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Guinea vs Cape Verde Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#24
Record6-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#61
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2027
Meetings · Guinea v Cape Verde
26 Feb 2027
GUIN v CAPE
upcoming
26 Aug 2022
GUIN48
CAPE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guinea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cape Verde win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuineaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
88-47
88
47
+41
A26/02
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H29/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H30/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H02/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A03/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A05/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H27/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#61
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A28/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-20
25-9
18-2
18-18
26-12
18-17
20-23
22-16
13-10
17-15
17-14
14-9
13-16
20-17
19-15
26-14
19-27
18-12
26-10
17-23
23-23
28-16
11-18
10-17
17-9
15-15
8-20
15-25
14-28
22-12
20-16
23-16
23-18
17-16
18-11
28-13
19-25
20-14
23-15
140.7Avg total
76.5Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.266.1141.3+9.167%
Season at home (5)77.064.6141.6+12.480%
Season away (4)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)76.564.2140.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)74.270.0144.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)60.379.1139.5-18.813%
vs Similar (3)59.368.0127.3-8.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.263.5138.7+11.775%
This opponent (Cape Verde) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cape VerdeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A02/09
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A27/11
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
79-109
79
109
-30
H28/11
World Cup
Libya
#85
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A30/11
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H02/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A04/07
World Cup
Libya
#85
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H05/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H28/08
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
18-33
18-23
16-7
12-19
26-17
27-22
17-19
22-39
15-25
20-23
22-22
28-16
14-12
15-20
28-26
15-19
15-20
15-24
27-19
17-23
15-16
16-23
15-21
32-10
15-19
30-19
21-18
16-11
8-24
11-10
21-15
16-23
18-23
16-17
11-18
9-23
26-29
19-24
30-24
156.3Avg total
75.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.681.3156.9-5.833%
Season at home (4)77.584.5162.0-7.025%
Season away (5)74.078.8152.8-4.840%
Last 10 (10)75.181.2156.3-6.130%
Last 5 (5)72.478.0150.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.979.3151.2-7.328%
vs Similar (7)71.373.1144.4-1.957%
vs Weaker (5)82.073.0155.0+9.060%
This opponent (Guinea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
GuineaCape Verde
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuineaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A26/02
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A27/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/11
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H30/11
World Cup
Rwanda
#84
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H02/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A03/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A05/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#61
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H30/08
World Cup
74.0Avg total
38.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.836.268.9-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.134.466.5-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)33.437.771.1-4.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.574.0+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.477.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.938.768.6-8.927%-
vs Similar (3)32.337.069.3-4.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.532.869.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Cape Verde) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cape VerdeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#28
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/09
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/11
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
37-64
37
64
-27
H28/11
World Cup
Libya
#85
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A30/11
World Cup
Cameroon
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H02/07
World Cup
South Sudan
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/07
World Cup
Libya
#85
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H05/07
World Cup
Tunisia
#36
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#24
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H28/08
World Cup
Nigeria
#35
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A30/08
World Cup
77.4Avg total
35.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.874.5-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.339.776.0-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.973.0-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.877.4-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.274.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.240.975.1-6.722%-
vs Similar (7)36.937.374.1-0.457%-
vs Weaker (5)39.833.273.0+6.680%-
This opponent (Guinea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guinea wins
2
Cape Verde wins
DateGameScore
28/08/26Cape Verde v Guinea61-81
24/02/23Cape Verde v Guinea78-70
26/08/22Guinea v Cape Verde48-65
Guinealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HCameroon90-67
28/08/26ACape Verde81-61
27/08/26HSouth Sudan71-81
05/07/26ATunisia50-61
03/07/26ANigeria79-80
02/07/26HRwanda89-63
30/11/25HTunisia66-57
29/11/25HNigeria69-55
27/11/25ARwanda82-70
26/02/23AUganda88-47
Cape Verdelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26ANigeria84-100
28/08/26HGuinea61-81
27/08/26ATunisia56-60
05/07/26HLibya98-66
04/07/26ASouth Sudan63-83
02/07/26HCameroon72-82
30/11/25ALibya85-74
28/11/25HSouth Sudan79-109
27/11/25ACameroon82-77
02/09/23AJapan71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guinea
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game75.277.073.0
Allowed / game66.164.668.0
Point differential+9.1+12.4+5.0
Avg total141.3141.6141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cape Verde
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game75.677.574.0
Allowed / game81.384.578.8
Point differential-5.8-7.0-4.8
Avg total156.9162.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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