PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guerreros vs Toros de Nuevo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 104-109
26-28 27-20 16-33 35-28
Position#9
Record17-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Position#5
Record22-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.0
MexicoLNBPRound 17
Other2013-14
Meetings · Guerreros v Toros de Nuevo
10 Feb 2014
GUER104
TORO109
09 Jan 2013
GUER74
TORO132
11 Oct 2012
GUER63
TORO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guerreros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Nuevo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuerrerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#6
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H21/01
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
A24/01
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A26/01
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
H30/01
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H31/01
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H02/02
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H03/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H04/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H05/02
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A07/02
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
19-30
29-22
18-28
19-22
21-22
31-17
16-26
17-24
27-16
25-19
25-29
24-29
25-25
31-16
12-24
18-32
34-23
25-26
20-20
18-23
29-21
35-26
22-19
16-26
25-28
29-17
25-16
18-24
19-21
22-15
14-20
21-23
20-21
20-28
25-25
17-18
21-23
11-22
20-27
181.3Avg total
89.3Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)87.888.8176.6-1.046%
Season at home (19)89.787.6177.3+2.147%
Season away (18)85.890.1175.8-4.344%
Last 10 (10)89.392.0181.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)85.488.6174.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.995.4181.3-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.291.0181.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (10)93.684.4178.0+9.290%
This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de NuevoMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guerreros
#9
W
98-80
98
80
+18
H12/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A17/01
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A19/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H21/01
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
H30/01
LNBP
Soles
#2
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H01/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H02/02
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A05/02
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
L
94-108
94
108
-14
A07/02
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A09/02
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
24-19
26-14
21-28
21-19
18-23
24-22
12-19
28-20
20-12
33-24
10-23
23-13
26-14
30-18
12-20
19-17
17-26
19-21
25-28
19-16
27-26
30-26
28-16
28-19
23-32
26-24
12-16
31-26
28-26
21-27
18-17
16-39
30-24
30-19
18-26
18-19
18-22
22-25
27-12
176.1Avg total
90.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.377.0158.3+4.365%
Season at home (15)89.579.3168.8+10.180%
Season away (19)74.975.2150.1-0.353%
Last 10 (10)90.585.6176.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)94.091.4185.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.082.8167.8+2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.276.8157.9+4.462%
vs Weaker (9)81.773.1154.8+8.689%
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
GuerrerosToros de Nuevo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuerrerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/01
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A24/01
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A26/01
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H30/01
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/01
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/02
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H03/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H04/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H05/02
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/02
LNBP
89.1Avg total
42.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)43.545.989.4-2.438%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.745.988.6-3.231%-
Last 30 away (11)44.545.990.4-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)42.346.889.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.350.191.4-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.542.887.2+1.862%-
vs Weaker (7)45.144.189.3+1.057%-
This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de NuevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guerreros
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H12/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A17/01
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A19/01
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H21/01
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H30/01
LNBP
Soles
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/02
LNBP
Soles
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H02/02
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A05/02
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A07/02
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/02
LNBP
89.2Avg total
46.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.939.482.3+3.659%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.639.482.0+3.258%-
Last 30 away (15)43.239.382.5+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.143.189.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.649.897.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.340.781.0-0.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.238.382.5+5.867%-
vs Weaker (8)43.439.883.1+3.662%-
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guerreros wins
4
Toros de Nuevo wins
Guerreroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/14AHalcones Rojos69-90
05/02/14HSoles86-97
04/02/14HSoles73-80
03/02/14HGigantes95-87
02/02/14HGigantes104-89
31/01/14HAbejas97-101
30/01/14HAbejas92-94
26/01/14AHuracanes94-88
24/01/14ACorrecaminos102-97 OT
21/01/14HFuerza Regia81-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/14ACorrecaminos85-78
07/02/14AHuracanes94-108
05/02/14AXalapa98-96
02/02/14HSoles89-91
01/02/14HSoles104-84
30/01/14HHalcones Rojos80-92
21/01/14HXalapa91-65
19/01/14ALechugueros91-79
17/01/14APanteras75-83
12/01/14HGuerreros98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guerreros
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %46%47%44%
Points / game87.889.785.8
Allowed / game88.887.690.1
Point differential-1.0+2.1-4.3
Avg total176.6177.3175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)25% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Toros de Nuevo
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %65%80%53%
Points / game81.389.574.9
Allowed / game77.079.375.2
Point differential+4.3+10.1-0.3
Avg total158.3168.8150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Halcones Rojos3932782%86.077.7+8.3
2 Soles3829976%86.979.8+7.2
3 Pioneros38281074%86.278.2+8.1
4 Abejas38271171%88.684.4+4.2
5 Toros de Nuevo34221265%81.377.0+4.3
6 Fuerza Regia37221559%85.982.4+3.6
7 Huracanes38211755%83.579.4+4.1
8 Xalapa37181949%83.279.8+3.4
9 Guerreros37172046%87.888.8-1.0
10 Panteras38172145%91.392.9-1.6
11 Gigantes36102628%82.389.1-6.8
12 Lechugueros3993023%78.986.9-8.0
13 Correcaminos3883021%77.685.1-7.5
14 Gansos393368%78.195.6-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guerreros26271635104
Toros de Nuevo28203328109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.