Hamburg vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 79-59

16-11 30-14 18-20 15-14

Position#8

Record8-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game74.5

Hamburg 🏆

Paderborn

Position#9

Record9-11

FormLLLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game79.8

Pro ARound 21

Other2016-17

Meetings · Hamburg v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hamburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

63-79

-16

H19/11

Pro A

Paderborn

71-65

A26/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

86-54

+32

H03/12

Pro A

Trier

55-66

-11

A10/12

Pro A

Dresden

#16

61-75

-14

A22/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

83-84

-1

H30/12

Pro A

Essen

#15

79-78

A07/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

86-87

-1

H13/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

91-80

+11

H21/01

Pro A

Hanau

#11

51-64

-13

A28/01

Pro A

19-10

14-19

12-29

18-21

12-17

14-8

29-22

16-18

15-14

26-12

19-19

26-9

11-23

14-15

10-9

20-19

14-20

11-11

18-24

18-20

34-15

17-19

12-20

20-30

20-17

17-21

20-21

22-19

12-14

27-19

23-25

24-29

19-21

18-27

24-13

30-19

10-17

12-11

19-14

10-22

145.8Avg total

72.6Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	73.4	74.5	147.9	-1.0	40%
Season at home (10)	81.3	76.9	158.2	+4.4	50%
Season away (10)	65.5	72.0	137.5	-6.5	30%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	73.2	145.8	-0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	78.6	156.6	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.0	81.0	156.0	-6.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	67.6	73.0	140.6	-5.4	31%
vs Weaker (11)	80.9	73.5	154.5	+7.4	64%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Essen

#15

76-71

A19/11

Pro A

Hamburg

65-71

-6

H26/11

Pro A

Hanau

#11

70-55

+15

A03/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

83-89

-6

H10/12

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

88-97

-9

A17/12

Pro A

Heidelberg

73-78

-5

H23/12

Pro A

Kirchheim

90-93

-3

A08/01

Pro A

Trier

66-69

-3

A13/01

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

75-71

A22/01

Pro A

Essen

#15

83-82 OT

H28/01

Pro A

23-16

19-22

14-20

20-13

17-12

8-14

22-29

18-16

23-13

13-18

16-16

18-8

25-26

19-22

22-19

17-22

18-24

15-25

27-24

28-24

19-23

20-15

19-24

15-16

25-30

20-18

19-22

26-23

12-20

14-17

24-11

16-21

13-23

25-16

16-22

21-10

12-20

30-20

26-13

3-18

154.5Avg total

76.9Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.7	79.8	159.5	-0.2	45%
Season at home (9)	79.9	78.9	158.8	+1.0	44%
Season away (11)	79.5	80.6	160.1	-1.2	45%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	77.6	154.5	-0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	78.6	156.0	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	71.8	85.2	157.0	-13.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.8	71.6	146.5	+3.2	62%
vs Weaker (8)	86.4	80.1	166.5	+6.2	88%

This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HamburgPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.5	36.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.6	37.8	+2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	19.3	34.9	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.3	18.4	36.6	-0.1	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.7	40.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.2	39.4	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	21.9	38.8	-5.0	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	18.4	38.5	+1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.2	35.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.1	39.1	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	16.4	33.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.1	16.7	34.8	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.5	37.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	18.6	40.9	+3.6	50%	-

HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

33-29

H19/11

Pro A

Paderborn

26-25

A26/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

41-26

+15

H03/12

Pro A

Trier

25-38

-13

A10/12

Pro A

Dresden

#16

25-31

-6

A22/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

51-34

+17

H30/12

Pro A

Essen

#15

37-38

-1

A07/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

39-33

H13/01

Pro A

Baunach

#13

37-48

-11

H21/01

Pro A

Hanau

#11

22-28

-6

A28/01

Pro A

66.6Avg total

33.6Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.7	72.2	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	35.8	76.9	+5.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.4	35.7	68.1	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	33.0	66.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.2	73.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	40.0	79.3	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	34.5	35.2	69.8	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.5	35.3	73.7	+3.2	55%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Essen

