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Helios Domzale vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 79-57
21-16 12-11 27-16 19-14
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 1· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2024-25
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Sencur
13 Feb 2027
HDO v SENC
upcoming
12 May 2026
HDO75
SENC82
04 May 2026
HDO70
SENC76
17 Jan 2026
HDO101
SENC88
30 Sep 2024
HDO79
SENC57
30 Mar 2024
HDO94
SENC69
19 Jan 2024
HDO76
SENC50
16 Jan 2024
HDO68
SENC75
13 Oct 2023
HDO71
SENC76
25 Mar 2023
HDO73
SENC75
12 Feb 2023
HDO76
SENC57
30 Apr 2022
HDO73
SENC75
04 Jan 2022
HDO75
SENC65
08 May 2021
HDO68
SENC66
04 May 2021
HDO70
SENC62
31 Mar 2021
HDO74
SENC69
16 Dec 2020
HDO74
SENC77
05 Oct 2019
HDO66
SENC57
17 Nov 2018
HDO59
SENC64
07 Apr 2018
HDO87
SENC84
10 Feb 2018
HDO82
SENC85
14 Jan 2017
HDO79
SENC71
14 Nov 2015
HDO63
SENC69
01 Apr 2015
HDO88
SENC92
18 Oct 2014
HDO76
SENC74
02 Dec 2009
HDO82
SENC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 74
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
100-86
100
86
+14
96avg 74
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
75avg 74
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 74
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 74
H18/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
72-65
72
65
+7
61avg 74
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
74avg 74
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 74
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
91avg 74
A25/09
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
13-32
17-25
28-24
24-17
24-29
32-20
20-20
15-14
26-21
24-17
12-20
24-15
13-18
26-19
23-18
21-24
13-20
25-18
14-13
13-19
21-10
18-20
20-16
24-26
24-22
17-24
22-22
22-23
16-24
19-13
16-20
14-37
20-23
13-11
31-20
21-16
18-25
21-14
27-24
162.8Avg total
81.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.781.1162.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.481.8161.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.884.7164.5-4.927%
vs Similar (6)67.563.2130.7+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.074.9163.9+14.192%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 66
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
56avg 66
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
85-74
85
74
+11
72avg 66
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
82-94
82
94
-12
78avg 66
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
69avg 66
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 66
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 66
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 66
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 66
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 66
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
19-18
18-19
21-19
16-28
28-20
12-22
13-24
23-19
25-21
21-18
16-16
27-26
26-23
15-24
14-21
21-27
18-21
16-8
15-14
19-31
26-16
28-14
25-17
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
28-26
15-20
21-28
22-24
10-24
22-29
23-24
21-26
166.2Avg total
82.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.483.8166.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)85.685.4171.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.588.8163.3-14.49%
vs Similar (16)78.075.9153.9+2.162%
vs Weaker (3)85.774.7160.3+11.067%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
Helios DomzaleSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H18/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A26/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Junior
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/09
ABA League 2
82.5Avg total
39.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.740.881.4-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.042.784.7-0.753%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.777.9+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.382.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.083.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.244.282.4-6.018%-
vs Similar (5)37.442.079.4-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.037.581.5+6.592%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
86.7Avg total
42.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.240.882.9+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.141.678.7-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.886.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.145.483.5-7.39%-
vs Similar (16)40.639.079.6+1.675%-
vs Weaker (3)41.737.379.0+4.333%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.3
54.0%
53.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.511.0
75.9%
72.0%11.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.0
53.0%
53.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.9
26.0%
32.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.612.8
77.1%
72.0%12.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
WLLLWLWWWL
Sencur
LLWWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
-1.0
111.5
Offensive rating
103.8
109.1
Defensive rating
104.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.3%
3-point %
26.0%
61.0%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.8Defence109.1 · 104.9Shooting54.2% · 47.8%3-point %36.3% · 26.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Helios Domzale wins
4
Sencur wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24ACedevita Junior87-79
29/05/24HCedevita Olimpija78-91
26/05/24ACedevita Olimpija73-80
24/05/24HCedevita Olimpija87-94
21/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-65
18/05/24HKK Krka Novo mesto73-75
14/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-70
08/05/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek77-72
03/05/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek100-86
28/04/24AKK Krka Novo mesto84-99
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24ACedevita Olimpija76-103
15/05/24HCedevita Olimpija86-98
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67
27/04/24HTajfun Sentjur98-78
20/04/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek79-73 OT
17/04/24HPolzela82-94
03/04/24HLTH Castings85-74
30/03/24AHelios Domzale69-94
24/03/24ACedevita Junior81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perspektiva Ilirija110100%82.065.0+17.0
2 Zlatorog Lasko110100%84.074.0+10.0
3 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek110100%83.076.0+7.0
4 Tajfun Sentjur110100%70.067.0+3.0
5 KK Triglav Kranj1010%67.070.0-3.0
6 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%76.083.0-7.0
7 LTH Castings1010%74.084.0-10.0
8 Rogaska1010%65.082.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2112271979
Sencur1611161457
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