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Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel HaEmek Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:05
Projected 81-81
Projected total 162.6
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.6
Vs
50%
50%
■ HHO 50%■ HAPO 50%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.0
IsraelSuper LeagueRound 6· Holon Toto Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hapoel Holon v Hapoel HaEmek
16 Nov 2026
HHO v HAPO
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
HHO92
HAPO86
25 Sep 2025
HHO79
HAPO85
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Hapoel Holon and Hapoel HaEmek face off in the Super League on 16 November 2026, a clash where neither side holds a clear edge as both teams finish the season 1-4, with Holon averaging 80.0 points per game and allowing 86.6, while HaEmek averages 73.4 and concedes 75.0; Holon's home record is 0-3 with 80.0 points scored and 93.3 allowed, and HaEmek's road record is 1-2 with 74.7 points scored and 70.3 allowed, and the last five games for each show Holon 2-3 and HaEmek 1-4; the teams have met three times, Holon winning twice and HaEmek once, the most recent meeting ending 92-86 in favour of Holon; Pythia assigns a 50% chance to each side, projecting a 81-81 score and a total of 162.6 points, with a home line of -1.5 and a 47% probability that Holon covers, an over line of 160.5 with a 54% chance of the over, and a 5% probability of overtime, leaving the outcome uncertain.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Holon win
49.6%fair 2.02
Best odds1.83
Implied52.0%
Edge-2.4pp
Hapoel HaEmek win
50.4%fair 1.98
Best odds1.97
Implied48.0%
Edge+2.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 18:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel HolonIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolon
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
35avg 67
A12/06
Super League
Cholet
#21
L
79-99
79
99
-20
65avg 67
H06/10
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
45avg 67
H11/10
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 67
A14/10
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
44avg 67
A19/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
76avg 67
A23/10
Super League
Vechta
#20
W
88-81
88
81
+7
76avg 67
A28/10
Champions League
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
H02/11
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
101-110
101
110
-9
no box
H06/11
Super League
Vechta
#20
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
24-22
9-25
17-22
23-19
9-33
23-23
24-24
15-16
22-27
14-24
18-25
27-14
15-23
20-19
24-28
11-20
23-16
18-19
17-23
30-12
20-26
25-14
16-23
17-18
27-21
23-22
21-20
22-24
20-23
17-14
11-17
21-24
25-35
18-30
37-21
18-31
25-20
31-25
11-14
167.5Avg total
79.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.086.6166.6-6.620%
Season at home (3)80.093.3173.3-13.30%
Season away (2)80.076.5156.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)79.987.6167.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)87.086.8173.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.892.4175.2-9.617%
vs Similar (8)88.285.9174.1+2.450%
vs Weaker (4)100.587.5188.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Hapoel HaEmek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HaEmekIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHaEmek
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
71avg 60
H14/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#4
L
94-96
94
96
-2
66avg 60
A20/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
53avg 60
H27/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
48avg 60
A31/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
91-98
91
98
-7
72avg 60
H02/06
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
61avg 60
A11/10
Super League
Maccabi Rishon
#4
W
80-60
80
60
+20
58avg 60
A19/10
Super League
Nes Ziona
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
42avg 60
H25/10
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
54avg 60
H31/10
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A08/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
13-26
22-27
26-19
25-30
18-21
23-27
28-18
19-12
27-22
13-23
16-20
16-18
23-17
9-30
23-17
26-20
22-30
17-21
26-27
26-19
15-23
24-27
20-17
21-12
9-21
28-15
22-12
17-18
12-19
14-29
23-12
18-24
24-17
18-17
17-28
20-16
11-16
17-19
11-14
161.2Avg total
78.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.475.0148.4-1.620%
Season at home (2)71.582.0153.5-10.50%
Season away (3)74.770.3145.0+4.333%
Last 10 (10)78.682.6161.2-4.010%
Last 5 (5)73.475.0148.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.477.9149.3-6.414%
vs Similar (7)81.788.3170.0-6.60%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.175.6161.7+10.481%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155.5
Over 155.5
65.9%
@ 1.50+4.9pp
Under 155.5
34.1%
@ 2.35-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.35
Over/Under 160.5 · main line
Over 160.5
54.2%
@ 1.88+4.0pp
Under 160.5
45.8%
@ 1.90-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
42.3%
@ 2.37+3.5pp
Under 165.5
57.7%
@ 1.50-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Hapoel Holon total 76.5
Over 76.5
67.5%
@ 1.42+3.1pp
Under 76.5
32.5%
@ 2.57-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.57
Hapoel Holon total 80.5 · main line
Over 80.5
52.6%
@ 1.83+1.7pp
Under 80.5
47.4%
@ 1.85-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Hapoel Holon total 84.5
Over 84.5
37.4%
@ 2.52+1.0pp
Under 84.5
62.6%
@ 1.44-1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.44
Hapoel HaEmek total 75.5
Over 75.5
71.3%
@ 1.40+5.9pp
Under 75.5
28.7%
@ 2.65-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.65
Hapoel HaEmek total 79.5 · main line
Over 79.5
56.9%
@ 1.79+6.2pp
Under 79.5
43.1%
@ 1.88-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.79
Hapoel HaEmek total 83.5
Over 83.5
41.6%
@ 2.45+4.1pp
Under 83.5
58.4%
@ 1.47-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hapoel Holon -4.5
HHO -4.5
35.5%
@ 2.30-5.1pp
HAPO +4.5
64.5%
@ 1.52+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
HHO
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.16
HAPO
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Spread Hapoel Holon -1.5 · main line
HHO -1.5
46.7%
@ 1.90-3.0pp
HAPO +1.5
53.3%
@ 1.88+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
HHO
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
HAPO
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Hapoel Holon +1.5
HHO +1.5
52.4%
@ 1.70-2.7pp
HAPO -1.5
47.6%
@ 2.09+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
HHO
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
HAPO
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
Hapoel HolonHapoel HaEmek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel HolonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A12/06
Super League
Cholet
#21
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H06/10
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/10
