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Gran Canaria vs Alicante Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game75.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33· Gran Canaria Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Alicante
01 May 2027
GKA v ALI
upcoming
11 Feb 2012
GKA61
ALI53
19 Dec 2010
GKA52
ALI53
18 Apr 2010
GKA82
ALI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alicante win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 78
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
81-105
81
105
-24
64avg 78
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
108-69
108
69
+39
103avg 78
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
72avg 78
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
87avg 78
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
99-65
99
65
+34
94avg 78
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-83
104
83
+21
no box
A13/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
13-21
22-27
23-18
18-24
15-28
20-28
28-25
23-27
32-16
30-16
23-10
14-15
19-16
25-20
21-17
20-20
21-21
13-20
20-23
27-25
28-12
15-15
27-23
22-12
25-19
22-20
30-14
30-21
17-20
13-30
20-31
27-16
19-17
20-18
21-15
31-18
15-19
36-25
22-21
169.3Avg total
88.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.076.5167.5+14.575%
Season at home (3)97.370.0167.3+27.3100%
Season away (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
Last 10 (10)88.980.4169.3+8.560%
Last 5 (5)93.478.2171.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.891.7175.4-7.922%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.187.4168.5-6.317%
vs Weaker (9)93.374.6167.9+18.889%
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlicante
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 72
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
72-113
72
113
-41
60avg 72
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
83avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
71avg 72
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 72
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 72
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-66
106
66
+40
98avg 72
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 72
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-21
17-18
16-17
27-33
20-30
13-25
12-25
22-26
21-23
25-15
28-18
24-16
14-16
22-11
21-21
20-20
21-21
20-13
23-20
16-16
16-22
24-22
27-19
29-26
32-18
23-5
22-17
23-22
21-23
19-25
26-9
12-23
20-14
20-18
32-29
22-18
34-12
24-13
20-23
166.5Avg total
87.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.075.4167.4+16.6100%
Season at home (5)96.676.2172.8+20.4100%
Season away (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.579.0166.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)95.076.6171.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.388.6163.9-13.49%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.682.7160.3-5.129%
vs Weaker (12)88.477.6166.0+10.883%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
Gran CanariaAlicante
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A13/11
Primera FEB
82.6Avg total
43.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.681.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.840.883.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.479.3-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.882.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.235.884.0+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.742.279.9-4.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (9)46.136.682.7+9.689%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.1-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.543.886.3-1.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.076.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.543.984.4-3.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.742.177.9-6.429%-
vs Weaker (12)41.838.280.0+3.558%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
74.2%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alicante: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
53.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
32.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
74.2%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WWLWWLWWLL
Alicante
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+6.0
Net rating
+3.5
108.1
Offensive rating
115.2
102.1
Defensive rating
111.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
9.4%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.9%
3-point %
36.0%
50.0%
Assist %
51.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 115.2Defence102.1 · 111.7Shooting56.1% · 52.5%3-point %36.9% · 36.0%Ball care9.4% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Alicante
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gran Canaria wins
4
Alicante wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ATizona Burgos104-83
07/11/26HGipuzkoa87-66
01/11/26AEstudiantes80-102
25/10/26ACordoba99-65
17/10/26HAlbacete97-75
10/10/26AAlicante74-84
03/10/26AFuenlabrada79-68
26/09/26HOviedo108-69
29/05/26AValencia81-105
23/05/26HManresa80-87
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HFibwi Palma100-66
07/11/26HPalmer Basket97-93 OT
30/10/26ATizona Burgos89-79
25/10/26HGipuzkoa106-66
16/10/26AOurense83-79
10/10/26HGran Canaria84-74
03/10/26AHestia Menorca81-64
26/09/26HFuenlabrada96-82
22/05/26HEstudiantes72-113
17/05/26AEstudiantes67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game91.097.387.2
Allowed / game76.570.080.4
Point differential+14.5+27.3+6.8
Avg total167.5167.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alicante
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.096.684.3
Allowed / game75.476.274.0
Point differential+16.6+20.4+10.3
Avg total167.4172.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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