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Greece W vs Croatia W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-78
24-9 27-23 13-24 23-22
Position-
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Greece W 🏆
vs
Croatia W
Position-
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International Women
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
60-66
60
66
-6
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#28
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
62avg 68
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 68
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
17-15
22-20
20-11
18-12
13-26
18-12
23-15
9-13
13-17
18-16
20-20
18-16
14-18
15-19
20-12
23-18
11-23
15-19
20-14
13-17
19-17
24-13
17-18
18-20
9-15
22-20
11-21
22-22
20-19
19-20
15-18
10-24
21-15
17-14
19-23
18-11
19-23
24-18
14-14
139.8Avg total
70.5Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.569.3139.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)70.272.4142.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.277.5141.7-13.418%
vs Similar (9)69.265.7134.9+3.656%
vs Weaker (9)74.761.9136.6+12.878%
Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#2
L
63-105
63
105
-42
no box
A17/06
European Championship Women
Russia W
#5
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
84-56
84
56
+28
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
61avg 68
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
76avg 68
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
15-24
12-29
11-26
19-22
14-14
16-25
13-12
27-22
15-11
30-12
12-11
18-19
18-14
14-19
19-28
22-27
26-11
22-21
14-14
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
148.1Avg total
72.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.475.7148.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)72.474.0146.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.478.1146.4-9.729%
vs Similar (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (7)82.965.6148.4+17.3100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Greece WCroatia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#28
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
68.8Avg total
33.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.734.567.2-1.841%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.733.967.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (15)31.735.166.9-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)33.235.668.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.670.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.340.769.0-12.59%-
vs Similar (9)33.431.765.1+1.856%-
vs Weaker (9)37.329.867.1+7.667%-
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A17/06
European Championship Women
Russia W
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
80.5Avg total
40.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.937.176.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.176.8+0.646%-
Last 30 away (10)39.135.975.0+3.270%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.780.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.539.274.7-3.736%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (7)46.333.379.6+13.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.0
41.8%
46.7%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.010.5
45.7%
31.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.510.5
60.0%
71.3%10.5
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
46.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
31.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.5
65.9%
71.3%13.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 17 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
WLLLWLWLWW
Croatia W
WLLWLWLWLL
+0.0
Net rating
+15.0
96.0
Offensive rating
94.9
96.0
Defensive rating
80.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
45.7%
3-point %
33.3%
83.7%
Assist %
84.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 94.9Defence96.0 · 80.0Shooting52.7% · 48.4%3-point %45.7% · 33.3%Ball care19.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds17.6% · 19.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Greece W   ■ Croatia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece W wins
0
Croatia W wins
No previous meetings.
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HCzech Republic W75-66
09/11/23AItaly W67-76
19/06/23ACzech Republic W76-79
18/06/23ASpain W60-76
16/06/23HLatvia W73-65
15/06/23AMontenegro W69-74
12/02/23AEstonia W67-65
09/02/23APortugal W60-66
27/11/22HGreat Britain W72-65
24/11/22HEstonia W86-61
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
11/11/21ABulgaria W84-73
21/06/21ABosnia & Herzegovina W69-80
20/06/21ACzech Republic W84-56
18/06/21HRussia W62-73
17/06/21AFrance W63-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Croatia W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W2427132387
Croatia W923242278
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