-1.2
12 Cordoba52340%71.677.6-6.0
13 Fuenlabrada51420%78.682.4-3.8
14 Zamora51420%73.079.6-6.6
15 Fibwi Palma51420%81.288.6-7.4
16 Gipuzkoa51420%80.094.4-14.4
17 Tizona Burgos61517%87.595.0-7.5
18 Hestia Menorca5050%70.280.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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