PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Hiroshima D. will host Altiri Chiba on 16 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model designates Hiroshima D. as the clear favourite with an 83% chance of victory, reflecting their 13-3 record, 89.9 points per game and 82.1 allowed, and a league position of 2, compared with Altiri Chiba's 7-11 record, 79.8 points per game and 84.7 allowed from 18 games. Hiroshima D. has been strong at home, going 6-2 with 91.1 points per game and 85.5 allowed, and won 3 of their last 5 games, though they recently lost 83-99 to Alvark and 91-106 to Sendai before beating Nagasaki 80-73. Altiri Chiba has struggled on the road, 4-6 with 80.4 points per game and 84.2 allowed, but has won 3 of their last 5 games, including a 75-66 win over Yokohama and an 85-76 win away at Brave Thunders, after a 69-86 loss to NeoPhoenix. In their head-to-head series Hiroshima D. leads 2-1, most recently defeating Altiri Chiba 89-71 on 17 October. Pythia projects a 92-81 score, 173.1 total points, an 83% probability that Hiroshima D. covers the line, and a 3% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Hiroshima D.'s ability to maintain their defensive edge against Altiri Chiba's recent offensive improvements.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 89.9 | 82.1 | 172.0 | +7.9 | 81% |
| Season at home (8) | 91.1 | 85.5 | 176.6 | +5.6 | 75% |
| Season away (8) | 88.8 | 78.6 | 167.4 | +10.1 | 88% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.0 | 82.9 | 169.9 | +4.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 87.8 | 172.4 | -3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 81.2 | 86.4 | 167.6 | -5.2 | 40% |
| vs Similar (8) | 85.9 | 90.9 | 176.8 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 88.8 | 80.5 | 169.4 | +8.3 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 79.8 | 84.7 | 164.5 | -4.8 | 39% |
| Season at home (8) | 79.1 | 85.2 | 164.4 | -6.1 | 38% |
| Season away (10) | 80.4 | 84.2 | 164.6 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 83.1 | 164.6 | -1.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.6 | 80.0 | 163.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 75.8 | 91.0 | 166.8 | -15.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (15) | 80.2 | 81.3 | 161.5 | -1.1 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.0 | 76.3 | 161.3 | +8.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.2 | 42.1 | 85.3 | +1.2 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.6 | 42.8 | 86.4 | +0.9 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.8 | 41.3 | 84.1 | +1.5 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.3 | 43.5 | 89.8 | +2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 47.0 | 89.2 | -4.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 37.2 | 41.8 | 79.0 | -4.6 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 44.1 | 47.2 | 91.4 | -3.1 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 44.6 | 39.7 | 84.3 | +4.9 | 76% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 43.3 | 83.6 | -2.9 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.3 | 42.5 | 81.8 | -3.2 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.2 | 43.9 | 85.2 | -2.7 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.3 | 41.3 | 83.6 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 38.4 | 80.2 | +3.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 40.1 | 49.3 | 89.4 | -9.2 | 8% | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 40.1 | 40.0 | 80.1 | +0.1 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.7 | 35.3 | 78.0 | +7.3 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.7 | 23.7 | 53.6% | 47.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 8.3 | 32.9% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.6 | 17.7 | 73.8% | 17.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.2 | 19.9 | 53.6% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.4 | 10.1 | 32.9% | 30.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.8 | 11.0 | 73.8% | 11.0 |
Hiroshima D.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 | Altiri Chiba v Hiroshima D. | 71-89 |
| 15/03/26 | Altiri Chiba v Hiroshima D. | 91-104 |
| 14/03/26 | Altiri Chiba v Hiroshima D. | 87-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Alvark | 83-99 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Sendai | 91-106 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 80-73 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Shimane | 74-73 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Shimane | 95-88 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Yokohama | 90-64 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 93-96 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Akita | 98-84 |
| 19/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 77-75 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 89-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 69-86 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Yokohama | 75-66 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Brave Thunders | 85-76 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Chiba | 87-89 OT |
| 01/11/26 | A | Akita | 102-83 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Akita | 89-85 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Gunma | 74-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 87-102 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Ryukyu | 65-94 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 82-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 81% |
| Home | WWLWL | 75% |
| Away | WWWWL | 88% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Win % | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Points / game | 89.9 | 91.1 | 88.8 |
| Allowed / game | 82.1 | 85.5 | 78.6 |
| Point differential | +7.9 | +5.6 | +10.1 |
| Avg total | 172.0 | 176.6 | 167.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 50% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 39% |
| Home | LLLWL | 38% |
| Away | LWWLW | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 8 | 10 |
| Win % | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Points / game | 79.8 | 79.1 | 80.4 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 85.2 | 84.2 |
| Point differential | -4.8 | -6.1 | -3.8 |
| Avg total | 164.5 | 164.4 | 164.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | - | 33% (3) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 |
| 2 | Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 18 |  Shimane | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 |
| 19 | Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Akita | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 |
| 25 |  Saga | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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