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HBA W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-73
23-17 13-27 19-14 23-15
Position#9
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game63.8
Allowed / game63.7
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game62.0
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H04/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
64-49
64
49
+15
no box
A12/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
no box
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 52
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
69-61
69
61
+8
66avg 52
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
70-35
70
35
+35
68avg 52
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
59-69
59
69
-10
41avg 52
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 52
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
54-69
54
69
-15
35avg 52
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
21-15
22-23
22-12
13-11
19-18
13-12
19-8
10-24
7-29
23-12
27-12
12-10
15-23
6-21
12-9
14-20
18-16
11-24
27-23
21-14
16-13
18-13
14-21
21-14
15-5
19-5
15-11
12-23
12-13
19-16
16-17
17-32
19-8
14-10
11-15
20-12
12-21
5-24
17-12
127.6Avg total
63.3Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.863.7127.5+0.233%
Season at home (3)66.753.7120.3+13.067%
Season away (3)61.073.7134.7-12.70%
Last 10 (10)63.364.3127.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)62.659.8122.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)62.768.0130.7-5.350%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.761.6128.3+5.157%
vs Weaker (13)71.855.2127.0+16.777%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kataja W
#16
W
61-55
61
55
+6
52avg 43
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
43avg 43
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
45-82
45
82
-37
31avg 43
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
31avg 43
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
53-69
53
69
-16
38avg 43
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 43
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
14-18
17-11
11-15
10-5
9-20
21-10
17-20
9-17
10-23
12-26
14-16
10-18
15-10
12-12
8-6
18-20
14-16
6-22
15-11
19-20
26-19
11-15
10-11
116.5Avg total
54.5Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)54.562.0116.5-7.550%
Season at home (3)57.367.3124.7-10.067%
Season away (3)51.756.7108.3-5.033%
Last 10 (6)54.562.0116.5-7.550%
Last 5 (5)53.263.4116.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.772.0126.7-17.333%
vs Similar ◀ (2)51.050.5101.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
HBA WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H04/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A12/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
17-53
17
53
-36
H14/04
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A18/04
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H15/10
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
64.6Avg total
30.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.129.964.9+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.127.762.8+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.032.167.1+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.364.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.031.064.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.433.462.8-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.031.968.9+5.157%-
vs Weaker (13)38.426.164.5+12.377%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja W
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/10
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
19-25
19
25
-6
A15/10
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
19-40
19
40
-21
H22/10
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
61.7Avg total
28.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)28.832.861.7-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (3)32.336.068.3-3.767%-
Last 30 away (3)25.329.755.0-4.30%-
Last 10 (6)28.832.861.7-4.033%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.661.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.038.370.3-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)22.026.548.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (1)33.029.062.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.516.0
37.6%
40.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.56.5
22.0%
24.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.011.3
63.0%
63.2%11.3
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 55.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.715.0
38.8%
40.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.5
25.4%
24.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws16.28.5
52.6%
63.2%8.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
LLLWWLLLWW
LePy W
WLLLWW
#9
League position
#11
+0.2
Net rating
-8.6
78.3
Offensive rating
70.8
78.1
Defensive rating
79.3
35.8%
Effective FG%
38.5%
37.2%
Opp. effective FG%
37.4%
24.7%
Turnover %
27.5%
38.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
22.0%
3-point %
25.4%
62.2%
Assist %
53.7%
40%
Form (last 10/6)
50%

Profile

Offence78.3 · 70.8Defence78.1 · 79.3Shooting35.8% · 38.5%3-point %22.0% · 25.4%Ball care24.7% · 27.5%Off. rebounds38.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/6)40% · 50%
■ HBA W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
HBA W wins
0
LePy W wins
No previous meetings.
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ALappeenranta W54-69
05/11/23HPyrinto II W61-65
29/10/23AJyvaskyla BA W59-69
22/10/23HKataja W70-35
15/10/23HLahti Basketball W69-61
08/10/23ABC Nokia W70-83
18/04/23AEspoo Team II W45-63
14/04/23HEspoo Team II W67-77
12/04/23AEspoo Team II W64-49
04/04/23HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W74-72
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HBC Nokia W66-65
05/11/23ALahti Basketball W53-69
29/10/23ALappeenranta W45-46
22/10/23HPyrinto II W45-82
15/10/23AJyvaskyla BA W57-55
08/10/23HKataja W61-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game63.866.761.0
Allowed / game63.753.773.7
Point differential+0.2+13.0-12.7
Avg total127.5120.3134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game54.557.351.7
Allowed / game62.067.356.7
Point differential-7.5-10.0-5.0
Avg total116.5124.7108.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W660100%77.566.5+11.0
2 BC Nokia W65183%76.864.8+12.0
3 Lahti Basketball W65183%67.756.3+11.3
4 Tapiolan Honka II W64267%73.860.5+13.3
5 Lappeenranta W64267%61.759.7+2.0
6 Turun NMKY W64267%63.366.2-2.8
7 Pyrinto II W63350%67.859.5+8.3
8 Espoo Team II W63350%69.069.7-0.7
9 LePy W63350%54.562.0-7.5
10 HBA W62433%63.863.7+0.2
11 Jyvaskyla BA W62433%63.865.2-1.3
12 Pantterit W62433%66.868.3-1.5
13 Korihait W62433%67.574.2-6.7
14 HyPo W62433%61.769.7-8.0
15 Puhuttaret W61517%67.872.5-4.7
16 Kataja W6060%48.773.7-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W2313192378
LePy W1727141573
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