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Guelph vs Lakehead Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 91-87 (OT)
18-22 12-21 29-15 19-20 13-9
Position#27
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#30
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game86.2
CanadaU Sports
Other2018-19
Meetings · Guelph v Lakehead
12 Jan 2024
GUEL84
LAKE87
19 Jan 2020
GUEL66
LAKE80
05 Jan 2019
GUEL91
LAKE87
04 Jan 2019
GUEL95
LAKE73
11 Feb 2017
GUEL74
LAKE62
10 Feb 2017
GUEL62
LAKE63
21 Feb 2015
GUEL74
LAKE89
20 Feb 2015
GUEL69
LAKE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lakehead winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
L
85-102
85
102
-17
A28/10
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A01/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A04/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A10/11
U Sports
York
#34
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
39-90
39
90
-51
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H05/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
11-31
22-24
30-24
10-27
17-17
15-31
17-21
18-19
24-26
28-29
22-25
14-24
19-17
14-26
17-16
31-14
19-23
21-28
34-27
21-26
22-18
19-16
19-20
24-19
22-27
20-11
17-19
21-20
15-21
22-21
23-21
7-21
9-29
14-23
9-17
27-19
24-19
24-18
20-17
165.8Avg total
78.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.387.4165.6-9.136%
Season at home (6)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
Season away (5)81.094.4175.4-13.420%
Last 10 (10)78.487.4165.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)75.880.4156.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.587.2159.6-14.716%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.881.0165.8+3.850%
vs Weaker (5)88.288.6176.8-0.460%
This opponent (Lakehead) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LakeheadCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#42
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H28/10
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A03/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A04/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
53-89
53
89
-36
A17/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
45-112
45
112
-67
A18/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/11
U Sports
York
#34
L
104-112 OT
104
112
-8
H25/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H01/12
U Sports
Toronto
#36
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H02/12
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A05/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-19
27-15
29-24
20-22
14-14
27-20
22-17
13-28
23-24
25-23
20-26
11-26
16-18
14-27
12-18
8-25
5-26
7-28
25-33
15-20
18-14
12-10
13-20
18-16
18-14
16-26
26-22
12-21
20-17
21-18
15-21
16-22
13-24
22-13
24-19
19-27
19-24
18-24
17-20
160.7Avg total
73.0Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.686.2158.8-13.518%
Season at home (6)77.379.7157.0-2.317%
Season away (5)67.094.0161.0-27.020%
Last 10 (10)73.087.7160.7-14.720%
Last 5 (5)75.685.2160.8-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)71.088.1159.1-17.110%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.283.2152.5-14.00%
vs Weaker (5)84.282.0166.2+2.240%
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
GuelphLakehead
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A28/10
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A01/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/11
U Sports
York
#34
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/01
U Sports
81.7Avg total
37.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.977.3-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.640.979.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)34.441.075.4-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)37.744.081.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.882.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.742.376.0-8.621%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.537.777.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.682.2+3.040%-
This opponent (Lakehead) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LakeheadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#42
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/10
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A04/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A17/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
13-51
13
51
-38
A18/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/11
U Sports
York
#34
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H25/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/12
U Sports
Toronto
#36
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H02/12
U Sports
Guelph
#27
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/01
U Sports
73.1Avg total
31.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.942.074.9-9.117%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.238.771.9-5.531%-
Last 30 away (17)32.644.677.2-11.96%-
Last 10 (10)31.241.973.1-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.873.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.443.375.7-10.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.041.277.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker (5)32.637.470.0-4.820%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guelph wins
4
Lakehead wins
DateGameScore
05/01/19Guelph v Lakehead95-73
07/01/18Lakehead v Guelph87-67
06/01/18Lakehead v Guelph85-96
12/02/17Guelph v Lakehead74-62
11/02/17Guelph v Lakehead62-63
08/11/15Lakehead v Guelph50-61
07/11/15Lakehead v Guelph65-64
22/02/15Guelph v Lakehead74-89
21/02/15Guelph v Lakehead69-66
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19HLakehead95-73
02/12/18HCarleton39-90
01/12/18HUniversity of Ottawa81-83
18/11/18HLaurentian83-76
17/11/18HNipissing81-80
11/11/18AYork105-92
10/11/18AQueens64-83
04/11/18AToronto92-99
01/11/18ATMU59-96
28/10/18ABrock85-102
Lakeheadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19AGuelph73-95
02/12/18HToronto75-78
01/12/18HTMU68-77
25/11/18HYork104-112 OT
24/11/18HQueens58-64
18/11/18ACarleton45-112
17/11/18AUniversity of Ottawa53-89
04/11/18ALaurentian81-101
03/11/18ANipissing83-73
28/10/18HAlgoma90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game78.376.081.0
Allowed / game87.481.594.4
Point differential-9.1-5.5-13.4
Avg total165.6157.5175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lakehead
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%17%20%
Points / game72.677.367.0
Allowed / game86.279.794.0
Point differential-13.5-2.3-27.0
Avg total158.8157.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton11110100%90.255.9+34.3
2 Calgary13130100%89.169.7+19.4
3 Saint Marys770100%84.770.1+14.6
4 TMU1110191%88.657.6+31.0
5 UBC1110191%93.573.3+20.2
6 University of Ottawa119282%83.571.8+11.6
7 Concordia54180%83.676.6+7.0
8 UNB86275%88.082.2+5.8
9 Alberta118373%85.471.7+13.6
10 Regina118373%84.578.3+6.3
11 Winnipeg139469%94.086.3+7.7
12 UFV139469%78.674.6+4.0
13 Laurier128467%80.577.9+2.6
14 Western128467%70.573.7-3.2
15 UNBC117464%84.580.6+3.9
16 Queens117464%76.272.6+3.5
17 McGill53260%69.467.8+1.6
18 Brock127558%83.276.8+6.4
19 Saskatchewan137654%87.986.6+1.3
20 Dalhousie84450%78.574.9+3.6
21 Cape Breton84450%82.282.1+0.1
22 Bishop's63350%77.780.7-3.0
23 Mount Royal136746%81.284.5-3.4
24 Lethbridge115645%91.081.0+10.0
25 Laurentian115645%84.583.5+1.0
26 York115645%85.287.0-1.8
27 StFX73443%83.788.3-4.6
28 McMaster125742%79.284.8-5.6
29 UQAM52340%73.071.4+1.6
30 UBC Okanagan135838%70.889.1-18.2
31 UPEI83538%71.581.9-10.4
32 Victoria114736%75.478.9-3.5
33 Thompson Rivers114736%75.581.8-6.3
34 Guelph114736%78.387.4-9.1
35 Toronto114736%74.284.7-10.5
36 Manitoba113827%76.582.7-6.2
37 Algoma113827%73.583.9-10.4
38 Waterloo113827%73.085.6-12.6
39 Memorial82625%78.180.6-2.5
40 Acadia82625%76.581.9-5.4
41 Windsor123925%64.281.1-16.8
42 Laval51420%71.478.0-6.6
43 Nipissing112918%73.779.1-5.4
44 Brandon112918%81.792.0-10.3
45 Lakehead112918%72.686.2-13.5
46 Trinity Western110110%74.692.3-17.6
47 MacEwan120120%70.591.4-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guelph181229191391
Lakehead22211520987
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