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Halcones de Xalapa vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 58-101
16-26 12-24 16-23 14-28
Position#8
Record15-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game80.2
Halcones de Xalapa
Mexico
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record27-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game77.3
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals· Nido del Halcón
Other2025-26
Meetings · Halcones de Xalapa v Astros
13 Oct 2025
HALC58
ASTR101
19 Jul 2024
HALC79
ASTR80
18 Jul 2024
HALC80
ASTR84
10 Sep 2022
HALC74
ASTR86
09 Sep 2022
HALC96
ASTR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Xalapa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de XalapaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H15/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A21/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
no box
H28/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-52
83
52
+31
92avg 67
H03/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 67
H04/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
71-65
71
65
+6
57avg 67
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 67
A10/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 67
A11/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
15-27
14-18
33-28
27-17
19-19
21-20
23-17
19-24
21-21
18-21
26-10
16-25
19-19
13-12
22-22
19-19
15-24
15-16
14-16
26-8
25-11
14-17
18-16
14-10
20-18
21-19
14-23
14-18
15-18
20-16
22-13
19-19
19-18
14-25
22-17
13-22
16-22
23-34
19-15
151.0Avg total
76.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.380.2160.5+0.245%
Season at home (16)79.677.2156.8+2.444%
Season away (17)81.082.9163.9-1.947%
Last 10 (10)76.174.9151.0+1.240%
Last 5 (5)73.671.8145.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.284.5161.8-7.225%
vs Similar (9)77.772.4150.1+5.256%
vs Weaker (9)88.380.2168.6+8.167%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A09/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
105-91
105
91
+14
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 86
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 86
H11/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
14-17
24-20
26-20
15-21
20-18
21-19
25-21
23-25
30-32
25-26
20-24
27-18
31-21
15-20
27-29
20-19
17-19
20-13
21-15
17-18
29-13
28-28
23-24
31-21
30-24
22-27
22-19
33-12
24-22
22-22
22-27
19-19
18-19
25-14
17-22
22-13
22-16
34-23
15-19
174.3Avg total
92.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)90.177.3167.3+12.890%
Season at home (16)90.677.1167.7+13.694%
Season away (14)89.477.5166.9+11.986%
Last 10 (10)92.182.2174.3+9.990%
Last 5 (5)95.080.4175.4+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)86.887.8174.5-1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.675.7166.2+14.9100%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
Halcones de XalapaAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H03/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A11/10
LNBP
74.9Avg total
37.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.982.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.879.7+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.084.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.474.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.869.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.842.883.5-2.033%-
vs Similar (9)41.138.679.7+2.656%-
vs Weaker (9)42.240.883.0+1.444%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/10
LNBP
85.7Avg total
46.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.937.983.8+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.038.485.4+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.637.381.9+7.371%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.085.7+7.750%-
Last 5 (5)49.035.484.4+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)45.543.589.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.937.083.0+8.973%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.5
52.4%
50.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.3
36.2%
36.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
74.6%13.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.8
51.0%
50.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
36.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
74.6%11.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Xalapa
LLWLWLLWWL
Astros
WWWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#2
+6.4
Net rating
+6.3
110.0
Offensive rating
109.2
103.6
Defensive rating
102.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
37.9%
67.4%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 109.2Defence103.6 · 102.9Shooting53.3% · 53.1%3-point %36.2% · 37.9%Ball care15.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Halcones de Xalapa   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Halcones de Xalapa wins
10
Astros wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa93-71
10/10/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa79-74
20/07/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa90-83
19/07/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa90-72
19/07/24Halcones de Xalapa v Astros79-80
19/07/24Halcones de Xalapa v Astros80-84
28/10/23Astros v Halcones de Xalapa89-78
27/10/23Astros v Halcones de Xalapa102-77
11/09/22Halcones de Xalapa v Astros74-86
10/09/22Halcones de Xalapa v Astros96-98 OT
Halcones de Xalapalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AAstros71-93
10/10/25AAstros74-79
07/10/25AEl Calor de Cancun71-65
04/10/25HEl Calor de Cancun69-70
03/10/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-52
28/09/25HSoles63-75
27/09/25HSoles70-78
21/09/25ADorados84-76
20/09/25ADorados90-73
15/09/25HAbejas86-88
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa93-71
10/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa79-74
28/09/25AAbejas101-83
27/09/25AAbejas105-91
20/09/25AMineros97-83
19/09/25AMineros78-66
14/09/25HFuerza Regia100-88
14/09/25HFuerza Regia98-107
10/09/25ADiablos Rojos81-79
09/09/25ADiablos Rojos89-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Xalapa
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%44%47%
Points / game80.379.681.0
Allowed / game80.277.282.9
Point differential+0.2+2.4-1.9
Avg total160.5156.8163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %90%94%86%
Points / game90.190.689.4
Allowed / game77.377.177.5
Point differential+12.8+13.6+11.9
Avg total167.3167.7166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3027390%90.177.3+12.8
2 Soles3026487%88.577.6+10.9
3 Fuerza Regia3022873%93.082.2+10.8
4 Diablos Rojos3021970%92.081.4+10.6
5 Dorados32191359%86.281.2+5.0
6 Mineros32191359%84.982.2+2.7
7 Panteras32151747%87.887.0+0.9
8 Halcones de Xalapa33151845%80.380.2+0.2
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Xalapa1612161458
Astros26242328101
← all games of the day
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