#15

42-38

A19/11

Pro A

Hamburg

25-26

-1

H26/11

Pro A

Hanau

#11

36-31

A03/12

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

44-48

-4

H10/12

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

33-49

-16

A17/12

Pro A

Heidelberg

39-38

H23/12

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-48

-3

A08/01

Pro A

Trier

26-37

-11

A13/01

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

38-39

-1

A22/01

Pro A

Essen

#15

42-40

H28/01

Pro A

76.4Avg total

37.0Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.7	76.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	36.9	73.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.0	42.6	77.6	-7.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.9	39.6	80.5	+1.2	50%	-

This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	18.0	33.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	27%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	23.4	41.9	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.2	37.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.1	40.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.3	34.9	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	15.1	19.0	34.1	-3.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.3	18.4	40.6	+3.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	19.2	37.6	-0.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	17.6	38.8	+3.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.3	75.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	39.4	77.9	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	37.2	72.6	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	41.0	76.7	-5.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	33.1	37.8	70.8	-4.7	31%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.5	38.3	80.7	+4.2	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.2	76.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	39.1	76.4	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	37.1	75.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.8	42.7	79.4	-5.9	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.5	36.2	73.7	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.8	36.5	77.2	+4.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hamburg wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/16	Paderborn v Hamburg	65-71
30/01/16	Hamburg v Paderborn	78-68
24/10/15	Paderborn v Hamburg	67-77
24/01/15	Paderborn v Hamburg	72-75
31/10/14	Hamburg v Paderborn	72-74

Hamburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	A	Hanau	51-64
21/01/17	H	Baunach	91-80
13/01/17	H	Kirchheim	86-87
07/01/17	A	Essen	79-78
30/12/16	H	Nurnberger	83-84
22/12/16	A	Dresden	61-75
10/12/16	A	Trier	55-66
03/12/16	H	Dresden	86-54
26/11/16	A	Paderborn	71-65
19/11/16	H	Chemnitz	63-79

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	H	Essen	83-82 OT
22/01/17	A	Nurnberger	75-71
13/01/17	A	Trier	66-69
08/01/17	A	Kirchheim	90-93
23/12/16	H	Heidelberg	73-78
17/12/16	A	Mitteldeutscher	88-97
10/12/16	H	Crailsheim Merlins	83-89
03/12/16	A	Hanau	70-55
26/11/16	H	Hamburg	65-71
19/11/16	A	Essen	76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	40%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	WLLWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	40%	50%	30%
Points / game	73.4	81.3	65.5
Allowed / game	74.5	76.9	72.0
Point differential	-1.1	+4.4	-6.5
Avg total	147.8	158.2	137.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paderborn

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	45%
Home	WLLLW	44%
Away	WLLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	45%	44%	45%
Points / game	79.7	79.9	79.5
Allowed / game	79.8	78.9	80.6
Point differential	-0.2	+1.0	-1.2
Avg total	159.5	158.8	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	22%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	25% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	10%	11%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	21	19	2	90%	86.5	72.9	+13.6
2	Crailsheim Merlins	21	16	5	76%	84.0	75.3	+8.6
3	Kirchheim	20	15	5	75%	80.1	78.3	+1.8
4	Chemnitz	20	14	6	70%	75.7	69.5	+6.2
5	Heidelberg	21	13	8	62%	73.3	68.3	+5.0
6	Hanau	20	12	8	60%	72.5	70.3	+2.2
7	Koln	21	11	10	52%	75.0	73.7	+1.4
8	Trier	21	11	10	52%	73.9	73.3	+0.6
9	Gotha	21	10	11	48%	77.3	74.3	+3.0
10	Paderborn	20	9	11	45%	79.7	79.8	-0.2
11	Hamburg	20	8	12	40%	73.4	74.5	-1.1
12	Nurnberger	20	7	13	35%	73.3	79.0	-5.7
13	Ehingen	21	7	14	33%	75.2	79.8	-4.6
14	Baunach	19	5	14	26%	69.7	78.5	-8.8
15	Essen	20	5	15	25%	74.0	81.8	-7.7
16	Dresden	22	2	20	9%	76.2	90.9	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hamburg	16	30	18	15	79
Paderborn	11	14	20	14	59

← all games of the day

Hamburg vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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