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Shimane vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:55
Projected 81-88
Projected total 168.5
Final 73-74
19-25 21-16 22-15 11-18
Position#17
Record4-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.5
Vs
28%
72%
■ SHIM 28%■ HIRO 72%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game80.2
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shimane v Hiroshima D.
01 Nov 2026
SHIM73
HIRO74
31 Oct 2026
SHIM88
HIRO95
14 Dec 2025
SHIM96
HIRO88
13 Dec 2025
SHIM71
HIRO73
29 Jan 2025
SHIM90
HIRO69
28 Apr 2024
SHIM51
HIRO65
27 Apr 2024
SHIM67
HIRO71
17 Jan 2024
SHIM75
HIRO66
30 Apr 2023
SHIM87
HIRO65
29 Apr 2023
SHIM74
HIRO87
10 Apr 2022
SHIM84
HIRO91
09 Apr 2022
SHIM89
HIRO67
18 Apr 2021
SHIM72
HIRO58
17 Apr 2021
SHIM82
HIRO67
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Shimane host Hiroshima D. in the B League. Pythia makes Hiroshima D. the favourite at 72% and projects 81-88, about 169 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Shimane are 4-7 this season (81.9 scored, 83.5 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Hiroshima D. are 11-1 this season (92.6 scored, 80.2 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
28.1%fair 3.56
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
71.9%fair 1.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 72
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 72
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 72
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 72
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 72
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
78-97
78
97
-19
66avg 72
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#23
W
80-69
80
69
+11
73avg 72
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 72
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
81avg 72
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 72
H31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-19
27-16
18-21
21-20
10-27
20-23
22-15
10-26
17-21
30-23
23-20
28-16
12-25
29-24
26-18
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
166.7Avg total
81.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.983.5165.5-1.636%
Season at home (6)83.584.7168.2-1.233%
Season away (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)81.285.5166.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)82.085.8167.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.183.6154.7-12.40%
vs Similar (14)81.483.6165.0-2.350%
vs Weaker (7)79.380.4159.7-1.157%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Kobe
#22
W
96-73
96
73
+23
102avg 81
H02/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 81
H04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 81
A07/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
111-105
111
105
+6
107avg 81
H10/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 81
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 81
H19/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
98-84
98
84
+14
90avg 81
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 81
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#16
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 81
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#17
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 81
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
20-26
23-19
27-16
15-16
30-14
16-10
22-32
20-26
26-16
23-22
21-22
21-16
18-20
26-19
13-23
30-21
22-17
19-21
18-12
22-26
30-14
10-20
15-15
22-25
33-25
26-11
17-23
27-14
16-26
28-23
22-33
24-21
26-11
21-18
19-14
23-24
22-23
23-16
27-25
173.6Avg total
92.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.680.2172.8+12.492%
Season at home (6)93.084.2177.2+8.883%
Season away (6)92.276.2168.3+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.281.4173.6+10.890%
Last 5 (5)90.681.4172.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
vs Similar (7)88.388.3176.6+0.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.982.0171.9+7.972%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
62.7%
Under 163
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
50.5%
Under 168
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173
Over 173
38.3%
Under 173
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Shimane total 79.5Actual: Shimane under 79.5
Over 79.5
55.1%
Under 79.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 83.5Actual: Shimane under 83.5
Over 83.5
39.8%
Under 83.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 87.5Actual: Shimane under 87.5
Over 87.5
26.1%
Under 87.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 80.5Actual: Hiroshima D. under 80.5
Over 80.5
75.6%
Under 80.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 84.5Actual: Hiroshima D. under 84.5
Over 84.5
61.7%
Under 84.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hiroshima D. total 88.5Actual: Hiroshima D. under 88.5
Over 88.5
46.1%
Under 88.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shimane -3Actual: Hiroshima D. +3
SHIM -3
20.8%
HIRO +3
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Shimane 0Actual: Hiroshima D. 0
SHIM 0
28.1%
HIRO 0
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Shimane +3Actual: Shimane +3
SHIM +3
35.8%
HIRO -3
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
SHIM
No market prices yet.
HIRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
ShimaneHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#23
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
83.4Avg total
38.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.482.2-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.742.381.9-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)39.942.782.6-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.983.4-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.143.178.2-8.022%-
vs Similar (14)41.641.683.1+0.050%-
vs Weaker (7)42.143.385.4-1.129%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#22
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#17
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A31/10
B League
86.6Avg total
47.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.641.886.4+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.984.1+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)47.339.386.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.890.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
vs Similar (7)44.445.389.7-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.639.885.4+5.878%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
53.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.2
35.1%
32.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
73.8%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.224.7
60.0%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.017.6
70.4%
73.8%17.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LLLWLLWLLW
Hiroshima D.
WWLWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-5.0
Net rating
+12.5
93.0
Offensive rating
104.2
98.0
Defensive rating
91.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
32.8%
62.5%
Assist %
62.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 104.2Defence98.0 · 91.7Shooting53.2% · 55.8%3-point %35.1% · 32.8%Ball care15.3% · 13.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Shimane   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shimane wins
4
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Shimane v Hiroshima D.88-95
19/04/26Hiroshima D. v Shimane72-73
18/04/26Hiroshima D. v Shimane102-104 OT
14/12/25Shimane v Hiroshima D.96-88
13/12/25Shimane v Hiroshima D.71-73
04/05/25Hiroshima D. v Shimane88-69
03/05/25Hiroshima D. v Shimane91-94
16/04/25Hiroshima D. v Shimane79-84
29/01/25Shimane v Hiroshima D.90-69
28/04/24Shimane v Hiroshima D.51-65
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90
07/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido95-83
04/10/26HDiamond Dolphins80-90
03/10/26HDiamond Dolphins73-85
25/09/26ANagasaki85-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AShimane95-88
26/10/26AYokohama90-64
24/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido93-96
21/10/26HAkita98-84
19/10/26HNeoPhoenix77-75
17/10/26AAltiri Chiba89-71
10/10/26HShiga111-105
07/10/26AIbaraki Robots90-86
04/10/26HKobe83-72
02/10/26HKobe96-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game81.983.580.0
Allowed / game83.584.782.2
Point differential-1.6-1.2-2.2
Avg total165.5168.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game92.693.092.2
Allowed / game80.284.276.2
Point differential+12.4+8.8+16.0
Avg total172.8177.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 SeaHorses Mikawa97278%91.278.2+13.0
4 Alvark1310377%94.584.0+10.5
5 NeoPhoenix86275%86.280.0+6.2
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma128467%80.173.9+6.2
10 Ryukyu127558%85.081.1+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Levanga Hokkaido116555%95.294.5+0.6
13 Ibaraki Robots136746%83.378.4+4.9
14 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
15 Yokohama136746%79.284.5-5.2
16 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
17 Utsunomiya Brex125742%82.183.5-1.4
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders124833%80.484.8-4.3
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga121118%76.294.8-18.7
26 Osaka121118%68.589.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1921221173
Hiroshima D.2516151874
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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