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Hamar W vs Keflavik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-85
22-14 14-12 25-27 27-32
Position#10
Record4-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game87.3
Hamar W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record11-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game85.0
IcelandPremier League WRound 4· Frystikistan arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hamar W v Keflavik W
21 Mar 2026
HAMA88
KEFL85
09 Dec 2025
HAMA75
KEFL71
16 Nov 2024
HAMA74
KEFL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamar W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hamar WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 71
H09/12
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
67-98
67
98
-31
51avg 71
A16/12
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
53avg 71
A06/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H14/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 71
A20/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
85avg 71
H27/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 71
H11/02
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
108avg 71
H18/02
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
A24/02
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
93avg 71
H28/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
20-22
23-23
15-15
20-22
14-27
11-19
22-30
15-17
15-24
17-11
20-19
25-25
12-20
25-21
23-22
13-24
20-22
25-17
17-24
23-22
30-17
18-24
18-21
25-27
21-15
18-18
15-27
19-24
30-20
29-14
29-37
19-22
23-20
22-23
15-19
19-22
27-17
10-21
25-21
169.9Avg total
83.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.187.3167.4-7.220%
Season at home (10)85.386.9172.2-1.640%
Season away (10)74.987.7162.6-12.80%
Last 10 (10)83.086.9169.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)92.290.8183.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.689.9169.5-10.47%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.584.8168.2-1.338%
vs Weaker (3)82.384.3166.7-2.033%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
L
71-75
71
75
-4
63avg 78
A09/12
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 78
H16/12
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
63avg 78
A07/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
78-92
78
92
-14
65avg 78
H13/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 78
A21/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 78
H27/01
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
73avg 78
A10/02
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 78
H18/02
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
75-84
75
84
-9
60avg 78
A24/02
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 78
H04/03
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
22-20
23-23
15-15
26-10
23-27
26-16
22-31
14-29
14-17
26-19
19-29
21-20
15-27
21-19
21-26
20-27
22-22
19-24
16-15
23-18
14-20
22-16
23-21
24-25
27-16
12-25
16-31
19-29
25-18
20-16
30-23
20-28
22-25
18-16
15-15
15-13
24-25
20-14
18-15
164.5Avg total
80.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.285.0171.2+1.255%
Season at home (10)88.283.0171.2+5.270%
Season away (10)84.387.0171.3-2.740%
Last 10 (10)80.384.2164.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)81.481.8163.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.694.6181.2-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.086.2173.2+0.856%
vs Weaker (9)85.277.0162.2+8.256%
This opponent (Hamar W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
Hamar WKeflavik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hamar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/12
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/12
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H27/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/02
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/02
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A24/02
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H28/02
Premier League W
82.7Avg total
40.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.844.285.9-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.285.3-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.445.186.5-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.082.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.288.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.645.786.4-5.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.843.287.0+0.554%-
vs Weaker (3)38.341.079.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar W
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/12
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/12
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A07/01
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/01
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/01
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/02
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H18/02
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A24/02
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/03
Premier League W
83.4Avg total
40.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.885.8+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.684.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.944.086.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.383.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.486.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.847.692.4-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.142.385.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)41.841.082.8+0.856%-
This opponent (Hamar W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.822.2
47.4%
49.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.7
30.6%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.8%
76.4%16.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.5
48.5%
49.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
76.4%12.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamar W
WLWLWLLLLW
Keflavik W
WLWLWLLLWL
#10
League position
#6
-4.8
Net rating
-3.8
90.4
Offensive rating
86.2
95.2
Defensive rating
90.0
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
13.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.6%
3-point %
32.1%
57.4%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 86.2Defence95.2 · 90.0Shooting46.9% · 48.4%3-point %30.6% · 32.1%Ball care15.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 13.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hamar W   ■ Keflavik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamar W wins
3
Keflavik W wins
DateGameScore
09/12/25Hamar W v Keflavik W75-71
07/10/25Keflavik W v Hamar W102-89
21/01/25Keflavik W v Hamar W84-77
16/11/24Hamar W v Keflavik W74-103
Hamar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HArmann W107-104 OT
24/02/26AStjarnan W79-84
18/02/26HKR Reykjavik W107-95
11/02/26HTindastoll W79-87
27/01/26HNjardvik W89-84
20/01/26AStjarnan W75-87
14/01/26HHaukar W85-88
06/01/26AArmann W67-71
16/12/25AValur W67-98
09/12/25HKeflavik W75-71
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HTindastoll W77-67
24/02/26AArmann W75-84
18/02/26HGrindavik W94-86
10/02/26AKR Reykjavik W79-97
27/01/26HTindastoll W82-75
21/01/26ANjardvik W77-88
13/01/26HStjarnan W78-92
07/01/26AHaukar W73-94
16/12/25HArmann W97-84
09/12/25AHamar W71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamar W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW20%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.185.374.9
Allowed / game87.386.987.7
Point differential-7.2-1.6-12.8
Avg total167.4172.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)43% (7)0% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Keflavik W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%70%40%
Points / game86.288.284.3
Allowed / game85.083.087.0
Point differential+1.2+5.2-2.7
Avg total171.2171.2171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar W2014670%90.083.9+6.2
2 Njardvik W2014670%88.882.8+6.0
3 KR Reykjavik W2013765%80.881.1-0.2
4 Valur W2113862%84.478.2+6.2
5 Grindavik W2112957%84.979.4+5.4
6 Keflavik W2011955%86.285.0+1.2
7 Stjarnan W21101148%80.483.1-2.8
8 Tindastoll W2081240%80.682.0-1.4
9 Hamar W2041620%80.187.3-7.2
10 Armann W2131814%75.288.4-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamar W2214252788
Keflavik W1412273285
← all games of the day
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