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
Champions League
Ironi Eilat
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A19/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A23/10
Super League
Vechta
#20
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Champions League
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/11
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H06/11
Super League
Vechta
#20
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H10/11
Champions League
84.9Avg total
40.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)44.045.789.7-1.737%70%
Last 30 at home (15)41.547.588.9-6.013%67%
Last 30 away (15)46.543.990.4+2.560%73%
Last 10 (10)40.544.484.9-3.930%60%
Last 5 (5)45.046.891.8-1.840%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.347.388.6-6.122%67%
vs Similar (8)45.944.190.0+1.850%75%
vs Weaker (4)52.241.593.8+10.875%75%
This opponent (Hapoel HaEmek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel HaEmekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H14/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A20/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H27/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A31/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H02/06
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/10
Super League
Maccabi Rishon
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/10
Super League
Nes Ziona
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/10
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/10
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A08/11
Super League
79.6Avg total
38.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)40.639.179.6+1.547%53%
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.881.0+3.453%60%
Last 30 away (15)38.939.378.3-0.440%47%
Last 10 (10)38.940.779.6-1.830%50%
Last 5 (5)34.637.071.6-2.420%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.938.971.7-6.00%14%
vs Similar (7)43.043.686.6-0.643%71%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.937.280.1+5.769%62%
This opponent (Hapoel Holon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
HHO win
no forecast
@ 1.83
HAPO win
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Spread Hapoel Holon -0.5 · main line
HHO -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
HAPO +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 80 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Hapoel Holon 1st half total 40.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Hapoel HaEmek 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.74
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Hapoel Holon -1.5
HHO -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
HAPO +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Hapoel Holon +1
HHO +1
no forecast
@ 1.68
HAPO -1
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Spread Hapoel Holon -2.5
HHO -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
HAPO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Hapoel Holon -3.5
HHO -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
HAPO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
HHO
no forecast
@ 1.87
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
HAPO
no forecast
@ 2.16

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
HHO win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
HAPO win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: HHO leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Hapoel HaEmek over 75.571.3%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+5.9pp
Hapoel HaEmek +8.577.2%1.28
Betano
1.28
----+5.7pp
Hapoel HaEmek +7.574.3%1.33
Betano
1.33
----+5.4pp
Hapoel HaEmek +6.571.3%1.39
Betano
1.39
----+5.3pp
Over 153.570.3%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+4.9pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 3 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Holontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Holon: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
53.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.7
36.0%
34.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
73.7%13.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel HaEmektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel HaEmek: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.4
55.6%
53.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
34.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
73.7%13.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Holon
LLLWWLWLLL
Hapoel HaEmek
LLLWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#12
-7.1
Net rating
-4.4
92.0
Offensive rating
92.1
99.0
Defensive rating
96.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.0%
3-point %
33.9%
66.9%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 92.1Defence99.0 · 96.5Shooting53.7% · 53.6%3-point %36.0% · 33.9%Ball care17.3% · 18.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Hapoel Holon   ■ Hapoel HaEmek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hapoel Holon wins
1
Hapoel HaEmek wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HVechta85-90
06/11/26HGalil Elyon101-110
02/11/26HMaccabi Rishon70-78
28/10/26AVechta88-81
23/10/26AHapoel Beer Sheva91-75
19/10/26AIroni Eilat69-78
14/10/26ASpartak Subotica86-84
11/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem69-92
06/10/26HCholet79-99
12/06/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv61-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem59-65
31/10/26HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan77-86
25/10/26HNes Ziona66-78
19/10/26AMaccabi Rishon80-60
11/10/26AIroni Kiryat Ata85-86
02/06/26HHapoel Jerusalem91-98
31/05/26AHapoel Jerusalem71-82
27/05/26HHapoel Jerusalem75-77
20/05/26ABnei Herzliya94-96
14/05/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Holon
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game80.080.080.0
Allowed / game86.693.376.5
Point differential-6.6-13.3+3.5
Avg total166.6173.3156.5
Over 160.560%67%50%
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel HaEmek
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game73.471.574.7
Allowed / game75.082.070.3
Point differential-1.6-10.5+4.3
Avg total148.4153.5145.0
Over 160.540%50%33%
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem660100%80.869.5+11.3
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv54180%83.875.4+8.4
3 Nes Ziona53260%85.880.0+5.8
4 Maccabi Rishon53260%81.678.0+3.6
5 Ironi Eilat53260%85.283.8+1.4
6 Galil Elyon53260%91.694.0-2.4
7 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan53260%85.489.0-3.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%98.092.4+5.6
9 Maccabi Ashdod52340%74.476.8-2.4
10 Ironi Kiryat Ata52340%88.297.8-9.6
11 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.788.0-3.3
12 Hapoel HaEmek51420%73.475.0-1.6
13 Hapoel Holon51420%80.086.6-6.6
14 Hapoel Beer Sheva51420%81.890.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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