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Helios Domzale vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-62
16-14 12-20 21-12 20-16
Position#10
Record1-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game50.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 2· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
75avg 75
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 75
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 75
H18/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
72-65
72
65
+7
61avg 75
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 75
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 75
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
91avg 75
A25/09
ABA League 2
Sencur
#5
W
79-57
79
57
+22
81avg 75
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
61avg 75
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
26-21
24-17
12-20
24-15
13-18
26-19
23-18
21-24
13-20
25-18
14-13
13-19
21-10
18-20
20-16
24-26
24-22
17-24
22-22
22-23
16-24
19-13
16-20
14-37
20-23
13-11
31-20
21-16
18-25
21-14
27-24
21-16
12-11
27-16
19-14
14-25
21-11
9-21
23-15
153.4Avg total
77.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.975.5153.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.875.8152.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.884.7164.5-4.927%
vs Similar (6)67.563.2130.7+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.875.2163.1+12.685%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
no box
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#16
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H07/05
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#16
W
104-77
104
77
+27
no box
A10/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A13/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H15/05
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#5
L
50-68
50
68
-18
33avg 53
A24/09
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
W
75-43
75
43
+32
73avg 53
H04/10
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-21
20-15
23-17
17-28
20-21
17-22
19-13
16-20
27-15
20-20
19-19
16-22
20-20
30-32
19-25
26-24
34-17
20-16
24-22
27-13
25-19
35-22
17-23
16-27
17-21
13-18
15-23
20-19
13-21
13-34
22-13
13-21
11-14
15-15
11-18
20-17
14-4
18-14
23-8
156.4Avg total
79.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)50.068.0118.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)50.068.0118.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)79.077.4156.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)71.672.8144.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.677.0149.6-4.440%
vs Similar (6)74.783.2157.8-8.533%
vs Weaker (18)88.173.3161.3+14.889%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Helios DomzaleTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H18/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/09
ABA League 2
Sencur
#5
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
77.3Avg total
37.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.140.980.9-0.848%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.884.3-1.353%-
Last 30 away (14)38.538.877.3-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.077.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.278.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.244.282.4-6.018%-
vs Similar (5)37.442.079.4-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.737.680.3+5.185%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#16
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H07/05
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#16
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A10/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A13/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H15/05
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#5
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A24/09
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#10
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H04/10
Prva A Liga
78.2Avg total
39.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.580.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.437.482.8+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.578.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.578.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.270.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.436.674.0+0.860%-
vs Similar (6)36.340.877.2-4.517%-
vs Weaker (18)45.638.083.6+7.683%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.9
52.5%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
31.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.710.1
73.7%
72.5%10.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 48.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀38%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
52.1%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.02.0
8.0%
31.4%6.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
72.5%18.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWWLLLWLWW
Tivat
WLLLWWLWLW
#10
League position
#13
+5.1
Net rating
-28.5
106.9
Offensive rating
68.4
101.8
Defensive rating
96.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
25.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.9%
3-point %
8.0%
65.3%
Assist %
50.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 68.4Defence101.8 · 96.9Shooting51.8% · 25.9%3-point %33.9% · 8.0%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 23.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Helios Domzale wins
0
Tivat wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek67-72
30/09/24HSencur79-57
25/09/24ACedevita Junior87-79
29/05/24HCedevita Olimpija78-91
26/05/24ACedevita Olimpija73-80
24/05/24HCedevita Olimpija87-94
21/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-65
18/05/24HKK Krka Novo mesto73-75
14/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-70
08/05/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek77-72
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HLovcen Cetinje75-43
24/09/24AMZT Skopje50-68
15/05/24HStudentski Centar68-87
13/05/24AStudentski Centar61-89
10/05/24AMornar Bar104-77
07/05/24HMornar Bar104-79
30/04/24AStudentski Centar85-99
28/04/24HSutjeska82-74
24/04/24AJedinstvo73-84
21/04/24HLovcen Cetinje88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Tivat
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game50.0-50.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total118.0-118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Podgorica110100%20.00.0+20.0
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad220100%85.065.0+20.0
3 MZT Skopje110100%68.050.0+18.0
4 Borac Banja Luka110100%70.062.0+8.0
5 Helios Domzale110100%87.079.0+8.0
6 Zlatibor110100%73.068.0+5.0
7 Pelister110100%74.072.0+2.0
8 Sutjeska21150%72.568.0+4.5
9 KK Bosna21150%73.075.5-2.5
10 Siroki Brijeg1010%72.074.0-2.0
11 GKK Sibenka1010%68.073.0-5.0
12 Cedevita Junior1010%79.087.0-8.0
13 Perspektiva Ilirija1010%62.070.0-8.0
14 Tivat1010%50.068.0-18.0
15 Joker1010%0.020.0-20.0
16 Rabotnicki2020%60.082.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale1612212069
Tivat1420121662
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