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Great Britain W vs Estonia W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-42
23-10 23-14 23-12 24-6
Position#18
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game58.5
Great Britain W 🏆
vs
Estonia W
Position#31
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· National Basketball Performance Centre
Women2024
Meetings · Great Britain W v Estonia W
06 Feb 2025
GREA93
ESTO42
09 Feb 2023
GREA100
ESTO45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Great Britain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Great Britain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
W
100-45
100
45
+55
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
W
78-48
78
48
+30
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
L
61-62
61
62
-1
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
60-66
60
66
-6
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
83-45
83
45
+38
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
75-62
75
62
+13
73avg 54
H07/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 54
A10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
25-7
24-20
28-8
10-13
25-10
23-10
20-15
11-23
22-15
27-18
16-15
11-19
13-10
11-15
22-19
19-15
19-14
6-18
17-15
10-13
18-16
14-16
18-21
18-18
13-17
17-15
14-14
17-12
23-11
16-13
27-9
19-15
12-12
25-19
19-16
12-11
16-12
17-20
15-20
130.1Avg total
71.2Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.058.5128.5+11.550%
Season at home (2)68.563.0131.5+5.550%
Season away (2)71.554.0125.5+17.550%
Last 10 (10)71.258.9130.1+12.350%
Last 5 (5)68.060.0128.0+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.074.2139.2-9.29%
vs Similar (4)62.266.8129.0-4.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.661.8138.5+14.864%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Portugal W
#18
L
43-62
43
62
-19
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
61-86
61
86
-25
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
52-76
52
76
-24
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
45-100
45
100
-55
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
53-81
53
81
-28
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
52-82
52
82
-30
45avg 51
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
57avg 51
H10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
11-17
4-23
14-7
19-19
16-22
16-10
21-18
15-27
15-17
20-22
11-20
12-27
16-21
6-8
18-20
10-23
7-25
20-24
8-28
16-18
18-14
19-15
12-20
14-18
13-21
12-28
14-14
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
17-22
13-14
7-26
15-20
18-22
8-4
22-17
18-15
131.8Avg total
55.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)54.076.0130.0-22.025%
Season at home (3)54.374.3128.7-20.033%
Season away (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)55.476.4131.8-21.020%
Last 5 (5)56.274.2130.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)55.277.8133.1-22.612%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Great Britain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
Great Britain WEstonia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Great Britain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A16/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A12/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A10/11
European Championship Women
60.9Avg total
33.6Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.332.365.6+1.042%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.633.967.5-0.331%-
Last 30 away (13)33.030.763.7+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)33.627.360.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.627.459.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.935.865.7-5.99%-
vs Similar (4)33.231.564.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.729.165.8+7.673%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal W
#18
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A11/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H14/11
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A24/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
66.1Avg total
27.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)27.439.967.3-12.412%-
Last 30 at home (9)29.136.865.9-7.722%-
Last 30 away (7)25.343.969.1-18.60%-
Last 10 (10)27.538.666.1-11.110%-
Last 5 (5)28.034.662.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.439.967.3-12.412%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Great Britain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Great Britain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Great Britain W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
45.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.0
28.2%
30.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.0
84.6%
72.4%11.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 53.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.513.8
42.3%
45.4%27.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.0%
30.0%17.2
🏀 Free throws13.88.8
63.6%
72.4%8.8
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Great Britain W
LWWLLLLWWW
Estonia W
WLLLLLLLWL
#18
League position
#31
+15.3
Net rating
-27.3
91.8
Offensive rating
69.6
76.5
Defensive rating
96.9
46.6%
Effective FG%
40.3%
38.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
30.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.2%
3-point %
25.0%
72.1%
Assist %
69.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 69.6Defence76.5 · 96.9Shooting46.6% · 40.3%3-point %28.2% · 25.0%Ball care22.0% · 30.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 22.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Great Britain W   ■ Estonia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Great Britain W wins
1
Estonia W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Estonia W v Great Britain W45-83
09/02/23Great Britain W v Estonia W100-45
14/11/21Estonia W v Great Britain W72-69
Great Britain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ASweden W60-63
07/11/24HDenmark W75-62
12/11/23AEstonia W83-45
09/11/23HSweden W62-64
20/06/23ASerbia W60-66
18/06/23AGermany W61-62
16/06/23AFrance W57-63
15/06/23HSlovenia W76-71
12/02/23HPortugal W78-48
09/02/23HEstonia W100-45
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HDenmark W66-58
07/11/24HSweden W52-82
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
09/11/23ADenmark W53-81
12/02/23HGreece W65-67
09/02/23AGreat Britain W45-100
27/11/22HPortugal W52-76
24/11/22AGreece W61-86
14/11/21HGreat Britain W72-69
11/11/21APortugal W43-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Great Britain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.068.571.5
Allowed / game58.563.054.0
Point differential+11.5+5.5+17.5
Avg total128.5131.5125.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game54.054.353.0
Allowed / game76.074.381.0
Point differential-22.0-20.0-28.0
Avg total130.0128.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%94.444.8+49.6
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W550100%73.053.0+20.0
5 Sweden W550100%76.663.0+13.6
6 Belgium W54180%91.253.2+38.0
7 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
8 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
9 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
10 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
11 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
12 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
13 Montenegro W53260%71.461.8+9.6
14 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
15 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
16 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
17 Switzerland W53260%60.858.8+2.0
18 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
19 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
20 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
21 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
22 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
23 Netherlands W52340%63.668.2-4.6
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
26 Denmark W51420%68.473.6-5.2
27 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
28 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
29 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
30 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
31 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W5050%42.4109.0-66.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Great Britain W2323232493
Estonia W101412642
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