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Tarleton vs Southern Utah Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-74
44-36 34-38
Position#255
Record13-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#329
Record9-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Southern Utah
19 Feb 2026
TARL78
SOUT74
01 Feb 2025
TARL75
SOUT58
25 Jan 2024
TARL70
SOUT73
05 Jan 2023
TARL68
SOUT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Utah winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
42-38
44-52
48-40
31-34
40-41
24-20
40-51
32-35
23-48
30-29
29-36
30-28
25-28
33-34
29-25
32-26
27-47
22-26
36-32
140.9Avg total
67.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.372.5147.8+2.850%
Season at home (13)78.567.8146.3+10.669%
Season away (13)72.277.2149.3-5.031%
Last 10 (10)67.573.4140.9-5.920%
Last 5 (5)60.063.0123.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.276.2141.4-11.011%
vs Similar (13)70.371.8142.2-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.467.4157.8+23.080%
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H08/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H13/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-24
33-34
52-44
40-48
44-27
30-25
35-34
49-36
43-52
48-50
23-45
38-35
33-39
46-37
34-33
25-29
36-43
30-40
34-29
44-44
151.4Avg total
75.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.179.6155.7-3.535%
Season at home (11)86.673.5160.1+13.264%
Season away (15)68.384.1152.4-15.713%
Last 10 (10)75.376.1151.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)68.674.8143.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.184.3152.4-16.218%
vs Similar (10)72.075.8147.8-3.840%
vs Weaker (3)115.062.3177.3+52.7100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +0.5+0.5
TarletonSouthern Utah
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#264
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H17/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
31.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.169.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.331.669.9+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)33.236.669.8-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.064.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.428.658.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.737.671.2-3.922%-
vs Similar (13)32.331.663.9+0.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.638.083.6+7.660%-
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.274.3-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.835.275.0+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)31.442.473.8-10.912%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.072.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.869.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.441.273.6-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)33.738.972.6-5.220%-
vs Weaker (3)55.029.084.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tarleton wins
3
Southern Utah wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HAbilene Christian65-62 OT
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56
31/01/26HUtah Tech59-65
30/01/26HUtah Valley State55-83
22/01/26AUT Arlington64-71
18/01/26AUtah Tech71-75
16/01/26ASouthern Utah105-106 OT
09/01/26HAbilene Christian80-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AUT Arlington78-73
13/02/26HCalifornia Baptist66-83
08/02/26HTarleton59-62
31/01/26AAbilene Christian79-76
30/01/26AUT Arlington61-80
25/01/26AUtah Tech91-102
22/01/26HUtah Valley State84-70
18/01/26HAbilene Christian74-52
16/01/26HTarleton106-105 OT
11/01/26ACalifornia Baptist55-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLLLW69%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game75.378.572.2
Allowed / game72.567.877.2
Point differential+2.8+10.6-5.0
Avg total147.8146.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Southern Utah
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLWW13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %35%64%13%
Points / game76.186.668.3
Allowed / game79.673.584.1
Point differential-3.5+13.2-15.7
Avg total155.7160.1152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist2619773%72.968.7+4.2
2 Utah Valley State2518772%81.568.1+13.4
3 Utah Tech27161159%76.973.6+3.3
4 UT Arlington25141156%72.268.1+4.0
5 Tarleton26131350%75.372.5+2.8
6 Abilene Christian26121446%70.170.7-0.6
7 Southern Utah2691735%76.179.6-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton443478
Southern Utah363874
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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