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Karkkila vs Helsingin NMKY Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 111-92
35-23 31-18 24-29 21-22
Position#3
Record13-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#6
Record10-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.4
FinlandI Divisioona A· Karkkila sports hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karkkila v Helsingin NMKY
27 Mar 2026
KARK90
HELS83
21 Mar 2026
KARK95
HELS93
15 Feb 2026
KARK111
HELS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helsingin NMKY winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
78avg 83
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
109-79
109
79
+30
106avg 83
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 83
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 83
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
102-63
102
63
+39
93avg 83
A08/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
107-73
107
73
+34
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
89avg 83
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 83
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 83
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 83
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
24-24
25-22
17-26
31-24
26-23
29-17
23-15
21-26
23-21
26-25
27-12
22-17
21-15
18-19
21-17
28-16
22-22
30-13
22-12
30-13
36-19
16-25
25-16
13-15
32-26
20-15
30-22
24-26
21-34
18-17
21-18
24-13
16-23
19-25
19-24
30-20
29-20
20-24
19-18
173.9Avg total
94.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.178.3170.4+13.876%
Season at home (8)92.977.4170.2+15.575%
Season away (9)91.379.1170.4+12.278%
Last 10 (10)94.479.5173.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)92.482.6175.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.590.4160.8-19.99%
vs Similar (5)75.677.4153.0-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.375.9169.1+17.486%
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsingin NMKYFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNMKY
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
63avg 68
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
78avg 68
H07/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
70avg 68
A11/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
60avg 68
H19/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 68
H04/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
81avg 68
A09/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
no box
H18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
56avg 68
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
47avg 68
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 68
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
11-20
28-16
15-22
23-24
20-26
32-8
13-33
25-20
14-14
16-21
28-21
22-18
18-20
18-22
16-13
20-18
16-22
24-28
35-21
26-13
30-32
21-22
11-30
23-17
18-21
29-23
20-29
14-16
25-17
14-14
15-20
17-19
18-17
20-30
16-28
15-13
18-21
19-19
22-16
165.4Avg total
81.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.483.4162.8-4.059%
Season at home (9)78.287.8166.0-9.656%
Season away (8)80.878.5159.2+2.262%
Last 10 (10)81.484.0165.4-2.660%
Last 5 (5)80.284.4164.6-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.787.0163.7-10.333%
vs Similar (5)89.889.2179.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (7)85.075.7160.7+9.386%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
KarkkilaHelsingin NMKY
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A04/12
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/12
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/01
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H18/01
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A07/02
I Divisioona A
91.2Avg total
49.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.781.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.779.4+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.783.2-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)49.941.391.2+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)51.041.892.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.443.178.5-7.79%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.676.4-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.837.585.3+10.379%-
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsingin NMKYLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A27/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H07/12
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H19/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A09/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/01
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/02
I Divisioona A
79.1Avg total
39.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.380.0-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.443.279.6-6.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.239.280.4+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.979.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.278.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.744.281.8-6.539%-
vs Similar (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
vs Weaker (7)39.136.375.4+2.943%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.325.2
56.9%
51.5%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
30.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.311.9
61.7%
67.7%11.9
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsingin NMKYtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingin NMKY: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.5
43.9%
51.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.4
31.4%
30.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
67.7%12.8
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
WLLWWWWWWW
Helsingin NMKY
WLWWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#6
+11.4
Net rating
-1.9
103.8
Offensive rating
88.6
92.4
Defensive rating
90.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
45.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
31.4%
50.0%
Assist %
55.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 88.6Defence92.4 · 90.5Shooting54.4% · 45.3%3-point %33.6% · 31.4%Ball care15.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.9% · 36.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Karkkila   ■ Helsingin NMKY
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karkkila wins
1
Helsingin NMKY wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Helsingin NMKY v Karkkila80-70
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AHuima98-82
31/01/26HJyvaskyla78-85
25/01/26HKipina84-95
23/01/26ARaiders Basket95-78
18/01/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki107-73
08/01/26ALappeenranta102-63
21/12/25HRaholan Pyrkiva82-68
12/12/25AToPo Helsinki97-84
04/12/25APyrinto Akatemia109-79
29/11/25HACO Basket92-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HPyrinto Akatemia74-69
01/02/26AACO Basket71-94
23/01/26AToPo Helsinki68-67
18/01/26HHuima100-95 OT
09/01/26AJyvaskyla88-97
04/01/26HRaiders Basket95-89
19/12/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki74-73
11/12/25ALappeenranta83-76
07/12/25HKipina88-91
27/11/25ARaholan Pyrkiva73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game92.192.991.3
Allowed / game78.377.479.1
Point differential+13.8+15.5+12.2
Avg total170.4170.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsingin NMKY
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game79.478.280.8
Allowed / game83.487.878.5
Point differential-4.0-9.6+2.2
Avg total162.8166.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket1716194%93.669.8+23.8
2 Kipina1814478%96.286.4+9.8
3 Karkkila1713476%92.178.3+13.8
4 Jyvaskyla1712571%84.578.2+6.3
5 Helsingin NMKY1710759%79.483.4-4.0
6 Raholan Pyrkiva1810856%77.276.8+0.4
7 ToPo Helsinki189950%81.180.5+0.6
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki1771041%79.878.6+1.1
9 Pyrinto Akatemia1861233%77.787.8-10.1
10 Lappeenranta1841422%73.585.8-12.3
11 Huima1731418%77.687.5-9.8
12 Raiders Basket181176%71.188.9-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila35312421111
Helsingin NMKY2318292292
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