High Point hosts Southern Utah on 12 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names High Point the clear favourite, rating them 94% to win largely because of their undefeated 3-0 record, 72.7 points scored per game and 59.0 points allowed per game, while Southern Utah also sits 3-0 but averages 124.7 points per game and 57.0 allowed, a stark contrast that tips the odds heavily toward the home side. High Point's 3-0 season record shows they have not lost a game, and they have won all three of their home games, scoring 72.7 points per game and allowing 59.0, with a recent win over Washington State 83-71, a 63-49 win over Md-East Shore and a 72-57 victory over Liberty, all at home; their last five games include four wins and one loss. Southern Utah, also 3-0, has a 124.7 points per game average and 57.0 allowed, and their last five games include three wins and two losses, with recent home wins over Bethesda 143-49, Grace College 97-53 and West Coast Baptist 134-69. The Pythia model projects a 89-70 score for High Point, a total of 159.2 points, a spread of -20.5 with a 42% chance the home team covers, an over line of 148.5 with a 74% probability of the over, and a 1% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
High Point winWon
94.1%fair 1.06
Best odds1.02
Implied96.0%
Edge-1.9pp
Southern Utah winLost
5.9%fair 16.88
Best odds29.00
Implied4.0%
Edge+1.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (High Point) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Over 143.5
Over 143.5
83.4%
@ 1.38+11.1pp
Under 143.5
16.6%
@ 4.20-11.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.20
Betano
2.77
Over/Under 148.5 · main lineActual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
74.5%
@ 1.83+20.8pp
Under 148.5
25.5%
@ 2.70-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.47
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
63.6%
@ 1.86+12.5pp
Under 153.5
36.4%
@ 1.95-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.81
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.88
📊 3. Team Totals
High Point total 81.5Actual: High Point over 81.5
Over 81.5
76.7%
@ 1.31+2.7pp
Under 81.5
23.3%
@ 5.00-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.26
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
3.60
Betano
2.95
High Point total 85.5 · main lineActual: High Point over 85.5
Over 85.5
62.8%
@ 1.85+7.8pp
Under 85.5
37.2%
@ 2.62-7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.62
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.18
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
High Point total 89.5Actual: High Point under 89.5
Over 89.5
46.8%
@ 1.87-6.5pp
Under 89.5
53.2%
@ 2.03+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Southern Utah total 61Actual: Southern Utah under 61
Over 61
83.5%
Under 61
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southern Utah total 65 · main lineActual: Southern Utah under 65
Over 65
71.3%
@ 1.86+21.4pp
Under 65
28.7%
@ 1.85-21.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Southern Utah total 69Actual: Southern Utah under 69
Over 69
55.7%
Under 69
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread High Point -24.5Actual: High Point -24.5
HIGH -24.5
28.7%
@ 2.27-17.4pp
SOUT +24.5
71.3%
@ 1.77+17.4pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.12
Pinnacle
2.07
SOUT
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Be
1.70
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.55
Spread High Point -21.5 · main lineActual: High Point -21.5
HIGH -21.5
38.3%
@ 1.87-13.2pp
SOUT +21.5
61.7%
@ 2.02+13.2pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Bet365
1.74
SOUT
SBO
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
Spread High Point -18.5Actual: High Point -18.5
HIGH -18.5
48.8%
@ 1.52-12.8pp
SOUT +18.5
51.2%
@ 2.50+12.8pp
Best 5 market prices
HIGH
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
SOUT
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
High PointSouthern Utah
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H06/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H08/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#530
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Grace College Lancers
#465
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#341
W
70-25
70
25
+45
H08/11
NCAA
83.3Avg total
47.2Scored
36.1Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)
41.6
37.5
79.1
+4.1
53%
57%
Last 30 at home (15)
46.2
35.1
81.3
+11.1
73%
67%
Last 30 away (15)
37.0
39.9
76.9
-2.9
33%
47%
Last 10 (10)
47.2
36.1
83.3
+11.1
70%
80%
Last 5 (5)
53.4
33.2
86.6
+20.2
80%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)
38.1
39.2
77.3
-1.1
39%
50%
vs Similar (7)
35.6
36.4
72.0
-0.9
57%
43%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)
62.6
33.2
95.8
+29.4
100%
100%
This opponent (High Point) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: High Point win
HIGH win
no forecast
@ 1.10
SOUT win
no forecast
@ 7.30
2nd half Spread High Point -9.5 · main lineActual: High Point -9.5
HIGH -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
SOUT +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
High Point 2nd half total 43.5 · main lineActual: High Point over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Southern Utah 2nd half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Southern Utah under 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half Spread High Point -10.5Actual: High Point -10.5
HIGH -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
SOUT +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Spread High Point -8.5Actual: High Point -8.5
HIGH -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
SOUT +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: High Point (regulation)
HIGH
no forecast
@ 1.11
Draw
no forecast
@ 24.00
SOUT
no forecast
@ 7.10
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Southern Utah over 64
74.7%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+24.2pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 65
71.3%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Lost
Over 148.5
