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Hercegovac vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-88
22-17 24-29 27-18 18-24
Position#3
Record18-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#15
Record9-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.8
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 27· Sports Center
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hercegovac winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vrsac winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A25/01
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H31/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H07/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A11/02
First League
Sloboda
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H14/02
First League
Dynamic
#13
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A28/02
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H07/03
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A13/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H21/03
First League
Radnicki
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A28/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-22
26-15
19-14
24-19
27-18
23-20
20-13
22-18
20-17
26-16
27-28
28-29
13-16
20-21
23-26
15-23
24-24
12-18
24-11
33-28
21-25
28-25
21-28
32-15
20-25
27-17
30-18
23-19
31-27
18-33
28-15
28-29
15-19
19-21
37-11
32-35
19-27
19-18
15-18
177.1Avg total
92.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.583.3172.8+6.369%
Season at home (13)89.078.8167.8+10.285%
Season away (13)90.187.7177.8+2.454%
Last 10 (10)92.884.3177.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)99.290.6189.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.0101.0178.0-24.00%
vs Similar (4)74.877.0151.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.083.6176.6+9.381%
This opponent (Vrsac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloboda
#8
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A04/02
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H08/02
First League
Tamis
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A15/02
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A18/02
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/02
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#5
L
81-112
81
112
-31
H04/03
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A08/03
First League
Sloga
#4
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H14/03
First League
Cacak 94
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A20/03
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H28/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-25
17-24
18-18
27-29
21-24
33-18
23-20
25-19
15-27
30-16
16-17
27-23
19-22
26-18
22-15
20-19
21-26
12-15
28-26
16-31
24-24
26-27
15-30
17-18
22-25
23-22
22-26
19-30
31-16
33-24
24-16
26-27
24-17
22-20
17-28
21-17
25-17
23-16
30-18
176.6Avg total
89.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.888.8176.6-1.035%
Season at home (13)92.688.3180.9+4.346%
Season away (13)82.989.3172.2-6.423%
Last 10 (10)89.587.1176.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)92.089.8181.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.896.5176.3-16.710%
vs Similar (19)90.087.6177.6+2.442%
vs Weaker (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
HercegovacVrsac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/02
First League
OKK Beograd
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/02
First League
Sloboda
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/02
First League
Dynamic
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A28/02
First League
Sombor BC
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H07/03
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/03
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/03
First League
Radnicki
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A28/03
First League
92.3Avg total
46.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)43.742.786.4+0.952%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.540.583.9+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)43.944.988.7-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)46.645.792.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.8100.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.542.081.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.543.088.4+2.562%-
This opponent (Vrsac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloboda
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/02
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/02
First League
Tamis
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/02
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A18/02
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/02
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#5
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H04/03
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
First League
Sloga
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/03
First League
Cacak 94
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A20/03
First League
Borac Zemun
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/03
First League
89.2Avg total
43.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.888.7-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.146.392.3-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.745.485.1-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.545.789.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.489.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.348.888.1-9.520%-
vs Similar (19)44.944.689.5+0.353%-
vs Weaker (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.021.4
62.9%
57.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.7
32.2%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws28.220.9
74.1%
72.6%20.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vrsactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vrsac: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.823.6
62.4%
57.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
72.6%13.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hercegovac
LWWWLLLWWW
Vrsac
WLWLLLWWWL
#3
League position
#15
+9.4
Net rating
+3.2
102.7
Offensive rating
105.8
93.3
Defensive rating
102.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
58.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.2%
3-point %
34.7%
62.7%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 105.8Defence93.3 · 102.6Shooting56.1% · 58.1%3-point %32.2% · 34.7%Ball care15.5% · 13.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Hercegovac   ■ Vrsac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hercegovac wins
0
Vrsac wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Vrsac v Hercegovac85-90
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ARadnicki85-98
21/03/26HBKK Radnicki99-80
13/03/26AKK Metalac100-94
07/03/26HSombor BC109-75
28/02/26ADynamic103-106
14/02/26HSloboda75-76
11/02/26AOKK Beograd84-92
07/02/26HMladost Zemun95-79
31/01/26HBorac Zemun94-70
25/01/26ACacak 9484-73
Vrsaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HBorac Zemun99-68
20/03/26ACacak 9489-92
14/03/26HSloga107-86
08/03/26AZlatibor84-91
04/03/26HBorac Banja Luka81-112
28/02/26HVojvodina Novi Sad81-86
18/02/26AMladost Zemun94-78
15/02/26ATamis86-79
08/02/26HRadnicki104-91
04/02/26ASloboda70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hercegovac
First League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%85%54%
Points / game89.589.090.1
Allowed / game83.378.887.7
Point differential+6.3+10.2+2.4
Avg total172.8167.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Vrsac
First League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLWLWW46%
AwayLWWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%46%23%
Points / game87.892.682.9
Allowed / game88.888.389.3
Point differential-1.0+4.3-6.4
Avg total176.6180.9172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor2725293%91.880.6+11.1
2 Sloboda2720774%84.277.1+7.1
3 Hercegovac2618869%89.583.3+6.3
4 Sloga27171063%87.582.5+5.0
5 Vojvodina Novi Sad27171063%83.681.7+1.8
6 BKK Radnicki27131448%84.985.3-0.4
7 Borac Zemun27131448%87.790.8-3.1
8 Tamis27121544%83.284.1-0.9
9 Cacak 9427121544%84.285.9-1.7
10 OKK Beograd27111641%95.797.1-1.4
11 Radnicki27111641%86.889.1-2.3
12 KK Metalac27111641%86.288.8-2.6
13 Dynamic27111641%89.995.1-5.2
14 Vrsac2691735%87.888.8-1.0
15 Mladost Zemun2691735%82.386.1-3.8
16 Sombor BC2652119%79.188.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hercegovac2224271891
Vrsac1729182488
← all games of the day
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