Hapoel Tel-Aviv will host Bnei Herzliya in the Super League on 14 November 2026, with the model designating Hapoel Tel-Aviv as the clear favourite thanks to their 3-1 record, 85.2 points per game and only 76.5 allowed, placing them second in the league, while Bnei Herzliya sits tenth with a 2-3 record, 87.4 points per game and 90.0 allowed. Hapoel Tel-Aviv's home slate has been uneven, 1-1 with 70.5 points scored and 68.5 allowed, and their last five games show two wins and three losses, including a 73-80 loss to Maccabi Tel-Aviv away, a 90-93 loss to Barcelona at home, and a 105-87 win over Maccabi Tel-Avin away. Bnei Herzliya's road performance is 1-1, 95.0 points scored and 96.5 allowed, and their last five games contain one win and four losses, highlighted by defeats to Maccabi Ashdod, Bonn and Ironi Kiryat Ata. In their ten meetings, Hapoel Tel-Aviv has won seven to Bnei Herzliya's three, though the most recent encounter on 16 May 2026 saw Bnei Herzliya triumph 70-59. The Pythia model gives Hapoel Tel-Aviv a 92% chance of winning and Bnei Herzliya an 8% chance, projecting a 96-79 score for a total of 174.7 points; the home line is -13.0 with a 62% probability of covering, and the total line is 175.0 with a 49% probability of the over, while the chance of overtime is 2%. The game will hinge on whether Hapoel Tel-Aviv can maintain their offensive edge against Bnei Herzliya's recent struggles.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 85.2 | 76.5 | 161.8 | +8.8 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 70.5 | 68.5 | 139.0 | +2.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 100.0 | 84.5 | 184.5 | +15.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.1 | 82.6 | 171.7 | +6.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.8 | 89.0 | 182.8 | +4.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 90.2 | 90.5 | 180.8 | -0.2 | 50% |
| vs Similar (5) | 83.8 | 85.4 | 169.2 | -1.6 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 83.1 | 74.2 | 157.4 | +8.9 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 87.4 | 90.0 | 177.4 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.3 | 85.7 | 168.0 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 95.0 | 96.5 | 191.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.2 | 90.6 | 173.8 | -7.4 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.6 | 90.4 | 174.0 | -6.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 84.7 | 93.1 | 177.8 | -8.4 | 44% |
| vs Similar (11) | 86.5 | 86.5 | 173.0 | -0.1 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 94.6 | 89.5 | 184.1 | +5.1 | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 45.2 | 42.6 | 87.8 | +2.7 | 62% | 34% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.7 | 43.6 | 90.3 | +3.1 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.6 | 41.5 | 85.1 | +2.1 | 64% | 21% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 43.5 | 87.6 | +0.6 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.2 | 44.0 | 92.2 | +4.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 46.9 | 44.5 | 91.4 | +2.4 | 75% | 50% |
| vs Similar (5) | 43.4 | 41.4 | 84.8 | +2.0 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 45.0 | 42.0 | 87.0 | +3.0 | 62% | 25% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.1 | 46.9 | 91.0 | -2.8 | 30% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 42.4 | 46.8 | 89.2 | -4.5 | 24% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 46.4 | 47.0 | 93.4 | -0.6 | 38% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.3 | 46.8 | 86.1 | -7.5 | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.2 | 46.6 | 85.8 | -7.4 | 0% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 42.7 | 49.6 | 92.2 | -6.9 | 22% | 56% |
| vs Similar (11) | 43.6 | 45.3 | 88.9 | -1.6 | 45% | 64% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 45.9 | 46.3 | 92.2 | -0.4 | 20% | 70% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Herzliya under 85.5 | 74.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -6.5 | 80.6% | 1.25 | 1.32 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 75.5 | 97.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 76.5 | 96.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv (regulation) | 90.7% | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 90.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 84.5 | 71.5% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.35 | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -8.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.27 | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -7.5 | 78.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya under 89.5 | 85.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 78.5 | 95.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Under 183 | 71.8% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 74.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 86.5 | 77.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 80.5 | 92.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya under 98.5 | 96.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 88.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 84.5 | 85.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya under 96.5 | 95.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 94.5 | 93.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 84.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 76.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 70.3% | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya under 92.5 | 90.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 82.5 | 89.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 89.5 | 71.4% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya +24 | 76.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 90.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 86.5 | 80.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 85.5 | 83.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya +22 | 70.6% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya +24.5 | 77.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya +23 | 73.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya +23.5 | 74.4% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -9.5 | 72.3% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv win | 91.9% | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.06 | +3.3pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya +22.5 | 71.5% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.32 | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv +3.5 | 94.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 92.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv over 88.5 | 74.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -9 | 74.5% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -10 | 71.4% | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya over 69.5 | 82.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv -1.5 | 90.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Bnei Herzliya over 70.5 | 79.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 87.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Lost |
| Bnei Herzliya over 72.5 | 73.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Over 160.5 | 79.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.9 | 21.9 | 53.3% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.6 | 10.8 | 34.3% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 14.0 | 73.7% | 14.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.6 | 21.8 | 53.3% | 43.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.9 | 8.2 | 34.3% | 24.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.0 | 15.2 | 73.7% | 15.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Bnei Herzliya | 59-70 |
| 20/12/25 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 86-94 |
| 22/03/25 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 91-95 |
| 19/10/24 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Bnei Herzliya | 97-79 |
| 01/05/24 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 80-82 |
| 05/03/24 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Bnei Herzliya | 99-80 |
| 25/03/23 | Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Bnei Herzliya | 105-87 |
| 31/12/22 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 110-82 |
| 24/09/22 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 78-92 |
| 14/03/22 | Bnei Herzliya v Hapoel Tel-Aviv | 74-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 73-80 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Barcelona | 90-93 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 105-87 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Dubai | 83-97 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Anadolu Efes | 118-88 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Hapoel Jerusalem | 60-70 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Virtus Bologna | 90-81 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Maccabi Ashdod | 81-67 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Panathinaikos | 91-81 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Besiktas | 100-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Maccabi Ashdod | 72-75 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Bonn | 89-101 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Ironi Kiryat Ata | 87-97 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Ironi Eilat | 96-93 |
| 21/10/26 | H | FC Porto | 74-86 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Nes Ziona | 103-96 OT |
| 12/10/26 | H | Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan | 79-89 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Joventut Badalona | 75-86 |
| 03/06/26 | A | Hapoel Holon | 84-99 |
| 01/06/26 | H | Hapoel Holon | 73-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLW | 75% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 85.2 | 70.5 | 100.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.5 | 68.5 | 84.5 |
| Point differential | +8.8 | +2.0 | +15.5 |
| Avg total | 161.8 | 139.0 | 184.5 |
| Over 175.25 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 40% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Points / game | 87.4 | 82.3 | 95.0 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 85.7 | 96.5 |
| Point differential | -2.6 | -3.3 | -1.5 |
| Avg total | 177.4 | 168.0 | 191.5 |
| Over 175.25 | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 80.6 | 68.0 | +12.6 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 76.5 | +8.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.8 | 80.0 | +5.8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 81.6 | 78.0 | +3.6 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.2 | 83.8 | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 91.6 | 94.0 | -2.4 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.4 | 89.0 | -3.6 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 103.2 | 95.0 | +8.2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.4 | 76.8 | -2.4 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 87.4 | 90.0 | -2.6 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 88.2 | 97.8 | -9.6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.4 | 75.0 | -1.6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 80.0 | 86.6 | -6.6 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 81.8 | 90.0 | -8.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 78 | |
| 18 | 20 | 9 | 24 | 71 |
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