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Hills Hornets vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 107-67
32-21 30-12 19-18 26-16
Position#8
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#15
Record0-4
FormLLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game98.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Penrith P.
02 Jun 2024
HILL112
PENR109
14 Apr 2023
HILL107
PENR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#4
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H16/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A23/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H30/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H06/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
99-82
99
82
+17
A13/08
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A11/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H18/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A25/03
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
77-104
77
104
-27
H01/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-10
21-21
18-8
7-15
19-25
23-29
19-16
29-25
16-19
26-28
27-13
24-24
24-27
13-16
19-17
16-12
11-21
16-17
30-20
29-18
24-24
20-16
32-19
23-23
10-17
21-25
29-14
16-28
12-20
14-24
22-14
16-12
11-13
21-29
22-20
16-18
22-27
11-22
22-31
22-24
159.6Avg total
78.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.884.5156.2-12.80%
Season at home (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
Season away (2)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)78.780.9159.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)77.284.0161.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.492.6175.0-10.20%
vs Similar (15)72.574.6147.1-2.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.080.7166.7+5.367%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A11/03
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-106
63
106
-43
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
37-110
37
110
-73
A25/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A02/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
17-35
13-20
17-18
18-28
11-24
14-26
20-28
13-35
7-27
11-18
6-30
14-24
18-22
17-19
26-21
158.0Avg total
60.0Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.098.0158.0-38.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)60.098.0158.0-38.00%
Last 10 (4)60.098.0158.0-38.00%
Last 5 (4)60.098.0158.0-38.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)60.098.0158.0-38.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -13.8-13.8Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -7.0-7.0
-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -13.8-13.8Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -7.0-7.0
Hills HornetsPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A23/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H06/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/08
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A11/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H18/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/03
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H01/04
NBL1 East
77.4Avg total
34.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.138.674.7-2.538%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.140.276.2-4.131%-
Last 30 away (13)36.237.073.2-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)34.443.077.4-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.476.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.444.683.0-6.240%-
vs Similar (15)35.735.370.9+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.341.877.2-6.533%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A11/03
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
20-62
20
62
-42
A25/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/04
NBL1 East
82.0Avg total
29.0Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (4)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
Last 10 (4)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
Last 5 (4)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.053.082.0-24.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hills Hornets wins
0
Penrith P. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HNewcastle Falcons77-104
25/03/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits70-80
18/03/23HSydney Comets64-70
11/03/23AInner West Bulls76-84
13/08/22AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits99-82
06/08/22HCentral Coast Crusaders86-76
30/07/22HNorths Bears77-80 OT
23/07/22ABankstown Bruins93-84
16/07/22HMaitland M.90-95
09/07/22ANewcastle Falcons55-54
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ACentral Coast Crusaders75-86
25/03/23ABA CoE37-110
18/03/23AIllawarra Hawks 263-106
11/03/23ASydney Comets65-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.870.573.0
Allowed / game84.587.082.0
Point differential-12.8-16.5-9.0
Avg total156.2157.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.0-60.0
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential-38.0--38.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE660100%100.869.3+31.5
2 Sydney Comets440100%86.268.0+18.2
3 Illawarra Hawks 254180%92.277.8+14.4
4 Inner West Bulls54180%85.278.6+6.6
5 Newcastle Falcons43175%83.266.5+16.8
6 Norths Bears43175%83.282.5+0.8
7 Central Coast Crusaders53260%80.279.0+1.2
8 Albury-Wodonga Bandits42250%87.081.8+5.2
9 Sutherland Sharks42250%77.874.0+3.8
10 Maitland M.52340%86.684.6+2.0
11 Canberra52340%77.681.8-4.2
12 Manly W.41325%65.882.8-17.0
13 Hills Hornets4040%71.884.5-12.8
14 Bankstown Bruins4040%72.590.8-18.2
15 Hornsby S.5050%63.888.6-24.8
16 Penrith P.4040%60.098.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets32301926107
Penrith P.2112181667
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