PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga LeumitRound 7
H. Hevel Modiin will host Maccabi Rehovot on 17 November 2026 in the Liga Leumit, with the two sides arriving on markedly different runs: Modiin sits at 1-3 after four games, averaging 71.0 points and conceding 78.2, while Rehovot boasts 4-1, scoring 88.8 and allowing 72.2. Modiin's home record is 1-1 with 74.0 points for and 76.5 against, and in their last five they have only one win, including a 79-75 home victory over Maccabi Kiryat Gat; Rehovot has gone 2-0 on the road, scoring 90.0 and giving up 68.5, and their last five include four wins, notably a 92-66 away win over Elitzur Ashkelon. Historically, Rehovot has edged Modiin 2-1 in three meetings, most recently 67-66 on 10 April 2023. Pythia projects a 79-85 score with a total of 163.7, giving Rehovot a 68% chance to win against Modiin's 32%; the model favours Rehovot. The 5-point spread is unlikely to be covered, with only a 5% chance of an overtime finish. The game will hinge on whether Modiin can stop Rehovot's 88.8 points per game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 71.0 | 78.2 | 149.2 | -7.2 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 74.0 | 76.5 | 150.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 68.0 | 80.0 | 148.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 86.3 | 168.7 | -3.9 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 84.4 | 159.8 | -9.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 82.5 | 88.8 | 171.3 | -6.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (4) | 72.8 | 71.8 | 144.5 | +1.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 105.0 | 85.0 | 190.0 | +20.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 88.8 | 72.2 | 161.0 | +16.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.0 | 74.7 | 162.7 | +13.3 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 90.0 | 68.5 | 158.5 | +21.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.2 | 79.6 | 161.8 | +2.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.8 | 72.2 | 161.0 | +16.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 73.0 | 89.5 | 162.5 | -16.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 82.7 | 72.0 | 154.7 | +10.7 | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (25) | 88.2 | 77.7 | 165.9 | +10.5 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 43.4 | 84.5 | -2.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.6 | 42.3 | 80.9 | -3.7 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.5 | 44.6 | 88.1 | -1.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.5 | 45.0 | 85.5 | -4.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 45.2 | 80.2 | -10.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (24) | 41.0 | 45.2 | 86.2 | -4.2 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 35.8 | 35.2 | 71.0 | +0.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 53.0 | 38.5 | 91.5 | +14.5 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.8 | 38.2 | 83.0 | +6.6 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.9 | 36.5 | 80.4 | +7.4 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 45.8 | 40.2 | 86.0 | +5.6 | 64% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 38.1 | 81.4 | +5.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 51.0 | 38.4 | 89.4 | +12.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 36.0 | 49.5 | 85.5 | -13.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 46.3 | 38.0 | 84.3 | +8.3 | 100% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (25) | 45.3 | 37.4 | 82.7 | +8.0 | 68% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/04/23 | H. Hevel Modiin v Maccabi Rehovot | 66-67 |
| 21/02/23 | Maccabi Rehovot v H. Hevel Modiin | 79-84 |
| 29/11/22 | H. Hevel Modiin v Maccabi Rehovot | 62-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Ironi Nahariya | 69-78 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Hapoel Haifa | 64-76 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 79-75 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Maccabi Raanana | 72-84 |
| 21/04/23 | H | Maccabi Maale Adumim | 93-109 |
| 18/04/23 | A | Elitzur Shomron | 99-101 |
| 14/04/23 | A | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 114-91 |
| 10/04/23 | H | Maccabi Rehovot | 66-67 |
| 07/04/23 | A | Maccabi Haifa | 83-94 |
| 31/03/23 | H | Elitzur Shomron | 85-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Elitzur Ashkelon | 92-66 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Elitzur Yavne | 85-51 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Migdal Haemek | 88-71 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Elitzur Shomron | 86-88 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin | 93-85 |
| 12/05/26 | H | Otef Darom | 58-77 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Otef Darom | 73-89 |
| 05/05/26 | H | Otef Darom | 91-90 OT |
| 28/04/26 | A | Hapoel Haifa | 78-89 |
| 24/04/26 | A | Elitzur Shomron | 78-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLL | 25% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 71.0 | 74.0 | 68.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | -7.2 | -2.5 | -12.0 |
| Avg total | 149.2 | 150.5 | 148.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Points / game | 88.8 | 88.0 | 90.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.2 | 74.7 | 68.5 |
| Point differential | +16.6 | +13.3 | +21.5 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 162.7 | 158.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Rehovot | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.8 | 72.2 | +16.6 |
| 2 |  Elitzur Maccabi Netanya | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 85.4 | 72.0 | +13.4 |
| 3 |  Ironi Nahariya | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 84.4 | 74.2 | +10.2 |
| 4 |  Maccabi Raanana | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 80.6 | 76.6 | +4.0 |
| 5 |  Ramat Hasharon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.0 | 80.5 | +2.5 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Haifa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.6 | 73.2 | +10.4 |
| 7 | Otef Darom | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 82.4 | 78.2 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Elitzur Shomron | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.8 | 76.8 | +2.0 |
| 9 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 89.8 | 92.5 | -2.8 |
| 10 |  Elitzur Ashkelon | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.6 | 89.2 | -4.6 |
| 11 |  Maccabi Kiryat Motzkin | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 87.5 | 90.0 | -2.5 |
| 12 | H. Hevel Modiin | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 71.0 | 78.2 | -7.2 |
| 13 |  Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.8 | 85.5 | -8.8 |
| 14 |  Elitzur Yavne | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 66.2 | 85.2 | -19.0 |
| 15 |  Migdal Haemek | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.2 | 94.4 | -22.2 |
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