74.5%
1.64
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.75
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41
+20.8pp
Lost
Over 149.5
72.4%
1.66
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.65
Betano
1.53
+18.9pp
Lost
Over 150.5
70.3%
1.72
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.66
+18.3pp
Lost
Over 142.5
84.9%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Southern Utah +24.5
71.3%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.55
-
+17.4pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 64.5
72.3%
1.78
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.67
+17.2pp
Lost
Southern Utah +24
70.4%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.68
-
-
+17.1pp
Lost
Over 148
76.0%
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Lost
Over 149
73.9%
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.79
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Lost
Southern Utah +25
73.4%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Lost
Over 150
71.8%
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Lost
Over 144.5
81.8%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Won
Southern Utah over 61.5
81.4%
1.35
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 62.5
78.6%
1.43
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
+14.0pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 63.5
75.5%
1.48
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.44
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 59.5
86.3%
1.26
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
+12.6pp
Lost
Southern Utah over 60.5
83.9%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.29
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+12.0pp
Lost
Over 147.5
76.4%
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.66
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.37
-
-
+11.6pp
Lost
Over 143.5
83.4%
1.29
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Over 141.5
86.3%
1.25
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
Over 145.5
80.1%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Southern Utah over 58.5
88.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Over 147
77.9%
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Push
Southern Utah over 56.5
91.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Over 146
79.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Over 146.5
78.3%
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.65
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.25
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Southern Utah over 55.5
93.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Southern Utah over 57.5
90.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
High Point under 96.5
78.5%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Southern Utah over 54.5
94.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Southern Utah over 52.5
96.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Southern Utah over 53.5
95.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Southern Utah over 51.5
97.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
High Point over 71.5
95.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
High Point over 73.5
93.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Over 133.5
94.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Over 138.5
90.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
High Point (regulation)
93.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
High Point over 72.5
94.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
High Point over 79.5
82.4%
1.20
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
High Point over 78.5
84.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Over 131.5
95.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Over 128.5
97.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
High Point over 75.5
90.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
High Point under 99.5
86.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
High Point over 77.5
87.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
High Point under 98.5
83.9%
1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
High Point over 74.5
92.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Won
High Point over 81.5
76.7%
1.24
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.26
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Over 136.5
92.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
High Point over 83.5
70.1%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
High Point under 95.5
75.5%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
High Point over 82.5
73.5%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
High Point under 97.5
81.4%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
High Point over 76.5
89.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
High Point under 94.5
72.2%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
High Point over 80.5
79.7%
1.20
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
High Point -2.5
91.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Under 181.5
91.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
High Point win
94.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-1.9pp
Won
Under 176.5
85.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Under 178.5
88.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
High Point -7.5
82.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Southern Utah under 80.5
84.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Under 171.5
77.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Under 173.5
81.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
Southern Utah under 78.5
79.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
Under 168.5
71.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-11.9pp
Won
Southern Utah under 76.5
72.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-13.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
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A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.