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Helsingin NMKY vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 62-83
24-18 13-29 13-18 12-18
Position#6
Record11-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#3
Record18-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game79.7
FinlandI Divisioona AI Divisioona A - Quarter-finals· Helsingin Urheilutalo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Helsingin NMKY v Karkkila
25 Mar 2026
HELS62
KARK83
23 Nov 2025
HELS80
KARK70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helsingin NMKY winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Helsingin NMKY
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.8
83.4▲ 2.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.5
92.0▲ 5.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 48%
51%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.9
18.2▲ 2.3
🔥 Form · Karkkila
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.6
90.8▼ 1.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.7
82.0▲ 2.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.8
12.8▼ 4.0
Helsingin NMKYFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#10
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
H18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A15/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H08/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
71-108
71
108
-37
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A21/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-21
29-23
20-29
14-16
25-17
14-14
15-20
17-19
18-17
20-30
16-28
15-13
18-21
19-19
22-16
23-35
18-31
29-24
22-21
20-19
23-17
14-26
9-18
20-29
19-27
24-23
23-22
22-18
34-12
17-22
28-24
17-36
18-28
15-23
21-21
24-18
21-27
24-28
24-22
171.8Avg total
82.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.886.5167.3-5.748%
Season at home (11)79.286.0165.2-6.855%
Season away (12)82.386.9169.2-4.642%
Last 10 (10)82.289.6171.8-7.440%
Last 5 (5)83.492.0175.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.889.4167.3-11.626%
vs Similar (4)89.090.5179.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)86.773.3160.0+13.4100%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
32-26
20-15
30-22
24-26
21-34
18-17
21-18
24-13
16-23
19-25
19-24
30-20
29-20
20-24
19-18
35-23
31-18
24-29
21-22
23-24
15-15
8-26
18-22
21-14
22-19
32-24
32-15
20-30
26-20
14-15
23-15
31-15
29-17
25-21
20-25
18-24
27-21
28-24
22-24
176.2Avg total
92.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.679.7172.3+12.978%
Season at home (12)94.979.7174.6+15.283%
Season away (11)90.179.7169.8+10.473%
Last 10 (10)92.084.2176.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)90.882.0172.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.993.8165.6-21.912%
vs Similar (3)80.782.3163.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.177.7172.8+17.489%
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Helsingin NMKYKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helsingin NMKYLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huima
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A15/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H08/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
I Divisioona A
84.5Avg total
40.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.541.178.6-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.582.5-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.884.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.289.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.745.883.5-8.132%-
vs Similar (4)40.236.877.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (7)40.933.774.6+7.157%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
I Divisioona A
90.4Avg total
48.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.385.2+4.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.085.6+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)44.140.684.7+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)48.741.790.4+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.886.2+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.143.880.9-6.612%-
vs Similar (3)40.744.084.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.938.287.1+10.774%-
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helsingin NMKYtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingin NMKY: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.9
48.5%
51.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.9
31.9%
30.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.2
66.7%
67.7%11.2
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.926.0
55.4%
51.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
30.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.712.4
62.9%
67.7%12.4
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helsingin NMKY
LLWLLLWLWW
Karkkila
WWWWLWWLLW
#6
League position
#3
-9.5
Net rating
+8.2
84.0
Offensive rating
96.4
93.4
Defensive rating
88.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
33.2%
55.4%
Assist %
46.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 96.4Defence93.4 · 88.3Shooting48.3% · 53.4%3-point %31.9% · 33.2%Ball care17.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Helsingin NMKY   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Helsingin NMKY wins
2
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Karkkila v Helsingin NMKY95-93
15/02/26Karkkila v Helsingin NMKY111-92
23/11/25Helsingin NMKY v Karkkila80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AKarkkila93-95
15/03/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki71-108
08/03/26HLappeenranta101-76
01/03/26AKipina86-101
22/02/26HRaholan Pyrkiva66-80
15/02/26AKarkkila92-111
08/02/26HPyrinto Akatemia74-69
01/02/26AACO Basket71-94
23/01/26AToPo Helsinki68-67
18/01/26HHuima100-95 OT
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HHelsingin NMKY95-93
15/03/26ARaholan Pyrkiva105-78
08/03/26HToPo Helsinki83-80
01/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia107-72
22/02/26AACO Basket64-87
15/02/26HHelsingin NMKY111-92
07/02/26AHuima98-82
31/01/26HJyvaskyla78-85
25/01/26HKipina84-95
23/01/26ARaiders Basket95-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helsingin NMKY
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game80.879.282.3
Allowed / game86.586.086.9
Point differential-5.7-6.8-4.6
Avg total167.3165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%83%73%
Points / game92.694.990.1
Allowed / game79.779.779.7
Point differential+12.9+15.2+10.4
Avg total172.3174.6169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket2423196%91.568.5+23.0
2 Karkkila2318578%92.679.7+12.9
3 Kipina2418675%95.083.7+11.3
4 Jyvaskyla2416867%83.477.7+5.7
5 Raholan Pyrkiva24131154%76.077.0-1.0
6 Helsingin NMKY23111248%80.886.5-5.7
7 ToPo Helsinki24111346%79.580.0-0.6
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki24101442%80.280.1+0.1
9 Pyrinto Akatemia2271532%75.686.5-10.9
10 Huima2261627%77.485.7-8.3
11 Lappeenranta2241818%71.885.7-13.9
12 Raiders Basket222209%72.489.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helsingin NMKY2413131262
Karkkila1829181883
← all games of the day
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