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Helios Domzale vs Buducnost Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record5-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#4
Record12-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2011
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Buducnost
28 Jan 2012
HDO v BUD
upcoming
27 Feb 2010
HDO58
BUD73
31 Jan 2009
HDO81
BUD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maribor
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A17/12
ABA League
KK Slovan
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H23/12
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A07/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H11/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
H14/01
ABA League
Elektra Sostanj
#7
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
A22/01
ABA League
Polzela
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A24/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-23
18-19
24-17
15-29
18-20
13-22
10-23
27-17
11-17
21-18
14-14
22-18
18-21
20-12
18-25
9-27
17-16
10-21
23-21
21-15
14-24
15-16
14-17
17-21
14-21
31-14
13-19
16-19
12-14
20-13
22-16
18-16
15-22
16-19
28-20
24-22
19-31
25-13
17-20
153.5Avg total
74.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.082.2154.2-10.229%
Season at home (9)78.681.4160.0-2.944%
Season away (8)64.683.1147.8-18.512%
Last 10 (10)74.279.3153.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.183.1153.2-12.921%
vs Similar (8)82.975.0157.9+7.962%
vs Weaker (8)79.971.9151.8+8.0100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turow Zgorzelec
#28
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A13/12
Eurocup
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H17/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H20/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H07/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
81-70 OT
81
70
+11
H14/01
ABA League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#2
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H17/01
Eurocup
Radnicki
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H21/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#22
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
13-18
13-17
28-22
18-19
23-21
26-18
14-17
10-20
18-14
18-25
11-13
14-10
19-7
20-18
10-21
23-13
16-12
22-18
20-21
10-19
12-11
18-18
17-15
19-11
12-16
15-21
18-16
12-16
17-22
13-7
15-20
29-27
22-19
20-16
22-24
23-16
17-14
17-13
12-21
140.5Avg total
71.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.972.5148.4+3.471%
Season at home (11)79.170.3149.4+8.891%
Season away (6)70.076.5146.5-6.533%
Last 10 (10)71.768.8140.5+2.970%
Last 5 (5)71.469.6141.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.073.8139.8-7.825%
vs Similar (10)74.971.6146.5+3.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.371.2150.5+8.191%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Helios DomzaleBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maribor
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A17/12
ABA League
KK Slovan
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/12
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A07/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H14/01
ABA League
Elektra Sostanj
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H18/01
Liga Nova KBM
Petrol Olimpija
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/01
ABA League
Polzela
#4
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Liga Nova KBM
75.8Avg total
34.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.876.9-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.877.6+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)33.942.176.1-8.221%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.775.8-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.243.178.4-7.929%-
vs Similar (8)41.639.180.8+2.562%-
vs Weaker (8)35.934.670.5+1.250%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turow Zgorzelec
#28
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/12
Eurocup
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H20/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H07/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A10/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H14/01
ABA League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H17/01
Eurocup
Radnicki
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H21/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#22
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A24/01
Eurocup
67.2Avg total
35.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.671.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.434.873.2+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)34.234.268.4-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)35.132.167.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.268.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.234.266.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (10)35.735.771.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.833.374.1+7.591%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Helios Domzale wins
4
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/12APolzela85-86
22/01/12APetrol Olimpija92-83 OT
18/01/12HElektra Sostanj70-62
14/01/12HVrsac89-86 OT
11/01/12HPartizan64-72
07/01/12ASiroki Brijeg59-85
23/12/11HCibona78-76
20/12/11HKK Slovan73-66
17/12/11AMaccabi Tel Aviv56-94
13/12/11AMaribor76-83
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/12AKK Krka Novo mesto69-64
21/01/12HRadnicki93-86
17/01/12HSpartak St. Petersburg57-65
14/01/12HZagreb81-70 OT
10/01/12ACrvena zvezda57-63
07/01/12HCedevita81-64
25/12/11HPetrol Olimpija63-56
20/12/11HAlba Berlin57-72
17/12/11HZlatorog Lasko81-75
13/12/11ATurow Zgorzelec78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2011
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW29%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game72.078.664.6
Allowed / game82.281.483.1
Point differential-10.2-2.9-18.5
Avg total154.2160.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %18%22%12%
Buducnost
ABA League 2011
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %71%91%33%
Points / game75.979.170.0
Allowed / game72.570.376.5
Point differential+3.4+8.8-6.5
Avg total148.4149.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%9%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv1817194%85.469.7+15.7
2 Cedevita1612475%85.874.0+11.8
3 Partizan1712571%79.871.7+8.1
4 Buducnost1712571%75.972.5+3.4
5 Petrol Olimpija1710759%76.478.2-1.8
6 Siroki Brijeg179853%77.474.2+3.1
7 Zagreb179853%80.182.3-2.2
8 Cibona189950%80.280.7-0.5
9 Radnicki168850%81.782.6-0.9
10 Crvena zvezda1761135%79.880.0-0.2
11 Vrsac1751229%75.279.2-4.0
12 Helios Domzale1751229%72.082.2-10.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1841422%71.878.4-6.6
14 Zlatorog Lasko1821611%66.981.7-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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